PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UC Davis vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 79-81
39-40 40-41
Position#139
Record8-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#356
Record6-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UC Davis v CSU Bakersfield
03 Jan 2026
UC D79
CSU 81
20 Feb 2025
UC D66
CSU 71
13 Jan 2024
UC D78
CSU 71
07 Jan 2023
UC D67
CSU 48
19 Feb 2022
UC D81
CSU 79
11 Mar 2021
UC D58
CSU 56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento State
#324
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H25/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A05/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
62-104
62
104
-42
A13/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A21/12
NCAA
Pacific Union
#669
W
108-52
108
52
+56
H28/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
43-37
33-33
42-38
39-43
40-52
33-26
44-30
28-33
41-42
16-52
46-52
43-43
35-36
50-35
43-48
40-19
68-33
38-33
51-47
157.5Avg total
80.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.574.8155.2+5.762%
Season at home (7)86.468.1154.6+18.386%
Season away (6)73.582.5156.0-9.033%
Last 10 (10)80.776.8157.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)86.079.6165.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.672.8137.4-8.125%
vs Similar (11)72.674.0146.6-1.445%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)71.870.4142.2+1.367%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H22/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
59-89
59
89
-30
A26/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A05/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
84-109
84
109
-25
A07/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H12/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H14/12
NCAA
Nobel Knights
#532
W
97-66
97
66
+31
H19/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H23/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-22
47-48
24-35
35-54
34-40
42-31
32-44
34-43
36-51
48-58
30-40
39-40
26-33
36-37
49-32
48-34
26-23
38-40
34-39
43-42
152.6Avg total
74.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.177.8150.9-4.740%
Season at home (8)76.568.6145.1+7.962%
Season away (7)69.388.3157.6-19.014%
Last 10 (10)74.078.6152.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)73.872.0145.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.781.9149.6-14.113%
vs Similar (9)72.175.4147.6-3.333%
vs Weaker (6)86.067.7153.7+18.3100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -1.7-1.7
UC DavisCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento State
#324
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A05/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
16-52
16
52
-36
A13/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/12
NCAA
Pacific Union
#669
W
40-19
40
19
+21
H28/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
35.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.565.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.531.865.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)31.533.464.9-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.370.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.473.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.833.261.0-5.538%-
vs Similar (11)34.533.768.3+0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)32.631.764.2+0.956%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A26/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A05/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A07/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H12/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H14/12
NCAA
Nobel Knights
#532
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H19/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H23/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
33.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.935.869.6-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.933.369.2+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)31.838.370.1-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.968.9-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.466.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.237.867.0-8.613%-
vs Similar (9)36.137.873.9-1.744%-
vs Weaker (6)42.227.769.8+14.5100%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
UC Davis wins
3
CSU Bakersfield wins
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HCS Northridge89-80
28/12/25HPacific Union108-52
21/12/25AIdaho State93-83
18/12/25HSeattle78-79
13/12/25AOregon62-104
05/12/25AHawaii69-75
25/11/25HLouisiana Lafayette77-56
22/11/25AColorado79-95
19/11/25ANevada75-71
15/11/25HSacramento State77-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HUC Irvine77-81
23/12/25HIdaho64-63
19/12/25HNobel Knights97-66
14/12/25HPepperdine62-70
12/12/25HNorth Dakota St69-80
07/12/25AUC Santa Barbara84-109
05/12/25ACS Northridge66-87
30/11/25AFresno State76-71
26/11/25AFlorida State59-89
22/11/25HMiss. Valley St.86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game80.586.473.5
Allowed / game74.868.182.5
Point differential+5.7+18.3-9.0
Avg total155.2154.6156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%62%14%
Points / game73.176.569.3
Allowed / game77.868.688.3
Point differential-4.7+7.9-19.0
Avg total150.9145.1157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii1311285%81.061.7+19.3
2 UC San Diego1411379%81.570.3+11.2
3 UC Irvine1510567%78.567.1+11.3
4 UC Davis138562%80.574.8+5.7
5 UC Santa Barbara159660%78.773.3+5.5
6 CS Northridge169756%80.178.2+1.9
7 CS Fullerton156940%88.286.9+1.3
8 Cal Poly156940%81.785.9-4.2
9 CSU Bakersfield156940%73.177.8-4.7
10 UC Riverside156940%72.378.9-6.6
11 Long Beach State1441029%74.978.2-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis394079
CSU Bakersfield404181
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.