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Ulm vs Lyon-Villeurbanne Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 86-68
19-24 27-14 16-19 24-11
Position#10
Record7-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.5
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record12-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game70.9
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2018
Meetings · Ulm v Lyon-Villeurbanne
05 Feb 2019
ULM86
ASV68
06 Dec 2017
ULM84
ASV94
16 Oct 2013
ULM86
ASV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lyon-Villeurbanne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-63
70
63
+7
96avg 107
H03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
L
91-100
91
100
-9
no box
H06/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
115avg 107
A08/01
Eurocup
Bremerhaven
#17
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A13/01
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
106avg 107
H16/01
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
105-94
105
94
+11
no box
H18/01
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
98avg 107
A23/01
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
94-81
94
81
+13
no box
A26/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
83-68
83
68
+15
108avg 107
A30/01
Eurocup
Bremerhaven
#17
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
H02/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
19-18
20-17
17-13
24-25
29-22
11-32
27-21
19-24
21-26
28-28
21-15
28-32
21-13
17-17
22-16
23-26
18-27
16-19
24-12
37-22
27-22
14-28
27-22
24-26
14-26
16-19
22-17
21-21
24-18
23-18
26-24
21-20
17-19
19-16
26-13
22-16
17-14
14-24
25-15
167.3Avg total
85.5Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.282.5165.7+0.747%
Season at home (7)83.679.4163.0+4.171%
Season away (8)82.985.1168.0-2.225%
Last 10 (10)85.581.8167.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)87.280.0167.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.591.8174.2-9.20%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.786.0171.7-0.342%
vs Weaker (14)86.778.7165.4+8.086%
This opponent (Lyon-Villeurbanne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon-VilleurbanneLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLyon-Villeurbanne
Date
Competition
Levallois
#12
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A26/12
LNB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
67-65
67
65
+2
96avg 105
A02/01
Eurocup
Ulm
#10
W
93-89
93
89
+4
124avg 105
H08/01
Eurocup
Nanterre
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
no box
A12/01
LNB
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-58
70
58
+12
94avg 105
A16/01
Eurocup
Cholet
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H19/01
LNB
Frankfurt
#16
W
75-52
75
52
+23
102avg 105
H22/01
Eurocup
Dijon
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A27/01
LNB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
72-61
72
61
+11
106avg 105
H30/01
Eurocup
Levallois
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H02/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
22-16
25-16
17-27
15-15
19-19
17-18
16-13
24-19
26-21
28-28
15-21
23-16
26-21
14-20
15-22
18-15
15-14
16-12
21-17
17-13
21-16
14-24
16-23
13-7
25-9
20-17
17-19
19-15
21-21
20-34
17-24
22-16
15-24
21-10
14-11
21-13
24-12
19-24
17-26
149.7Avg total
76.9Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.970.9148.8+6.980%
Season at home (8)79.567.6147.1+11.988%
Season away (7)76.074.7150.7+1.371%
Last 10 (10)76.972.8149.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)74.671.6146.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.175.1153.3+3.071%
vs Weaker (22)81.573.0154.5+8.577%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: -3.8-3.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: -3.8-3.8
UlmLyon-Villeurbanne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H06/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A08/01
Eurocup
Bremerhaven
#17
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/01
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H16/01
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H18/01
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A23/01
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/01
Eurocup
Bremerhaven
#17
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H02/02
BBL
87.2Avg total
44.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.084.0+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.741.484.1+1.344%-
Last 30 away (14)41.242.683.9-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.287.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.885.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.248.888.0-9.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.743.285.9-0.650%-
vs Weaker (14)42.238.981.1+3.350%-
This opponent (Lyon-Villeurbanne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon-VilleurbanneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levallois
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A26/12
LNB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A02/01
Eurocup
Ulm
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/01
Eurocup
Nanterre
#4
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A12/01
LNB
Frankfurt
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A16/01
Eurocup
Cholet
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H19/01
LNB
Frankfurt
#16
W
38-16
38
16
+22
H22/01
Eurocup
Dijon
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A27/01
LNB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/01
Eurocup
Levallois
#12
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H02/02
LNB
73.2Avg total
41.0Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.276.8+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.033.074.0+8.082%-
Last 30 away (13)42.338.180.4+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)41.032.273.2+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)39.629.268.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.037.074.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.336.177.4+5.171%-
vs Weaker (22)41.934.876.7+7.082%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.7
47.7%
51.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.1
36.5%
36.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.520.0
78.4%
74.9%20.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lyon-Villeurbannetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon-Villeurbanne: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.8
51.5%
51.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.3
32.3%
36.6%18.9
🏀 Free throws17.812.1
68.0%
74.9%12.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWLWLWLLW
Lyon-Villeurbanne
WWLWLWLWWW
#10
League position
#5
+3.7
Net rating
+11.2
108.5
Offensive rating
108.2
104.8
Defensive rating
97.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
32.3%
60.1%
Assist %
57.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 108.2Defence104.8 · 97.1Shooting50.2% · 50.5%3-point %36.5% · 32.3%Ball care15.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds25.6% · 36.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Lyon-Villeurbanne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
3
Lyon-Villeurbanne wins
DateGameScore
08/01/19Lyon-Villeurbanne v Ulm93-89
06/12/17Ulm v Lyon-Villeurbanne84-94
17/10/17Lyon-Villeurbanne v Ulm108-77
20/11/13Lyon-Villeurbanne v Ulm60-78
16/10/13Ulm v Lyon-Villeurbanne86-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19HBremerhaven78-69
30/01/19AFrankfurt83-68
26/01/19AMitteldeutscher94-81
23/01/19ALokomotiv Kuban76-88
18/01/19HMitteldeutscher105-94
16/01/19HLokomotiv Kuban81-84
13/01/19ABremerhaven88-78
08/01/19ALyon-Villeurbanne89-93
06/01/19HBamberg91-100
03/01/19HFrankfurt70-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19HLevallois81-75
30/01/19HLokomotiv Kuban72-61
27/01/19ADijon77-94
22/01/19HFrankfurt75-52
19/01/19HCholet68-76
16/01/19AFrankfurt70-58
12/01/19ANanterre78-79
08/01/19HUlm93-89
02/01/19ALokomotiv Kuban67-65
26/12/18ALevallois88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game83.283.682.9
Allowed / game82.579.485.1
Point differential+0.7+4.1-2.2
Avg total165.7163.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Lyon-Villeurbanne
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%88%71%
Points / game77.979.576.0
Allowed / game70.967.674.7
Point differential+6.9+11.9+1.3
Avg total148.8147.1150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1513287%86.175.7+10.4
2 Valencia1513287%83.775.5+8.2
3 Lokomotiv Kuban1512380%83.575.4+8.1
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne1512380%77.970.9+6.9
5 Unicaja1511473%85.978.5+7.3
6 Alba Berlin1511473%86.881.9+4.9
7 MoraBanc Andorra1511473%86.482.1+4.3
8 Monaco159660%76.474.9+1.5
9 Crvena zvezda157847%80.777.6+3.1
10 Ulm157847%83.282.5+0.7
11 Rytas157847%78.979.5-0.7
12 Partizan156940%74.975.7-0.7
13 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
14 Frankfurt156940%72.777.5-4.8
15 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
16 Zenit Petersburg1551033%82.383.1-0.8
17 Limoges1551033%78.982.4-3.5
18 Cedevita1551033%83.587.2-3.7
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1927162486
Lyon-Villeurbanne2414191168
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