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UC Irvine vs Chattanooga Mocs Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 84-85 (OT)
0-0 37-38 0-0 39-38 8-9
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game78.2
USANITNIT - Final
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Irvine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chattanooga Mocs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC IrvineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#359
W
76-51
76
51
+25
A28/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H02/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
88-59
88
59
+29
A07/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A09/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H15/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A16/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#23
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H20/03
NIT
Jacksonville State
#12
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H24/03
NIT
UAB
#8
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H27/03
NIT
North Texas
#3
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H01/04
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-23
0-0
33-28
0-0
32-23
0-0
38-37
0-0
47-25
0-0
41-34
0-0
30-43
0-0
67-45
0-0
38-39
0-0
58-39
0-0
33-31
0-0
28-44
0-0
37-41
0-0
45-31
0-0
36-35
0-0
30-26
0-0
31-36
0-0
38-33
0-0
30-30
0-0
39-37
147.4Avg total
78.6Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.569.2143.8+5.2100%
Season at home (4)74.569.2143.8+5.2100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.668.8147.4+9.890%
Last 5 (5)71.870.4142.2+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.770.7133.3-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.070.5140.5-0.567%
vs Weaker (20)79.767.5147.2+12.190%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#338
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H22/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A28/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A01/03
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#19
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
A19/03
NIT
Dayton
#16
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H22/03
NIT
Bradley
#5
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A25/03
NIT
Loyola Chicago
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H02/04
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
45-47
0-0
46-39
0-0
41-33
0-0
35-42
0-0
34-31
0-0
41-32
0-0
44-32
0-0
47-38
0-0
28-34
0-0
48-27
0-0
35-34
0-0
35-36
0-0
43-48
0-0
41-36
0-0
42-34
0-0
45-38
0-0
25-38
0-0
42-27
0-0
34-38
0-0
46-35
157.7Avg total
82.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.878.2164.0+7.5100%
Season at home (2)83.572.5156.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)88.084.0172.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.974.8157.7+8.190%
Last 5 (5)84.078.6162.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.080.0142.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.971.6148.5+5.377%
vs Weaker (14)83.572.7156.2+10.886%
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +7.6+7.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +7.6+7.6
UC IrvineChattanooga Mocs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UC IrvineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#359
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A28/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H02/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A07/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A16/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#23
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H20/03
NIT
Jacksonville State
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/03
NIT
UAB
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H27/03
NIT
North Texas
#3
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H01/04
NIT
68.3Avg total
35.7Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.567.1+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.132.968.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)34.132.166.3+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)35.732.668.3+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.668.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.331.764.0+0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.232.266.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (20)35.032.367.3+2.755%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#338
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A01/03
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H08/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H09/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#19
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A19/03
NIT
Dayton
#16
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H22/03
NIT
Bradley
#5
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A25/03
NIT
Loyola Chicago
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H02/04
NIT
74.0Avg total
37.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.772.5+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.835.474.2+3.553%-
Last 30 away (13)36.533.870.3+2.654%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.974.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.474.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.038.071.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.034.468.4-0.454%-
vs Weaker (14)40.634.474.9+6.257%-
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UC Irvine wins
0
Chattanooga Mocs wins
No previous meetings.
UC Irvinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25HNorth Texas69-67
27/03/25HUAB81-77 OT
24/03/25HJacksonville State66-61
20/03/25HNorthern Colorado82-72
16/03/25AUC San Diego61-75
15/03/25HCal Poly96-78
09/03/25AUC Santa Barbara97-88
07/03/25AUC Davis88-59
02/03/25HLong Beach State70-60
28/02/25ACS Fullerton76-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HLoyola Chicago80-73
25/03/25ABradley67-65
22/03/25HDayton87-72
19/03/25AMiddle Tenn. St.109-103 OT
09/03/25HFurman77-80 OT
08/03/25HMercer76-61
01/03/25AVMI91-70
28/02/25ANC Greensboro75-63
22/02/25HCitadel76-75
20/02/25HWestern Carolina91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Irvine
NIT 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.574.5-
Allowed / game69.269.2-
Point differential+5.2+5.2-
Avg total143.8143.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %25%25%-
Chattanooga Mocs
NIT 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.883.588.0
Allowed / game78.272.584.0
Point differential+7.5+11.0+4.0
Avg total164.0156.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs440100%85.878.2+7.5
2 UC Irvine440100%74.569.2+5.2
3 North Texas43175%67.063.8+3.2
4 Loyola Chicago43175%73.872.0+1.8
5 Bradley32167%70.365.3+5.0
6 Kent State32167%71.367.7+3.7
7 Oklahoma State32167%77.774.3+3.3
8 UAB32167%78.076.7+1.3
9 Santa Clara21150%92.575.0+17.5
10 Arkansas State21150%83.071.5+11.5
11 Stanford21150%81.073.5+7.5
12 Jacksonville State21150%71.065.0+6.0
13 George Mason21150%76.572.0+4.5
14 SMU Mustangs21150%78.074.0+4.0
15 San Francisco21150%77.573.5+4.0
16 Dayton21150%79.083.0-4.0
17 San Jose State1010%70.073.0-3.0
18 Saint Josephs Hawks1010%65.069.0-4.0
19 Middle Tenn. St.1010%103.0109.0-6.0
20 Florida Atlantic1010%79.086.0-7.0
21 North Alabama1010%62.071.0-9.0
22 Utah Valley State1010%70.079.0-9.0
23 Northern Colorado1010%72.082.0-10.0
24 Northern Iowa1010%63.073.0-10.0
25 Wichita State1010%79.089.0-10.0
26 Furman1010%64.075.0-11.0
27 CS Northridge1010%70.087.0-17.0
28 Georgia Tech1010%64.081.0-17.0
29 Samford1010%69.086.0-17.0
30 St. Bonaventure1010%56.075.0-19.0
31 St. Louis Billikens1010%78.0103.0-25.0
32 UC Riverside1010%62.0101.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
UC Irvine037039884
Chattanooga Mocs038038985
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