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U. De Concepcion vs Puerto Montt Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 87-59
16-18 26-19 19-15 26-7
Position#1
Record28-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#9
Record14-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.9
ChileLNB· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2026-27
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Puerto Montt
27 Sep 2026
U. D87
PUER59
03 Feb 2024
U. D84
PUER70
06 May 2023
U. D115
PUER70
07 May 2022
U. D78
PUER76
06 May 2022
U. D100
PUER85
20 Mar 2022
U. D107
PUER74
23 Nov 2019
U. D69
PUER63
22 Oct 2017
U. D79
PUER70
20 Nov 2016
U. D66
PUER59
14 Dec 2014
U. D107
PUER71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Puerto Montt winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
136-77
136
77
+59
53avg 79
H25/07
LNB
Puente Alto
#4
W
97-89
97
89
+8
96avg 79
H31/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 79
A04/08
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
W
93-72
93
72
+21
94avg 79
A09/08
LNB
Catolica
#11
W
79-54
79
54
+25
74avg 79
A09/08
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
97-76
97
76
+21
96avg 79
H13/08
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
103-80
103
80
+23
101avg 79
A15/08
LNB
Puente Alto
#4
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
86avg 79
A14/09
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
65avg 79
A15/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
96-76
96
76
+20
89avg 79
H24/09
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-16
35-15
34-28
28-18
25-21
22-24
32-22
18-22
18-26
22-17
22-21
12-22
26-18
22-18
23-20
22-16
27-12
20-15
14-16
18-11
25-21
21-26
21-16
30-13
33-29
21-23
28-10
21-18
16-27
19-28
24-18
27-13
16-17
14-19
22-23
20-20
19-23
26-10
26-25
25-18
172.9Avg total
94.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)95.277.5172.7+17.885%
Season at home (17)102.177.7179.8+24.488%
Season away (16)87.977.2165.1+10.881%
Last 10 (10)94.478.5172.9+15.980%
Last 5 (5)93.081.4174.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)95.078.7173.7+16.383%
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto MonttChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontt
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
80-59
80
59
+21
79avg 74
H03/08
LNB
Valdivia
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
66avg 74
A09/08
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 74
H11/08
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
88-66
88
66
+22
81avg 74
A15/08
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#12
W
92-72
92
72
+20
91avg 74
H18/08
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 74
H03/09
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
72avg 74
A06/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
81-68
81
68
+13
76avg 74
A15/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 74
H16/09
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
94-83
94
83
+11
94avg 74
A24/09
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
23-16
11-14
19-13
26-22
17-11
16-17
15-30
21-25
24-21
18-20
19-13
23-23
15-11
28-17
22-15
18-14
30-28
25-16
19-14
16-7
27-14
16-16
15-30
20-16
18-26
23-15
15-19
23-14
27-20
6-23
25-11
19-22
15-15
20-18
28-23
30-16
22-24
19-25
23-18
156.9Avg total
83.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.681.9161.5-2.345%
Season at home (15)81.983.4165.3-1.547%
Season away (16)77.580.5158.0-3.044%
Last 10 (10)83.373.6156.9+9.790%
Last 5 (5)83.476.0159.4+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.886.9159.7-14.110%
vs Similar (16)80.877.9158.7+2.862%
vs Weaker (4)86.583.0169.5+3.550%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
U. De ConcepcionPuerto Montt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
74-31
74
31
+43
H25/07
LNB
Puente Alto
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H31/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A04/08
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A09/08
LNB
Catolica
#11
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A09/08
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H13/08
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A15/08
LNB
Puente Alto
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A14/09
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H24/09
LNB
87.1Avg total
46.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)48.042.090.0+5.966%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.040.991.9+10.173%-
Last 30 away (14)44.743.287.9+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)46.640.587.1+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.686.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)48.042.090.0+5.966%-
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto MonttLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/08
LNB
Valdivia
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A09/08
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/08
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A15/08
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H18/08
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H03/09
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A15/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H16/09
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A24/09
LNB
80.2Avg total
44.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.881.1+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.038.980.9+3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.840.681.3+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.136.180.2+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.878.2+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.641.278.8-3.640%-
vs Similar (16)42.837.680.4+5.256%-
vs Weaker (4)44.844.889.5+0.050%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.9
54.9%
52.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.3
34.6%
31.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.213.7
71.4%
71.0%13.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Puerto Montttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Puerto Montt: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.6
50.2%
52.2%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.8
35.1%
31.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.510.7
69.0%
71.0%10.7
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WLWWWWWLWW
Puerto Montt
WWWWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#9
+16.3
Net rating
+16.2
98.9
Offensive rating
94.6
82.5
Defensive rating
78.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
51.1%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.6%
3-point %
35.1%
62.8%
Assist %
59.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 94.6Defence82.5 · 78.4Shooting53.7% · 51.1%3-point %34.6% · 35.1%Ball care14.5% · 14.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Puerto Montt
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
U. De Concepcion wins
0
Puerto Montt wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/26HCD Puerto Varas96-76
15/09/26ALeones Quilpue72-79
14/09/26APuente Alto97-96 OT
15/08/26AEspanol de Talca103-80
13/08/26HLeones Quilpue97-76
09/08/26ACatolica79-54
09/08/26AColo Colo93-72
04/08/26ALeones Quilpue74-86
31/07/26HPuente Alto97-89
25/07/26HEspanol de Talca136-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/26AAncud94-83
16/09/26HCD Puerto Varas82-78
15/09/26ACD Puerto Varas81-68
06/09/26AColo Colo86-84 OT
03/09/26HColo Colo74-67
18/08/26HNaviera Ulloa92-72
15/08/26AAncud88-66
11/08/26HEspanol Osorno82-79
09/08/26AValdivia74-80
03/08/26HCD Puerto Varas80-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWL81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %85%88%81%
Points / game95.2102.187.9
Allowed / game77.577.777.2
Point differential+17.8+24.4+10.8
Avg total172.7179.8165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%76%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Puerto Montt
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW45%
HomeWWWWW47%
AwayLWWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %45%47%44%
Points / game79.681.977.5
Allowed / game81.983.480.5
Point differential-2.3-1.5-3.0
Avg total161.5165.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %6%7%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion3328585%95.277.5+17.8
2 Valdivia3325876%86.675.4+11.2
3 Leones Quilpue38281074%82.177.6+4.5
4 Espanol Osorno37231462%81.477.6+3.8
5 Puente Alto32181456%83.680.3+3.2
6 Las Animas34191556%84.180.0+4.1
7 CD Puerto Varas41212051%79.180.8-1.7
8 Puerto Montt31141745%79.681.9-2.3
9 Boston C. C.1881044%82.393.7-11.4
10 Ancud30121840%81.283.4-2.2
11 Catolica2882029%76.882.9-6.1
12 Colo Colo3082227%76.381.1-4.8
13 Naviera Ulloa3182326%76.888.8-12.0
14 Espanol de Talca282267%74.989.4-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion1626192687
Puerto Montt181915759
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