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UC Irvine vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 96-78
38-39 58-39
Position#16
Record27-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game65.6
UC Irvine 🏆
USA
vs
Cal Poly
USA
Position#235
Record16-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game82.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UC Irvine v Cal Poly
05 Mar 2026
UC I107
CAL 85
14 Mar 2025
UC I96
CAL 78
18 Jan 2025
UC I101
CAL 71
07 Mar 2024
UC I82
CAL 68
09 Feb 2023
UC I55
CAL 54
29 Jan 2022
UC I72
CAL 48
11 Mar 2021
UC I58
CAL 51
23 Jan 2021
UC I67
CAL 44
22 Jan 2021
UC I68
CAL 49
25 Jan 2020
UC I74
CAL 67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Irvine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC IrvineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#231
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H01/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H09/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A16/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H21/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A23/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
76-51
76
51
+25
A28/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H02/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
88-59
88
59
+29
A07/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
40-32
30-32
37-53
32-31
30-29
35-22
31-27
37-34
35-50
27-32
46-32
43-23
33-28
32-23
38-37
47-25
41-34
30-43
67-45
141.0Avg total
74.4Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.765.6141.3+10.284%
Season at home (12)76.965.0141.9+11.983%
Season away (20)75.065.9140.9+9.185%
Last 10 (10)74.466.6141.0+7.880%
Last 5 (5)80.864.4145.2+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.568.5132.0-5.050%
vs Similar (4)71.069.5140.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)77.765.8143.5+11.892%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#359
W
98-83
98
83
+15
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H21/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
112-100 OT
112
100
+12
H22/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A28/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H01/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A09/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A13/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
58-47
50-46
35-43
34-42
33-39
43-47
52-48
42-47
35-49
45-41
53-31
52-30
48-31
47-41
36-28
38-47
48-29
45-36
51-47
171.2Avg total
90.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.282.5164.7-0.347%
Season at home (14)85.178.3163.4+6.864%
Season away (20)80.285.5165.7-5.235%
Last 10 (10)90.281.0171.2+9.270%
Last 5 (5)92.672.2164.8+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.290.8167.0-14.60%
vs Similar (16)83.181.1164.2+2.056%
vs Weaker (5)90.875.2166.0+15.6100%
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +5.7+5.7
UC IrvineCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC IrvineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#231
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H09/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A16/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H21/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A23/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A28/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H02/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A07/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A09/03
NCAA
64.5Avg total
34.6Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.931.466.3+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.331.566.8+3.764%-
Last 30 away (19)34.731.366.1+3.463%-
Last 10 (10)34.629.964.5+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.829.265.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.032.064.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (4)38.232.570.8+5.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)34.631.265.8+3.562%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#359
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H22/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H07/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A13/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/03
NCAA
84.9Avg total
43.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.677.1-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.938.375.2-1.433%-
Last 30 away (18)37.940.478.3-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.384.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.084.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.844.381.1-7.622%-
vs Similar (16)36.738.475.1-1.838%-
vs Weaker (5)41.434.876.2+6.680%-
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
UC Irvine wins
1
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25UC Irvine v Cal Poly101-71
03/01/25Cal Poly v UC Irvine89-98 OT
08/03/24UC Irvine v Cal Poly82-68
02/02/24Cal Poly v UC Irvine59-73
21/02/23Cal Poly v UC Irvine56-59
10/02/23UC Irvine v Cal Poly55-54
04/03/22Cal Poly v UC Irvine65-54
30/01/22UC Irvine v Cal Poly72-48
12/03/21UC Irvine v Cal Poly58-51
24/01/21UC Irvine v Cal Poly67-44
UC Irvinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25AUC Santa Barbara97-88
07/03/25AUC Davis88-59
02/03/25HLong Beach State70-60
28/02/25ACS Fullerton76-51
23/02/25ACSU Bakersfield73-64
21/02/25HCS Northridge72-84
16/02/25AHawaii66-49
14/02/25HUC Santa Barbara62-60
09/02/25HUC San Diego67-85
01/02/25HUC Davis73-66
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25AUC Riverside96-83
13/03/25AUC Davis86-76
09/03/25ALong Beach State83-69
07/03/25HCS Fullerton100-61
01/03/25HCSU Bakersfield98-72
28/02/25AUC Santa Barbara77-96
22/02/25HUC Riverside112-100 OT
21/02/25HUC San Diego67-81
16/02/25ACS Northridge85-89
14/02/25ACS Fullerton98-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Irvine
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWLWLW83%
AwayWWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321220
Win %84%83%85%
Points / game75.776.975.0
Allowed / game65.665.065.9
Point differential+10.2+11.9+9.1
Avg total141.3141.9140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%15%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW47%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLLWWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341420
Win %47%64%35%
Points / game82.285.180.2
Allowed / game82.578.385.5
Point differential-0.3+6.8-5.2
Avg total164.7163.4165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %12%21%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego3329488%79.961.6+18.3
2 UC Irvine3227584%75.765.6+10.2
3 CS Northridge32221069%80.672.5+8.2
4 UC Riverside33211264%75.274.2+0.9
5 UC Santa Barbara34211362%74.368.8+5.5
6 Hawaii31151648%70.171.2-1.1
7 Cal Poly34161847%82.282.5-0.3
8 UC Davis32151747%68.070.3-2.3
9 CSU Bakersfield33141942%73.873.7+0.1
10 Long Beach State3272522%67.274.2-6.9
11 CS Fullerton3262619%63.277.3-14.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Irvine385896
Cal Poly393978
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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