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UCF Knights vs East Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-64
42-25 29-39
Position#199
Record3-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#238
Record7-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · UCF Knights v East Carolina
05 Mar 2023
UCF 84
EAST58
20 Feb 2022
UCF 69
EAST66
11 Mar 2021
UCF 72
EAST62
27 Jan 2021
UCF 71
EAST64
08 Mar 2020
UCF 94
EAST62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
East Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#276
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H08/03
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A06/12
NCAA
Florida State
#42
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A20/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H22/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H26/12
NCAA
South Florida
#244
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Temple
#300
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-29
47-33
30-21
33-34
34-38
24-42
34-39
52-35
35-35
40-35
25-25
29-38
35-34
26-34
27-27
28-35
19-45
39-30
33-32
32-46
135.6Avg total
66.9Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)63.969.4133.3-5.633%
Season at home (4)64.266.5130.8-2.250%
Season away (5)63.671.8135.4-8.220%
Last 10 (10)66.968.7135.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)58.669.2127.8-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.275.6141.8-9.420%
vs Similar ◀ (16)63.165.4128.4-2.344%
vs Weaker (4)77.564.0141.5+13.575%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N.C. Wesleyan
#425
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H01/12
NCAA
Radford
#145
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H05/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#229
W
88-78 OT
88
78
+10
H07/12
NCAA
North Florida
#284
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H10/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A17/12
NCAA
James Madison
#92
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Tulane
#233
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A02/01
NCAA
South Florida
#244
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H09/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
53-80
53
80
-27
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-30
47-32
31-27
32-23
51-37
22-36
40-38
33-29
28-30
27-40
33-25
40-39
32-25
36-33
24-28
32-32
26-25
37-44
18-49
35-31
134.1Avg total
68.3Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.165.0133.1+3.164%
Season at home (8)71.566.0137.5+5.575%
Season away (3)59.062.3121.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)68.365.8134.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)62.666.2128.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)64.072.6136.6-8.626%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.664.6135.2+6.075%
vs Weaker (3)75.766.0141.7+9.767%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
UCF KnightsEast Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#276
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H08/03
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H01/12
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H26/12
NCAA
South Florida
#244
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Temple
#300
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A14/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
19-45
19
45
-26
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/01
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.9Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.430.560.9-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.527.759.2+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)29.333.262.5-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.564.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)27.832.660.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.535.064.5-5.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)29.328.958.2+0.450%-
vs Weaker (4)37.025.562.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N.C. Wesleyan
#425
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H01/12
NCAA
Radford
#145
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#229
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H07/12
NCAA
North Florida
#284
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A17/12
NCAA
James Madison
#92
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Tulane
#233
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A02/01
NCAA
South Florida
#244
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
18-49
18
49
-31
H24/01
NCAA
64.1Avg total
32.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.633.464.0-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.932.164.0-0.256%-
Last 30 away (12)28.835.264.0-6.525%-
Last 10 (10)32.731.464.1+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)26.630.457.0-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)28.635.063.6-6.426%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.230.463.6+2.962%-
vs Weaker (3)36.731.067.7+5.7100%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UCF Knights wins
0
East Carolina wins
DateGameScore
08/03/20UCF Knights v East Carolina94-62
07/02/20East Carolina v UCF Knights64-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/21HSMU Mustangs65-78
17/01/21AHouston58-75
14/01/21ATemple55-62
03/01/21ASouth Florida61-68
26/12/20HHouston54-63
22/12/20HCincinnati75-70
20/12/20AFlorida State86-74
06/12/20AMichigan58-80
01/12/20HAuburn63-55
08/03/20HEast Carolina94-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HMemphis53-80
09/01/21HSouth Florida63-69
02/01/21ATulane56-60
22/12/20HTulane68-58
19/12/20HJames Madison73-64
17/12/20ASMU Mustangs55-70
10/12/20HNorth Florida73-67
07/12/20HNC Wilmington88-78 OT
05/12/20HRadford63-50
01/12/20HN.C. Wesleyan91-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game63.964.263.6
Allowed / game69.466.571.8
Point differential-5.6-2.2-8.2
Avg total133.3130.8135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
East Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %64%75%33%
Points / game68.171.559.0
Allowed / game65.066.062.3
Point differential+3.1+5.5-3.3
Avg total133.1137.5121.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %9%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor14140100%86.162.0+24.1
2 Houston1413193%73.856.3+17.5
3 Arizona1512380%80.368.5+11.7
4 Brigham Young1713476%76.767.0+9.7
5 Colorado1612475%76.463.8+12.6
6 West Virginia1511473%75.469.3+6.1
7 Oklahoma State1410471%76.670.8+5.8
8 Texas Tech1611569%75.561.7+13.8
9 Kansas1510567%75.368.6+6.7
10 TCU149564%67.769.1-1.4
11 Utah Utes136746%69.866.7+3.2
12 Arizona State124833%75.677.8-2.2
13 UCF Knights93633%63.969.4-5.6
14 Kansas State1651131%63.472.1-8.7
15 Cincinnati103730%69.772.3-2.6
16 Iowa State102820%67.675.4-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UAB1412286%75.458.5+16.9
2 Rice1510567%79.472.4+7.0
3 Wichita State128467%72.367.6+4.8
4 Memphis149564%71.962.6+9.3
5 East Carolina117464%68.165.0+3.1
6 Tulane106460%63.562.2+1.3
7 North Texas127558%74.262.8+11.5
8 South Florida127558%68.667.9+0.7
9 Tulsa148657%67.163.8+3.4
10 Florida Atlantic147750%78.567.4+11.1
11 Charlotte147750%64.764.1+0.6
12 Temple84450%64.467.6-3.2
13 UTSA Roadrunners157847%76.776.5+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights422971
East Carolina253964
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