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UALR vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-77 (OT)
32-30 32-34 5-13
Position#145
Record6-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#154
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas Baptist
#473
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H05/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A13/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
81-64
81
64
+17
A16/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A21/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A23/11
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
34-92
34
92
-58
A26/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H28/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Ouachita Baptist
#422
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-28
36-36
28-32
39-50
27-33
36-47
36-26
45-38
20-25
51-32
24-42
43-37
19-51
15-41
40-31
38-28
32-25
31-32
38-34
42-23
137.9Avg total
68.8Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)68.869.1137.9-0.360%
Season at home (4)76.259.2135.5+17.0100%
Season away (6)63.875.7139.5-11.833%
Last 10 (10)68.869.1137.9-0.360%
Last 5 (5)64.468.8133.2-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)57.678.2135.8-20.620%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.369.2145.5+7.160%
vs Weaker (13)77.262.7139.9+14.592%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
91-43
91
43
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H09/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A13/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#663
W
117-59
117
59
+58
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
81-99
81
99
-18
H21/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A22/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A23/11
NCAA
Aurora
#389
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H30/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-83
56
83
-27
H05/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
69-68 OT
69
68
+1
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-22
40-21
34-41
57-38
29-31
45-52
58-30
59-29
41-45
40-54
48-39
48-44
27-30
28-42
43-38
48-38
32-46
24-37
36-39
30-27
156.6Avg total
82.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.174.5156.6+7.660%
Season at home (7)85.172.4157.6+12.771%
Season away (3)75.079.3154.3-4.333%
Last 10 (10)82.174.5156.6+7.660%
Last 5 (5)73.476.4149.8-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.283.9160.1-7.722%
vs Similar ◀ (15)65.975.0140.9-9.127%
vs Weaker (4)83.568.5152.0+15.075%
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +3.7+3.7
UALRIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas Baptist
#473
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H05/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A13/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A23/11
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
19-51
19
51
-32
A26/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Ouachita Baptist
#422
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H11/12
NCAA
63.9Avg total
31.2Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.632.067.6+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.629.568.1+9.187%-
Last 30 away (15)32.734.567.1-1.853%-
Last 10 (10)31.232.763.9-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.667.2-6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.435.261.6-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.632.969.5+3.770%-
vs Weaker (13)37.829.567.4+8.385%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H05/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A13/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#663
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H21/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A22/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Aurora
#389
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H05/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H08/12
NCAA
76.0Avg total
39.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.671.6+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.837.175.8+1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)32.933.966.7-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.176.0+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.475.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.436.670.0-3.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.235.969.1-2.720%-
vs Weaker (4)45.032.877.8+12.2100%-
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UALR wins
1
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Illinois (Chi.) v UALR86-71
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HOuachita Baptist80-57
05/12/24HCentral Arkansas63-57
28/11/24HMd.-East. Shore78-59
26/11/24AIllinois34-92
23/11/24AArkansas67-79
21/11/24ATulsa71-57
16/11/24AUTSA Roadrunners81-64
13/11/24AArkansas State63-80
09/11/24AWinthrop67-82
05/11/24HArkansas Baptist84-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HDartmouth69-68 OT
05/12/24HNorthern Iowa56-83
30/11/24HAurora91-76
23/11/24AEast Carolina55-72
22/11/24ALa Salle96-83
21/11/24HJames Madison81-99
16/11/24HSt. Mary's (TX)117-59
13/11/24ANorthwestern74-83
09/11/24HYale91-79
05/11/24HSt. Francis (PA)91-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game68.876.263.8
Allowed / game69.159.275.7
Point differential-0.3+17.0-11.8
Avg total137.9135.5139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %60%71%33%
Points / game82.185.175.0
Allowed / game74.572.479.3
Point differential+7.6+12.7-4.3
Avg total156.6157.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville106460%74.168.0+6.1
2 UALR106460%68.869.1-0.3
3 Western Illinois116555%71.569.0+2.5
4 Lindenwood115645%74.568.3+6.3
5 Southern Indiana94544%78.774.8+3.9
6 Morehead State104640%69.473.6-4.2
7 Tennessee Tech104640%72.078.6-6.6
8 Tennessee State114736%82.076.5+5.5
9 Southeast Missouri State93633%71.772.6-0.9
10 UT Martin103730%75.074.7+0.3
11 Eastern Illinois103730%68.275.9-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake990100%75.055.2+19.8
2 Belmont119282%84.177.7+6.4
3 Bradley108280%82.667.9+14.7
4 Murray State96367%79.365.1+14.2
5 Northern Iowa106460%76.464.4+12.0
6 Illinois (Chi.)106460%82.174.5+7.6
7 Indiana State106460%82.876.8+6.0
8 Valparaiso95456%78.870.6+8.2
9 Illinois State95456%79.972.6+7.3
10 Southern Illinois115645%73.773.2+0.5
11 Evansville103730%69.073.2-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UALR3232569
Illinois (Chi.)30341377
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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