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Udine vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 85-81 (OT)
17-15 14-25 16-12 17-12 21-17
Position#1
Record11-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game73.6
Udine 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record9-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game72.4
ItalySerie A2Round 16· PalaCarnera
Other2024-25
Meetings · Udine v Sebastiani Rieti
13 Dec 2024
UDI85
SEBA81
13 Apr 2024
UDI66
SEBA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Udine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUdine
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 74
H20/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
96-74
96
74
+22
102avg 74
A26/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
76-63
76
63
+13
65avg 74
A03/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
83-72
83
72
+11
73avg 74
H06/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 74
A10/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
84-75
84
75
+9
77avg 74
H13/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
93-87
93
87
+6
84avg 74
H17/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
92-64
92
64
+28
88avg 74
A22/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
98-67
98
67
+31
100avg 74
H01/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
60-85
60
85
-25
45avg 74
A08/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
20-18
14-24
27-16
28-11
26-11
28-30
14-22
22-17
14-16
22-15
18-15
16-18
16-23
24-22
27-9
20-23
19-29
20-17
22-20
27-14
23-20
22-13
12-28
15-25
23-24
28-15
27-23
23-12
25-15
28-20
16-17
24-14
23-9
21-18
30-26
8-21
14-15
23-28
15-21
158.8Avg total
83.8Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.273.6156.8+9.673%
Season at home (7)87.973.0160.9+14.9100%
Season away (8)79.174.1153.2+5.050%
Last 10 (10)83.875.0158.8+8.880%
Last 5 (5)85.475.6161.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.078.0144.0-12.00%
vs Similar (6)70.576.5147.0-6.017%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.572.4155.0+10.178%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
W
74-73
74
73
+1
66avg 68
H21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
97-78
97
78
+19
98avg 68
H27/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
71-81
71
81
-10
58avg 68
A03/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
61-60
61
60
+1
54avg 68
H06/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 68
A09/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
58-60
58
60
-2
50avg 68
H13/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
83-97
83
97
-14
70avg 68
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
70avg 68
H24/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
62avg 68
A01/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
79-67
79
67
+12
72avg 68
H07/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
12-21
22-17
25-17
28-24
21-17
33-14
15-23
13-18
17-24
15-22
26-17
9-14
19-19
15-14
18-13
22-16
17-11
14-25
10-25
16-23
15-10
11-16
16-11
24-28
24-20
17-27
18-22
17-23
22-12
14-15
24-16
15-19
19-18
22-19
13-18
23-16
17-19
21-19
18-13
146.5Avg total
73.2Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.672.4146.0+1.260%
Season at home (9)75.670.0145.6+5.678%
Season away (6)70.776.0146.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)73.273.3146.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)73.272.8146.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
vs Similar (22)74.272.7146.9+1.559%
vs Weaker (7)76.668.7145.3+7.986%
This opponent (Udine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
UdineSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H20/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
54-22
54
22
+32
A26/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H06/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A10/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H13/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H17/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A22/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H01/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A08/12
Serie A2
75.1Avg total
40.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.235.173.3+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.335.474.7+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.134.871.9+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.175.1+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.874.8+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.038.078.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (6)32.838.070.8-5.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.534.273.7+5.365%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H27/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H06/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A09/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H13/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H24/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A01/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/12
Serie A2
73.5Avg total
36.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.272.1-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.437.873.2-2.441%-
Last 30 away (13)34.336.370.6-2.023%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.073.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.676.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)29.036.065.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (22)35.037.772.7-2.632%-
vs Weaker (7)35.435.771.1-0.343%-
This opponent (Udine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.0
50.7%
50.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.612.0
39.2%
34.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
74.4%12.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.115.0
45.3%
50.1%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.4
33.6%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
74.4%14.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Udine
LWWWWLWWWW
Sebastiani Rieti
WLWLLLWLWW
#1
League position
#4
+12.4
Net rating
+0.4
115.6
Offensive rating
102.5
103.2
Defensive rating
102.1
54.6%
Effective FG%
47.6%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.8%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.2%
3-point %
33.6%
55.9%
Assist %
57.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 102.5Defence103.2 · 102.1Shooting54.6% · 47.6%3-point %39.2% · 33.6%Ball care15.7% · 18.8%Off. rebounds31.9% · 32.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Udine   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Udine wins
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Udine v Sebastiani Rieti66-89
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ALibertas Livorno60-85
01/12/24HJuVi Cremona98-67
22/11/24AVerona92-64
17/11/24HVigevano93-87
13/11/24HForli84-75
10/11/24ABrindisi81-89
06/11/24HPesaro83-72
03/11/24AAvellino Basket76-63
26/10/24AAssigeco Piacenza96-74
20/10/24HUrania Milano75-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HVigevano79-67
01/12/24ABasket Torino69-74
24/11/24HOrzinuovi77-66
17/11/24AJuVi Cremona83-97
13/11/24HVerona58-60
09/11/24ACividale63-77
06/11/24HFortitudo Bologna61-60
03/11/24ANardo71-81
27/10/24HLibertas Livorno97-78
21/10/24HBrindisi74-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Udine
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game83.287.979.1
Allowed / game73.673.074.1
Point differential+9.6+14.9+5.0
Avg total156.8160.9153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%78%33%
Points / game73.675.670.7
Allowed / game72.470.076.0
Point differential+1.2+5.6-5.3
Avg total146.0145.6146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1514193%84.075.6+8.4
2 Udine1511473%83.273.6+9.6
3 Cantu1511473%79.072.1+6.9
4 Cividale1511473%79.175.5+3.5
5 Verona159660%78.074.1+3.9
6 Urania Milano159660%77.774.4+3.3
7 Forli159660%77.174.2+2.9
8 Sebastiani Rieti159660%73.672.4+1.2
9 Avellino Basket158753%76.977.6-0.7
10 Fortitudo Bologna157847%75.574.9+0.7
11 Orzinuovi157847%78.579.9-1.4
12 Basket Torino157847%75.577.3-1.7
13 Brindisi156940%75.977.2-1.3
14 Pesaro156940%75.779.9-4.2
15 Libertas Livorno1551033%73.876.3-2.5
16 JuVi Cremona1551033%79.582.8-3.3
17 Nardo1551033%73.980.9-7.1
18 Vigevano1541127%76.281.1-4.9
19 Cento1541127%69.777.7-8.1
20 Assigeco Piacenza1531220%75.580.8-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Udine171416172185
Sebastiani Rieti152512121781
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