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UC San Diego vs Seattle Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 23 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Projected 77-64
Projected total 141.1
Scheduled
Position#169
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game86.7
Vs
88%
12%
■ UC S 88%■ SEAT 12%
Pythia win probability
Position#286
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UC San Diego v Seattle
22 Nov 2026
UC S v SEAT
upcoming
16 Nov 2024
UC S71
SEAT84
07 Nov 2022
UC S71
SEAT85
Sections
Game preview & prediction
UC San Diego host Seattle in the NCAA. Pythia makes UC San Diego the favourite at 88% and projects 77-64, about 141 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. UC San Diego are 2-1 this season (87.7 scored, 86.7 allowed a game), form WLWWL; Seattle are 1-2 this season (70.3 scored, 73.3 allowed a game), form WLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC San Diego win
87.8%fair 1.14
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Seattle win
12.2%fair 8.21
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC San DiegoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#60
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A22/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H27/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H01/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A06/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H12/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A13/03
NCAA
Whittier
#397
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H03/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#143
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Utah State
#7
L
82-120
82
120
-38
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-29
35-40
43-27
41-45
42-24
38-40
39-29
32-46
31-29
33-34
26-35
46-34
36-32
34-48
40-44
60-31
32-36
49-29
34-73
48-47
152.7Avg total
77.5Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.786.7174.3+1.067%
Season at home (2)90.570.0160.5+20.5100%
Season away (1)82.0120.0202.0-38.00%
Last 10 (10)77.575.2152.7+2.370%
Last 5 (5)81.081.8162.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0120.0202.0-38.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.469.1138.5+0.250%
vs Weaker (14)77.370.6147.9+6.771%
This opponent (Seattle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeattleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H16/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#101
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Portland State
#206
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
L
59-86
59
86
-27
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-18
24-32
28-35
42-37
29-20
42-39
39-27
48-53
29-32
42-34
30-35
28-21
29-32
29-29
39-47
34-27
28-28
51-32
22-41
37-45
135.0Avg total
68.6Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.373.3143.7-3.033%
Season at home (2)69.073.0142.0-4.050%
Season away (1)73.074.0147.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)68.666.4135.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)65.467.4132.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.977.5146.4-8.612%
vs Similar ◀ (8)66.465.9132.2+0.550%
vs Weaker (12)67.964.4132.3+3.575%
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 144
Over 144
42.4%
Under 144
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 149
Over 149
30.7%
Under 149
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
20.7%
Under 154
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

UC San Diego total 79.5
Over 79.5
40.9%
Under 79.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UC San Diego total 83.5
Over 83.5
26.3%
Under 83.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UC San Diego total 87.5
Over 87.5
15.0%
Under 87.5
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seattle total 61.5
Over 61.5
58.9%
Under 61.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seattle total 65.5
Over 65.5
43.1%
Under 65.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seattle total 69.5
Over 69.5
28.6%
Under 69.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread UC San Diego -3
UC S -3
83.4%
SEAT +3
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
UC S
No market prices yet.
SEAT
No market prices yet.
Spread UC San Diego 0
UC S 0
87.8%
SEAT 0
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
UC S
No market prices yet.
SEAT
No market prices yet.
Spread UC San Diego +3
UC S +3
91.8%
SEAT -3
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
UC S
No market prices yet.
SEAT
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +2.8+2.8
UC San DiegoSeattle
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC San DiegoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#60
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A22/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H27/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H01/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A06/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A08/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H12/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A13/03
NCAA
Whittier
#397
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#143
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/11
NCAA
Utah State
#7
L
34-73
34
73
-39
A14/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
35.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.467.2+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.632.066.6+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)33.034.967.9-1.957%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.871.7+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)33.644.077.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.073.0107.0-39.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.731.662.4-0.943%-
vs Weaker (14)36.531.568.0+5.071%-
This opponent (Seattle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeattleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H16/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#101
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/11
NCAA
Portland State
#206
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H12/11
NCAA
62.4Avg total
30.9Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.731.164.8+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.829.563.4+4.353%-
Last 30 away (13)33.533.266.7+0.438%-
Last 10 (10)30.931.562.4-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)29.636.666.2-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.435.566.9-4.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.231.962.1-1.612%-
vs Weaker (12)34.428.062.4+6.475%-
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UC San Diego wins
4
Seattle wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24UC San Diego v Seattle71-84
26/11/23Seattle v UC San Diego79-67
08/11/22UC San Diego v Seattle71-85
13/12/21Seattle v UC San Diego73-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUtah State82-120
08/11/26HFresno State81-65
03/11/26HWhittier100-75
13/03/26ACS Northridge70-80
12/03/26HCal Poly72-69
08/03/26AUC Santa Barbara64-63
06/03/26ACS Fullerton71-75
01/03/26HCal Poly80-64
27/02/26HCSU Bakersfield84-72
22/02/26AUC Irvine71-69
Seattlelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HUTSA Roadrunners59-86
08/11/26HPortland State79-60
03/11/26AHawaii73-74
08/03/26APacific58-61
07/03/26HSan Diego Toreros58-56
01/03/26ALoyola Marymount71-66
26/02/26APepperdine87-80
22/02/26HPortland71-59
19/02/26HSt. Marys (CA)70-72
16/02/26HOregon State60-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC San Diego
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game87.790.582.0
Allowed / game86.770.0120.0
Point differential+1.0+20.5-38.0
Avg total174.3160.5202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Seattle
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game70.369.073.0
Allowed / game73.373.074.0
Point differential-3.0-4.0-1.0
Avg total143.7142.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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