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UC Davis vs UC Irvine Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 75-72
42-42 33-30
Position#139
Record10-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#60
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UC Davis v UC Irvine
17 Jan 2026
UC D75
UC I72
06 Mar 2025
UC D59
UC I88
20 Jan 2024
UC D54
UC I52
05 Jan 2023
UC D83
UC I88
30 Jan 2020
UC D65
UC I80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Irvine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A05/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
62-104
62
104
-42
A13/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A21/12
NCAA
Pacific Union
#669
W
108-52
108
52
+56
H28/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H01/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H03/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A10/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
41-42
16-52
46-52
43-43
35-36
50-35
43-48
40-19
68-33
38-33
51-47
39-40
40-41
43-47
50-39
40-30
38-54
32-24
42-45
161.6Avg total
82.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.676.0156.6+4.659%
Season at home (9)84.269.7153.9+14.678%
Season away (8)76.583.1159.6-6.638%
Last 10 (10)82.379.3161.6+3.050%
Last 5 (5)82.680.0162.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)64.774.6139.3-9.914%
vs Similar (12)75.176.2151.3-1.250%
vs Weaker (9)74.173.6147.7+0.656%
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC IrvineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A30/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H05/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
58-84
58
84
-26
H20/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A22/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A23/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A01/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A04/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H09/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
36-29
37-26
36-34
37-41
48-30
36-38
22-46
40-33
34-40
46-25
43-45
39-34
42-43
47-37
39-27
34-30
40-34
27-29
39-38
145.1Avg total
75.8Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.966.8144.7+11.267%
Season at home (11)78.564.5142.9+14.064%
Season away (7)77.170.4147.6+6.771%
Last 10 (10)75.869.3145.1+6.580%
Last 5 (5)79.268.4147.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.075.0136.0-14.00%
vs Similar (10)70.073.2143.2-3.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.564.4147.9+19.194%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
UC DavisUC Irvine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A05/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
16-52
16
52
-36
A13/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/12
NCAA
Pacific Union
#669
W
40-19
40
19
+21
H28/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H03/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A10/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H16/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
36.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.534.067.6-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.932.566.4+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.135.868.9-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.672.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.873.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)27.635.663.1-8.029%-
vs Similar (12)35.334.770.0+0.742%-
vs Weaker (9)34.133.767.8+0.456%-
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC IrvineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A30/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H05/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H20/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A23/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A01/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A11/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
37.9Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.668.1+4.853%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.231.868.0+4.444%-
Last 30 away (12)36.831.468.2+5.467%-
Last 10 (10)37.932.770.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.631.069.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.031.064.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (10)31.533.464.9-1.920%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.430.269.6+9.272%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UC Davis wins
7
UC Irvine wins
DateGameScore
07/03/25UC Davis v UC Irvine59-88
01/02/25UC Irvine v UC Davis73-66
20/01/24UC Davis v UC Irvine54-52
06/01/24UC Irvine v UC Davis74-71 OT
18/02/23UC Irvine v UC Davis78-76
06/01/23UC Davis v UC Irvine83-88
07/02/20UC Irvine v UC Davis83-72
31/01/20UC Davis v UC Irvine65-80
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26HCS Fullerton74-69
10/01/26ACal Poly78-84
09/01/26AUC Santa Barbara93-86
03/01/26HCSU Bakersfield79-81
01/01/26HCS Northridge89-80
28/12/25HPacific Union108-52
21/12/25AIdaho State93-83
18/12/25HSeattle78-79
13/12/25AOregon62-104
05/12/25AHawaii69-75
UC Irvinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AHawaii66-67
09/01/26HLong Beach State74-64
04/01/26ACS Fullerton86-64
01/01/26ACSU Bakersfield81-77
23/12/25ANorfolk State89-70
22/12/25ANorth Dakota St74-73
20/12/25HBelmont58-84
07/12/25HCS Northridge85-71
05/12/25HUC Riverside73-60
30/11/25ASan Jose State72-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeLWWLW78%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%78%38%
Points / game80.684.276.5
Allowed / game76.069.783.1
Point differential+4.6+14.6-6.6
Avg total156.6153.9159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Irvine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %67%64%71%
Points / game77.978.577.1
Allowed / game66.864.570.4
Point differential+11.2+14.0+6.7
Avg total144.7142.9147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%55%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii1613381%79.963.6+16.4
2 UC San Diego1914574%80.371.4+8.9
3 UC Irvine1812667%77.966.8+11.2
4 UC Santa Barbara1710759%78.974.2+4.8
5 UC Davis1710759%80.676.0+4.6
6 CS Northridge1911858%81.179.3+1.8
7 CS Fullerton1981142%85.884.9+0.8
8 CSU Bakersfield2081240%72.577.5-5.0
9 Long Beach State1871139%75.376.8-1.5
10 Cal Poly1971237%80.685.3-4.7
11 UC Riverside1861233%71.678.2-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis423375
UC Irvine423072
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