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UC San Diego vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 84-72
0-0 43-27 0-0 41-45
Position#64
Record19-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game70.2
UC San Diego 🏆
USA
vs
CSU Bakersfield
USA
Position#356
Record8-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game80.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UC San Diego v CSU Bakersfield
26 Feb 2026
UC S84
CSU 72
07 Dec 2024
UC S81
CSU 60
28 Dec 2023
UC S76
CSU 64
04 Feb 2023
UC S69
CSU 75
29 Jan 2022
UC S83
CSU 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC San Diego winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC San DiegoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
83-62
83
62
+21
A17/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A23/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H25/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H30/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A08/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H13/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H15/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-30
0-0
45-32
0-0
25-30
0-0
55-44
0-0
28-28
0-0
31-33
0-0
22-35
0-0
26-27
0-0
28-41
0-0
36-40
0-0
38-30
0-0
39-44
0-0
32-34
0-0
35-38
0-0
33-20
0-0
35-31
0-0
32-28
0-0
40-38
0-0
36-29
0-0
35-40
136.1Avg total
68.9Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.170.2146.4+5.968%
Season at home (16)78.269.9148.1+8.269%
Season away (12)73.470.7144.1+2.867%
Last 10 (10)68.967.2136.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)71.066.4137.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)73.170.2143.3+2.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)76.569.3145.8+7.271%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H16/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H17/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A23/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
79-104
79
104
-25
H30/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H31/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A06/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A08/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H13/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A20/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-38
0-0
40-37
0-0
30-38
0-0
32-45
0-0
30-48
0-0
41-50
0-0
35-56
0-0
44-48
0-0
35-36
0-0
37-44
0-0
29-39
0-0
33-39
0-0
23-46
0-0
43-36
0-0
32-43
0-0
42-46
0-0
23-43
0-0
42-50
0-0
42-41
0-0
38-47
157.0Avg total
70.0Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)72.180.8153.0-8.729%
Season at home (15)74.375.6149.9-1.340%
Season away (13)69.686.8156.5-17.215%
Last 10 (10)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 5 (5)69.486.0155.4-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.283.7153.9-13.517%
vs Similar (3)70.764.0134.7+6.767%
vs Weaker (3)88.765.7154.3+23.0100%
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -12.0-12.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -5.0-5.0
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -12.0-12.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -5.0-5.0
UC San DiegoCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UC San DiegoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A17/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A23/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H25/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H30/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A01/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A08/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H13/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H15/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A22/02
NCAA
61.7Avg total
31.2Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.166.8+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.631.467.0+4.359%-
Last 30 away (13)33.533.166.5+0.454%-
Last 10 (10)31.230.561.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.228.262.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)33.232.165.3+1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)35.432.267.6+3.264%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H16/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H17/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A23/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H30/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H31/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A06/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A08/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A20/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/02
NCAA
73.6Avg total
30.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.438.270.6-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.635.770.2-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)29.941.171.0-11.37%-
Last 10 (10)30.842.873.6-12.010%-
Last 5 (5)29.842.472.2-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.940.271.1-9.312%-
vs Similar (3)32.334.066.3-1.733%-
vs Weaker (3)44.026.770.7+17.3100%-
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
UC San Diego wins
4
CSU Bakersfield wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26CSU Bakersfield v UC San Diego62-83
14/02/25CSU Bakersfield v UC San Diego54-73
08/12/24UC San Diego v CSU Bakersfield81-60
01/03/24CSU Bakersfield v UC San Diego70-57
29/12/23UC San Diego v CSU Bakersfield76-64
05/02/23UC San Diego v CSU Bakersfield69-75 OT
14/01/23CSU Bakersfield v UC San Diego56-52
04/03/22CSU Bakersfield v UC San Diego70-72
30/01/22UC San Diego v CSU Bakersfield83-75
14/02/21CSU Bakersfield v UC San Diego65-50
UC San Diegolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AUC Irvine71-69
15/02/26HUC Riverside72-66
13/02/26HUC Davis68-51
08/02/26AHawaii67-72
06/02/26HLong Beach State77-74
01/02/26ACS Northridge64-81
30/01/26HUC Santa Barbara48-62
25/01/26HUC Irvine59-61
23/01/26AUC Davis80-74
17/01/26ACSU Bakersfield83-62
CSU Bakersfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HCS Fullerton80-88
20/02/26AUC Riverside65-93
13/02/26HHawaii74-89
08/02/26ACS Fullerton66-82
06/02/26AUC Irvine62-78
31/01/26HUC Davis72-80
30/01/26HCal Poly79-104
23/01/26AHawaii71-98
17/01/26HUC San Diego62-83
16/01/26HUC Santa Barbara69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC San Diego
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game76.178.273.4
Allowed / game70.269.970.7
Point differential+5.9+8.2+2.8
Avg total146.4148.1144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL40%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %29%40%15%
Points / game72.174.369.6
Allowed / game80.875.686.8
Point differential-8.7-1.3-17.2
Avg total153.0149.9156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii2720774%79.468.9+10.5
2 UC San Diego2819968%76.170.2+5.9
3 UC Irvine28181064%77.067.8+9.3
4 CS Northridge28181064%82.079.0+2.9
5 UC Santa Barbara29181162%78.973.1+5.7
6 UC Davis29171259%78.275.0+3.2
7 CS Fullerton29151452%83.782.6+1.1
8 Cal Poly28121643%81.584.9-3.4
9 UC Riverside3092130%72.277.2-5.0
10 Long Beach State2882029%73.676.8-3.1
11 CSU Bakersfield2882029%72.180.8-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
UC San Diego04304184
CSU Bakersfield02704572
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