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U. De Concepcion vs Puerto Montt Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 84-70
29-13 13-17 25-22 17-18
Position#2
Record3-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game78.1
ChileLNB· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2023-24
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Puerto Montt
27 Sep 2026
U. D87
PUER59
03 Feb 2024
U. D84
PUER70
06 May 2023
U. D115
PUER70
07 May 2022
U. D78
PUER76
06 May 2022
U. D100
PUER85
20 Mar 2022
U. D107
PUER74
23 Nov 2019
U. D69
PUER63
22 Oct 2017
U. D79
PUER70
20 Nov 2016
U. D66
PUER59
14 Dec 2014
U. D107
PUER71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Puerto Montt winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
76-66
76
66
+10
74avg 86
H23/12
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#4
W
111-68
111
68
+43
114avg 86
H05/01
Supercopa
Ancud
#3
W
95-69
95
69
+26
87avg 86
A07/01
Supercopa
Ancud
#3
L
90-107
90
107
-17
73avg 86
H12/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
78-68
78
68
+10
72avg 86
H13/01
LNB
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
67-96
67
96
-29
47avg 86
H20/01
Champions League Americas
Franca
#2
L
87-109
87
109
-22
82avg 86
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Las Animas
#5
W
84-68
84
68
+16
85avg 86
A26/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A27/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
no box
H02/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
9-22
22-17
27-16
20-12
36-14
27-17
28-25
29-11
20-22
17-16
29-20
26-20
17-37
19-26
28-24
19-14
11-22
27-13
21-19
11-22
22-30
16-24
18-20
26-30
17-37
23-18
21-24
25-10
15-12
22-20
22-26
10-25
19-19
23-14
23-17
23-25
21-31
24-17
20-15
170.6Avg total
86.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.685.8172.4+0.860%
Season at home (3)89.391.0180.3-1.767%
Season away (2)82.578.0160.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)86.983.7170.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)83.891.8175.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.094.0166.0-22.00%
vs Similar (2)85.597.5183.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.765.5154.2+23.292%
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto MonttChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontt
Date
Competition
Naviera Ulloa
#12
L
66-82
66
82
-16
51avg 55
A22/11
Copa Chile
Ancud
#3
L
68-113
68
113
-45
55avg 55
H25/11
Copa Chile
Naviera Ulloa
#12
W
99-93
99
93
+6
94avg 55
H26/11
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
75-66
75
66
+9
73avg 55
H13/01
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
69-91
69
91
-22
54avg 55
H14/01
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
60-67
60
67
-7
56avg 55
A20/01
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
62avg 55
A21/01
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 55
H27/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
no box
H28/01
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
80-88
80
88
-8
41avg 55
A02/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
16-15
14-16
10-25
12-19
22-29
13-34
21-31
23-23
21-25
25-17
30-28
21-20
22-19
14-15
18-12
10-18
24-22
15-27
20-24
17-22
11-18
17-15
15-12
21-10
18-23
12-14
20-20
20-28
12-25
28-15
20-24
21-18
18-21
23-18
12-17
23-20
15-27
22-17
20-24
158.0Avg total
74.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.178.1151.3-5.043%
Season at home (4)75.281.2156.5-6.050%
Season away (3)70.374.0144.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)74.583.5158.0-9.040%
Last 5 (5)73.678.0151.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)69.189.5158.6-20.423%
vs Similar (2)77.577.0154.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (2)95.079.5174.5+15.5100%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
U. De ConcepcionPuerto Montt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H23/12
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#4
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H05/01
Supercopa
Ancud
#3
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A07/01
Supercopa
Ancud
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H12/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H13/01
LNB
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H20/01
Champions League Americas
Franca
#2
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Las Animas
#5
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A26/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A27/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H02/02
LNB
82.0Avg total
39.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.737.181.8+7.662%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.639.285.8+7.553%-
Last 30 away (12)41.834.276.0+7.775%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.682.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.848.286.0-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.053.286.2-20.20%-
vs Similar (2)36.050.586.5-14.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.433.180.6+14.378%-
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto MonttLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Naviera Ulloa
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A22/11
Copa Chile
Ancud
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H25/11
Copa Chile
Naviera Ulloa
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H26/11
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H13/01
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H14/01
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A20/01
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A21/01
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H27/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/01
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A02/02
LNB
80.1Avg total
37.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.644.481.0-7.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.644.181.6-6.519%-
Last 30 away (14)35.644.780.3-9.129%-
Last 10 (10)37.342.880.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.477.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.445.380.7-9.915%-
vs Similar (2)40.543.083.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (2)49.034.083.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.6
49.7%
50.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.8
31.3%
32.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.215.8
74.5%
70.3%15.8
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Puerto Montttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Puerto Montt: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.118.4
42.7%
50.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.5
32.8%
32.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws11.27.6
67.9%
70.3%7.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WLWLLWLWWW
Puerto Montt
LWLWLLWWLL
#2
League position
#11
+2.4
Net rating
-23.8
104.2
Offensive rating
87.9
101.8
Defensive rating
111.7
48.5%
Effective FG%
44.9%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
19.3%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.17
31.3%
3-point %
32.8%
57.4%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 87.9Defence101.8 · 111.7Shooting48.5% · 44.9%3-point %31.3% · 32.8%Ball care15.5% · 19.3%Off. rebounds27.4% · 23.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Puerto Montt
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
U. De Concepcion wins
0
Puerto Montt wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HCD Puerto Varas100-98 OT
27/01/24AEspanol Osorno81-88 OT
26/01/24ALas Animas84-68
22/01/24HFranca87-109
20/01/24HObras Sanitarias67-96
13/01/24HNaviera Ulloa78-68
12/01/24HAncud90-107
07/01/24AAncud95-69
05/01/24HLiceo Pablo Neruda111-68
23/12/23HLeones Quilpue76-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24AEspanol de Talca80-88
28/01/24HNaviera Ulloa77-76 OT
27/01/24HAncud80-92
21/01/24APuente Alto71-67
20/01/24ASportiva Italiana60-67
14/01/24HValdivia69-91
13/01/24HLiceo Pablo Neruda75-66
26/11/23HNaviera Ulloa99-93
25/11/23HAncud68-113
22/11/23ANaviera Ulloa66-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game86.689.382.5
Allowed / game85.891.078.0
Point differential+0.8-1.7+4.5
Avg total172.4180.3160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %40%33%50%
Puerto Montt
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game73.175.270.3
Allowed / game78.181.274.0
Point differential-5.0-6.0-3.7
Avg total151.3156.5144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue660100%81.064.8+16.2
2 Ancud660100%90.077.7+12.3
3 Espanol Osorno65183%82.570.2+12.3
4 Valdivia54180%86.076.6+9.4
5 Las Animas64267%84.879.7+5.2
6 U. De Concepcion53260%86.685.8+0.8
7 Puerto Montt73443%73.178.1-5.0
8 Sportiva Italiana62433%71.783.7-12.0
9 CD Puerto Varas72529%83.389.3-6.0
10 Espanol de Talca41325%80.092.0-12.0
11 Catolica51420%77.883.0-5.2
12 Liceo Pablo Neruda51420%71.878.0-6.2
13 Naviera Ulloa61517%69.374.7-5.3
14 Puente Alto61517%72.379.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion2913251784
Puerto Montt1317221870
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