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Ulm vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-72
25-12 23-16 14-19 20-25
Position#2
Record9-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game79.1
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#12
Record7-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.9
GermanyBBLRound 16· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Rostock
24 Apr 2027
ULM v ROS
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
ULM87
ROS80
11 Jan 2025
ULM82
ROS72
03 Dec 2023
ULM89
ROS107
05 May 2023
ULM116
ROS86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bonn
#14
W
95-75
95
75
+20
94avg 78
A01/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
83-69
83
69
+14
75avg 78
H03/12
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
102-88
102
88
+14
100avg 78
A11/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#4
L
67-69
67
69
-2
62avg 78
H14/12
BBL
BC Wolves
#10
W
114-91
114
91
+23
108avg 78
H18/12
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#16
L
85-87
85
87
-2
84avg 78
A23/12
BBL
Besiktas
#9
W
104-87
104
87
+17
106avg 78
H26/12
Eurocup
Bamberg
#15
W
98-77
98
77
+21
97avg 78
A02/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
94avg 78
A04/01
BBL
Gran Canaria
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
63avg 78
H07/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
31-17
24-16
29-19
19-19
19-21
20-12
25-17
32-16
24-26
29-28
17-18
20-22
28-11
12-17
7-19
32-16
24-29
32-17
26-29
21-25
21-15
23-24
20-23
34-23
18-21
29-20
23-23
23-16
23-22
26-13
26-26
30-15
18-33
19-25
25-16
24-18
12-19
23-18
17-28
173.1Avg total
91.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.079.1164.1+5.969%
Season at home (6)81.870.8152.7+11.083%
Season away (7)87.786.1173.9+1.657%
Last 10 (10)91.681.5173.1+10.170%
Last 5 (5)91.084.6175.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.080.0157.0-3.050%
vs Similar (13)88.690.8179.4-2.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.478.1163.6+7.379%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 70
A20/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
49avg 70
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
74avg 70
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
64-69
64
69
-5
56avg 70
H10/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
62avg 70
A30/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
70-80
70
80
-10
63avg 70
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
63-80
63
80
-17
53avg 70
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
81avg 70
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
96-85
96
85
+11
85avg 70
A31/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 70
H04/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-12
26-20
23-19
17-16
20-19
12-12
11-21
23-16
22-25
18-16
20-9
13-12
22-15
9-25
20-17
18-14
21-21
24-23
18-28
19-14
21-24
15-28
15-14
22-12
12-19
7-26
22-23
30-20
20-23
21-15
21-20
22-15
21-32
24-17
29-21
24-21
13-19
25-19
25-24
155.5Avg total
78.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.877.9156.6+0.950%
Season at home (8)77.976.2154.1+1.650%
Season away (6)80.080.0160.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)78.577.0155.5+1.550%
Last 5 (5)81.681.2162.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.591.8172.2-11.225%
vs Similar (12)77.080.6157.6-3.633%
vs Weaker (5)86.677.6164.2+9.060%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
UlmRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A01/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/12
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A11/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H14/12
BBL
BC Wolves
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H18/12
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#16
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/12
BBL
Besiktas
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H26/12
Eurocup
Bamberg
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A02/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A04/01
BBL
Gran Canaria
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/01
Eurocup
87.1Avg total
46.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.984.0+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.037.780.7+5.354%-
Last 30 away (17)41.345.286.5-3.941%-
Last 10 (10)46.440.787.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.486.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.044.583.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (13)41.345.186.4-3.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.538.480.9+4.157%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A30/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/01
BBL
77.3Avg total
40.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.681.0-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.378.4-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.083.5-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.377.3+2.780%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.880.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.843.884.7-3.025%-
vs Similar (12)38.738.377.0+0.367%-
vs Weaker (5)43.437.480.8+6.080%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.523.1
60.0%
52.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.6
38.6%
33.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.6
73.2%
73.5%15.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
52.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.5
34.9%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.613.2
71.0%
73.5%13.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWWWLWLWWW
Rostock
WWWLLLLWLW
#2
League position
#12
+13.3
Net rating
+2.9
119.1
Offensive rating
106.7
105.8
Defensive rating
103.8
59.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.4%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.6%
3-point %
34.9%
60.9%
Assist %
47.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 106.7Defence105.8 · 103.8Shooting59.1% · 51.2%3-point %38.6% · 34.9%Ball care19.4% · 18.4%Off. rebounds35.1% · 31.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
2
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Rostock v Ulm71-96
03/12/23Ulm v Rostock89-107
05/05/23Ulm v Rostock116-86
09/10/22Rostock v Ulm85-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25HGran Canaria76-83
04/01/25ASyntainics MBC92-89
02/01/25ABamberg98-77
26/12/24HBesiktas104-87
23/12/24AFrankfurt85-87
18/12/24HBC Wolves114-91
14/12/24HHeidelberg67-69
11/12/24AJoventut Badalona102-88
03/12/24HTrefl Sopot83-69
01/12/24ABonn95-75
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HVechta87-83
31/12/24AAlba Berlin96-85
26/12/24HHamburg92-78
21/12/24ABasketball Braunschweig63-80
15/12/24HBayern70-80
30/11/24AHeidelberg81-86
10/11/24HBonn64-69
01/11/24HFrankfurt83-66
27/10/24HChemnitz60-68
20/10/24ABamberg89-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW69%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game85.081.887.7
Allowed / game79.170.886.1
Point differential+5.9+11.0+1.6
Avg total164.1152.7173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.877.980.0
Allowed / game77.976.280.0
Point differential+0.9+1.6+0.0
Avg total156.6154.1160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern139469%81.975.8+6.1
2 Ulm139469%85.079.1+5.9
3 Heidelberg139469%79.877.5+2.4
4 Wurzburg149564%81.276.5+4.7
5 Basketball Braunschweig149564%80.277.9+2.3
6 Chemnitz148657%80.079.6+0.4
7 Ludwigsburg158753%74.370.9+3.4
8 Bonn158753%85.584.0+1.5
9 Syntainics MBC147750%84.283.0+1.2
10 Rostock147750%78.877.9+0.9
11 Vechta126650%82.384.2-1.8
12 Oldenburg157847%85.785.3+0.5
13 Hamburg146843%81.382.0-0.7
14 Bamberg146843%81.182.9-1.9
15 Alba Berlin135838%84.984.5+0.4
16 Frankfurt1431121%76.784.7-8.0
17 Gottingen131128%78.897.1-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2523142082
Rostock1216192572
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