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Ulm vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-97
21-29 29-20 22-16 18-32
Position#13
Record9-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#3
Record11-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeEurocupRound 18· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Tel-Aviv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
W
98-77
98
77
+21
97avg 78
A02/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
94avg 78
A04/01
BBL
Gran Canaria
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
63avg 78
H07/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#12
W
82-72
82
72
+10
75avg 78
H11/01
BBL
Trento
#16
L
71-86
71
86
-15
58avg 78
A14/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
72avg 78
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 78
H22/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 78
H25/01
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 78
A28/01
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 78
A02/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-22
26-13
26-26
30-15
18-33
19-25
25-16
24-18
12-19
23-18
17-28
25-12
23-16
14-19
20-25
10-25
18-18
22-22
21-21
21-27
18-23
23-18
27-30
16-27
25-29
27-15
14-14
20-17
21-22
19-15
24-21
23-24
11-20
21-19
26-22
12-22
16-19
21-20
22-31
166.8Avg total
82.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.188.5175.6-1.553%
Season at home (8)87.882.5170.2+5.262%
Season away (9)86.493.9180.3-7.444%
Last 10 (10)82.684.2166.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)81.487.0168.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.381.7160.0-3.333%
vs Similar (13)88.993.0181.9-4.138%
vs Weaker (13)84.578.2162.7+6.469%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTel-Aviv
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
W
87-64
87
64
+23
83avg 91
A02/01
Eurocup
Hapoel Haifa
#14
W
108-79
108
79
+29
113avg 91
A05/01
Super League
Trento
#16
W
89-68
89
68
+21
90avg 91
H07/01
Eurocup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
77-92
77
92
-15
72avg 91
H11/01
Super League
Buducnost
#14
L
83-84
83
84
-1
81avg 91
A15/01
Eurocup
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#8
W
86-50
86
50
+36
no box
H19/01
Israel Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
84avg 91
H22/01
Eurocup
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
89avg 91
A26/01
Super League
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
91-72
91
72
+19
78avg 91
H29/01
Eurocup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#6
L
82-83
82
83
-1
79avg 91
H01/02
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
25-13
16-18
20-21
32-25
38-13
17-18
21-23
26-17
22-15
17-18
24-18
30-29
19-24
13-21
15-18
27-24
23-25
17-11
16-24
19-12
22-11
24-15
21-12
20-17
18-18
22-18
24-24
23-20
16-24
26-16
29-17
19-15
30-17
23-23
19-17
28-22
22-24
19-14
13-23
162.7Avg total
88.1Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.478.9167.3+9.465%
Season at home (9)89.876.9166.7+12.989%
Season away (8)86.881.2168.0+5.538%
Last 10 (10)88.174.6162.7+13.570%
Last 5 (5)87.471.8159.2+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)80.589.0169.5-8.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)89.375.3164.6+14.080%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
UlmHapoel Tel-Aviv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A02/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A04/01
BBL
Gran Canaria
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H11/01
BBL
Trento
#16
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A14/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H22/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H25/01
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A02/02
BBL
81.3Avg total
38.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.285.2-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.539.283.7+5.254%-
Last 30 away (17)40.146.386.4-6.235%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.481.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.646.082.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.344.381.7-7.00%-
vs Similar (13)41.347.688.9-6.331%-
vs Weaker (13)43.038.481.4+4.662%-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A02/01
Eurocup
Hapoel Haifa
#14
W
70-38
70
38
+32
A05/01
Super League
Trento
#16
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H07/01
Eurocup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H11/01
Super League
Buducnost
#14
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A15/01
Eurocup
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#8
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H19/01
Israel Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H22/01
Eurocup
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/01
Super League
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H29/01
Eurocup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H01/02
Super League
86.2Avg total
48.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.237.383.5+8.983%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.237.283.4+9.093%-
Last 30 away (16)46.237.483.6+8.875%-
Last 10 (10)48.537.786.2+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.079.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)43.243.286.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.936.983.8+10.088%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.1
54.3%
53.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.5
32.2%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.215.9
71.6%
76.0%15.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.8
58.9%
53.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.7
35.8%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.216.9
72.8%
76.0%16.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLWLLLWLWW
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
LWWWWLLWWW
#13
League position
#3
-2.6
Net rating
+15.9
107.5
Offensive rating
118.4
110.1
Defensive rating
102.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
56.9%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.2%
3-point %
35.8%
59.8%
Assist %
69.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 118.4Defence110.1 · 102.6Shooting51.8% · 56.9%3-point %32.2% · 35.8%Ball care19.0% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.2% · 30.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
0
Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins
DateGameScore
28/11/24Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Ulm80-82
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ALudwigsburg71-92
28/01/25ABahcesehir Kol.81-85
25/01/25HBonn84-75
22/01/25HBuducnost82-85
19/01/25ABasketball Braunschweig89-98
14/01/25ATrento71-86
11/01/25HRostock82-72
07/01/25HGran Canaria76-83
04/01/25ASyntainics MBC92-89
02/01/25ABamberg98-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HHapoel Beer Sheva82-83
29/01/25HTrefl Sopot91-72
26/01/25AIroni Kiryat Ata94-77
22/01/25HBahcesehir Kol.84-77
19/01/25HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan86-50
15/01/25ABuducnost83-84
11/01/25HHapoel Jerusalem77-92
07/01/25HTrento89-68
05/01/25AHapoel Haifa108-79
02/01/25AGran Canaria87-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game87.187.886.4
Allowed / game88.582.593.9
Point differential-1.5+5.2-7.4
Avg total175.6170.2180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %12%0%22%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%89%38%
Points / game88.489.886.8
Allowed / game78.976.981.2
Point differential+9.4+12.9+5.5
Avg total167.3166.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1715288%96.280.7+15.5
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1714382%83.575.1+8.5
3 Gran Canaria1812667%79.375.8+3.5
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1711665%88.478.9+9.4
5 Hapoel Jerusalem1710759%84.578.4+6.1
6 Cedevita Olimpija1710759%83.281.8+1.4
7 Turk Telekom1710759%80.682.0-1.4
8 Besiktas1810856%85.284.4+0.8
9 BC Wolves1810856%84.885.1-0.3
10 Venezia1810856%82.282.8-0.7
11 JL Bourg179853%86.082.2+3.8
12 Cluj-Napoca179853%89.087.8+1.2
13 Ulm179853%87.188.5-1.5
14 Buducnost189950%87.185.8+1.3
15 Joventut Badalona1761135%80.185.9-5.8
16 Trento1861233%79.284.7-5.5
17 Hamburg1751229%78.088.5-10.5
18 Lietkabelis1851328%82.687.9-5.3
19 Aris1731418%74.884.6-9.8
20 Trefl Sopot181176%76.386.2-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2129221890
Hapoel Tel-Aviv2920163297
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