Seattle faces Portland State on 7 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring Seattle at 82% due to its 0-1 record, 73.0 points per game and 74.0 allowed, and a 1-0 record for Portland State with 111.0 points per game and 59.0 allowed. Seattle's single game was a 73-74 loss to Hawaii, while Portland State won 111-59 against Lewis & Clark College, then lost 72-75 to Montana and won 85-78 over Idaho State. In the two meetings Seattle has won both, most recently 91-74 on 4 December 2024. The projected score is 76-65 for Seattle, with a total of 141.5 points; the home line is -10.5 and the model gives a 50% chance Seattle covers, while the over/under line is 144.0 with a 43% probability of the over. The overtime probability is 3%. Seattle's recent 3-2 run in five games and Portland State's 3-2 run suggest a competitive matchup, but Seattle's higher scoring average and defensive record give it the edge.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 73.0 | 74.0 | 147.0 | -1.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 73.0 | 74.0 | 147.0 | -1.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 67.3 | 65.6 | 132.9 | +1.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.4 | 67.4 | 136.8 | +2.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 68.8 | 79.0 | 147.8 | -10.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (10) | 67.4 | 64.8 | 132.2 | +2.6 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 67.9 | 64.4 | 132.3 | +3.5 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 111.0 | 59.0 | 170.0 | +52.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 111.0 | 59.0 | 170.0 | +52.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 76.3 | 70.9 | 147.2 | +5.4 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.0 | 69.2 | 153.2 | +14.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (11) | 72.5 | 71.3 | 143.8 | +1.3 | 55% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 75.5 | 69.5 | 145.0 | +5.9 | 71% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 67.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.4 | 31.3 | 65.6 | +3.1 | 47% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 34.9 | 29.1 | 64.0 | +5.8 | 56% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 33.8 | 33.7 | 67.5 | +0.1 | 36% | 36% |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.5 | 29.8 | 61.3 | +1.7 | 40% | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.2 | 34.6 | 67.8 | -1.4 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 33.5 | 35.8 | 69.3 | -2.3 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Similar (10) | 31.2 | 32.9 | 64.1 | -1.7 | 10% | 30% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 34.4 | 28.0 | 62.4 | +6.4 | 75% | 25% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 67.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.3 | 30.7 | 64.0 | +2.6 | 47% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 36.1 | 29.3 | 65.4 | +6.8 | 62% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 30.1 | 32.3 | 62.4 | -2.1 | 29% | 29% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.0 | 33.0 | 68.0 | +2.0 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.4 | 32.0 | 68.4 | +4.4 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (11) | 31.5 | 32.0 | 63.5 | -0.5 | 36% | 36% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 32.5 | 30.6 | 63.1 | +1.9 | 47% | 35% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland State under 72.5 | 75.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Seattle under 81.5 | 70.8% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Seattle under 94.5 | 96.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Seattle under 86.5 | 85.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Seattle under 82.5 | 74.1% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Under 150.5 | 71.2% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Seattle under 92.5 | 95.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +4.5pp | - |
| Seattle under 87.5 | 87.5% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Seattle under 96.5 | 97.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Under 151.5 | 73.2% | 1.34 | 1.37 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Seattle under 84.5 | 80.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Seattle under 90.5 | 92.6% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Seattle (regulation) | 80.4% | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.17 | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Seattle +9.5 | 95.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Portland State under 71.5 | 72.7% | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Under 150 | 70.6% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Seattle under 88.5 | 89.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Under 151 | 72.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Portland State under 73.5 | 78.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Portland State under 77.5 | 87.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Portland State under 76.5 | 85.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Portland State +18.5 | 75.9% | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Lost |
| Portland State under 75.5 | 83.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Seattle +4.5 | 89.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Seattle -3.5 | 74.8% | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Seattle -2.5 | 77.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Seattle -4.5 | 71.6% | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Seattle -4 | 74.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Seattle -3 | 76.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Seattle win | 82.5% | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.16 | 1.15 | +0.7pp | Won |
| Seattle -5 | 70.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Portland State over 49.5 | 94.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Portland State +18 | 75.2% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Lost |
| Portland State +20.5 | 80.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Portland State +17 | 72.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Lost |
| Portland State +17.5 | 73.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Lost |
| Portland State over 50.5 | 92.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Won |
| Portland State +16.5 | 70.2% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Lost |
| Portland State over 51.5 | 91.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Won |
| Portland State over 52.5 | 89.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -1.3pp | Won |
| Portland State over 53.5 | 88.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Portland State over 54.5 | 85.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
| Portland State over 55.5 | 83.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Won |
| Portland State over 56.5 | 80.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -5.2pp | Won |
| Portland State over 59.5 | 71.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -6.0pp | Won |
| Portland State over 57.5 | 78.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -6.3pp | Won |
| Portland State over 58.5 | 75.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -6.4pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/12/24 | Seattle v Portland State | 91-74 |
| 13/11/22 | Seattle v Portland State | 83-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | A | Hawaii | 73-74 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Pacific | 58-61 |
| 07/03/26 | H | San Diego Toreros | 58-56 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Loyola Marymount | 71-66 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Pepperdine | 87-80 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Portland | 71-59 |
| 19/02/26 | H | St. Marys (CA) | 70-72 |
| 16/02/26 | H | Oregon State | 60-50 |
| 12/02/26 | A | Santa Clara | 72-84 |
| 08/02/26 | A | Portland | 53-54 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | Lewis & Clark College | 111-59 |
| 11/03/26 | H | Montana | 72-75 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Idaho State | 85-78 |
| 03/03/26 | H | Weber State | 84-60 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Montana | 68-74 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Montana State | 69-84 |
| 21/02/26 | H | East. Washington | 55-67 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Idaho | 77-67 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Northern Colorado | 65-77 |
| 13/02/26 | A | Northern Arizona | 77-68 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 73.0 | - | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 74.0 | - | 74.0 |
| Point differential | -1.0 | - | -1.0 |
| Avg total | 147.0 | - | 147.0 |
| Over 144.5 | 100% | - | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 111.0 | 111.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 59.0 | 59.0 | - |
| Point differential | +52.0 | +52.0 | - |
| Avg total | 170.0 | 170.0 | - |
| Over 144.5 | 100% | 100% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 99.0 | 64.5 | +34.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 82.5 | 49.5 | +33.0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 97.5 | 74.5 | +23.0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 92.0 | 71.0 | +21.0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 87.5 | 76.0 | +11.5 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 77.5 | 66.0 | +11.5 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 102.3 | 65.0 | +37.3 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 98.5 | 73.0 | +25.5 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 109.0 | 89.0 | +20.0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 90.5 | 73.0 | +17.5 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 73.0 | 74.0 | -1.0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 66.0 | 79.5 | -13.5 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 111.0 | 59.0 | +52.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 74.0 | +16.0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 87.0 | 63.5 | +23.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 82.0 | 67.0 | +15.0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 90.0 | 77.0 | +13.0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 78.5 | 77.0 | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 68.0 | 86.0 | -18.0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 71.0 | 91.5 | -20.5 | |
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 77.0 | 101.5 | -24.5 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 60.0 | 93.5 | -33.5 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 51 | 79 | |
| 28 | 32 | 60 |
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