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Ulm vs Lokomotiv Kuban Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-84
23-26 18-27 16-19 24-12
Position#10
Record6-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game83.1
Ulm
vs
Lokomotiv Kuban 🏆
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2018
Meetings · Ulm v Lokomotiv Kuban
16 Jan 2019
ULM81
LKU84
30 Nov 2016
ULM105
LKU101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lokomotiv Kuban winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
H08/12
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
117avg 107
H11/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
A14/12
BBL
Brescia
#19
W
97-80
97
80
+17
128avg 107
A19/12
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A26/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
H29/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-63
70
63
+7
96avg 107
H03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
L
91-100
91
100
-9
no box
H06/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
115avg 107
A08/01
Eurocup
Bremerhaven
#17
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A13/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
15-21
21-20
28-19
22-19
21-24
23-18
22-19
24-21
19-18
18-26
20-15
28-17
23-18
22-22
24-23
18-19
24-20
17-17
18-26
17-16
19-20
15-17
31-19
14-15
19-18
20-17
17-13
24-25
29-22
11-32
27-21
19-24
21-26
28-28
21-15
28-32
21-13
17-17
22-16
165.1Avg total
84.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.083.1167.1+0.950%
Season at home (6)84.078.7162.7+5.383%
Season away (6)84.087.5171.5-3.517%
Last 10 (10)84.980.2165.1+4.770%
Last 5 (5)84.081.2165.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)80.895.0175.8-14.20%
vs Similar (14)83.686.2169.9-2.636%
vs Weaker (11)85.779.3165.0+6.582%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKuban
Date
Competition
Tofas
#12
W
105-99 OT
105
99
+6
no box
A21/11
Eurocup
Enisey
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
no box
A24/11
VTB United League
Astana
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H09/12
VTB United League
Cedevita
#18
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H12/12
Eurocup
Minsk
#14
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
H16/12
VTB United League
Alba Berlin
#4
W
92-82
92
82
+10
126avg 111
A19/12
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#13
W
73-67
73
67
+6
no box
A22/12
VTB United League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
65-67
65
67
-2
88avg 111
H02/01
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#13
W
73-41
73
41
+32
no box
H06/01
VTB United League
Frankfurt
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
123avg 111
A08/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
26-25
24-30
22-19
26-19
17-26
20-23
30-18
22-19
20-17
14-22
15-32
17-8
21-19
21-23
21-26
24-13
20-14
21-13
15-29
17-21
22-19
31-19
22-23
18-16
13-14
19-18
23-19
15-15
19-19
18-17
13-16
13-12
14-10
27-12
19-7
22-13
20-19
27-20
23-17
157.0Avg total
82.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.975.2160.1+9.883%
Season at home (6)82.272.3154.5+9.867%
Season away (6)87.778.0165.7+9.7100%
Last 10 (10)82.474.6157.0+7.880%
Last 5 (5)79.065.2144.2+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.586.0161.5-10.50%
vs Similar (5)81.676.2157.8+5.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.574.3158.8+10.178%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
UlmLokomotiv Kuban
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/12
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H11/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/12
BBL
Brescia
#19
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A19/12
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A26/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#11
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H06/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A08/01
Eurocup
Bremerhaven
#17
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/01
BBL
82.9Avg total
42.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.183.3-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.782.1-1.233%-
Last 30 away (15)42.042.584.5-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.282.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.284.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.546.886.2-7.20%-
vs Similar (14)41.843.585.3-1.743%-
vs Weaker (11)41.139.380.4+1.845%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A21/11
Eurocup
Enisey
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/11
VTB United League
Astana
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/12
VTB United League
Cedevita
#18
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H12/12
Eurocup
Minsk
#14
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H16/12
VTB United League
Alba Berlin
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A19/12
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#13
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A22/12
VTB United League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H02/01
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#13
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H06/01
VTB United League
Frankfurt
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/01
Eurocup
71.8Avg total
38.4Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.378.0+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.836.077.8+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)41.636.678.2+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)38.433.471.8+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.666.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.542.079.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (5)42.442.084.4+0.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.934.676.5+7.383%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
51.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.7
34.1%
36.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.918.7
78.2%
74.9%18.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.8
52.9%
51.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.28.1
42.2%
36.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.116.7
83.1%
74.9%16.7
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLLWWLWWWW
Lokomotiv Kuban
WWLWWWWLWW
#10
League position
#3
+2.5
Net rating
+14.9
108.3
Offensive rating
115.8
105.8
Defensive rating
100.9
50.0%
Effective FG%
56.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
37.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.1%
3-point %
42.2%
53.7%
Assist %
65.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 115.8Defence105.8 · 100.9Shooting50.0% · 56.3%3-point %34.1% · 42.2%Ball care17.3% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.4% · 37.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Ulm   ■ Lokomotiv Kuban
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
0
Lokomotiv Kuban wins
DateGameScore
30/11/16Ulm v Lokomotiv Kuban105-101 OT
26/10/16Lokomotiv Kuban v Ulm62-77
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19ABremerhaven88-78
08/01/19ALyon-Villeurbanne89-93
06/01/19HBamberg91-100
03/01/19HFrankfurt70-63
29/12/18HFrankfurt82-72
26/12/18ABasketball Braunschweig77-82
19/12/18ABrescia97-80
14/12/18AVechta81-80
11/12/18HMoraBanc Andorra88-80
08/12/18HGottingen86-74
Lokomotiv Kubanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/19AFrankfurt92-69
06/01/19HZielona Gora73-41
02/01/19HLyon-Villeurbanne65-67
22/12/18AZielona Gora73-67
19/12/18AAlba Berlin92-82
16/12/18HMinsk80-69
12/12/18HCedevita80-76
09/12/18HAstana71-90
24/11/18AEnisey93-86
21/11/18ATofas105-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game84.084.084.0
Allowed / game83.178.787.5
Point differential+0.9+5.3-3.5
Avg total167.1162.7171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Lokomotiv Kuban
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game84.982.287.7
Allowed / game75.272.378.0
Point differential+9.8+9.8+9.7
Avg total160.1154.5165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1311285%85.375.8+9.5
2 Lokomotiv Kuban1210283%84.975.2+9.8
3 Valencia1210283%84.275.6+8.6
4 Unicaja1310377%87.879.2+8.6
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1310377%78.573.2+5.4
6 Alba Berlin139469%87.783.2+4.5
7 MoraBanc Andorra139469%86.482.8+3.6
8 Monaco139469%78.275.2+3.0
9 Crvena zvezda127558%81.876.5+5.3
10 Ulm126650%84.083.1+0.9
11 Rytas136746%78.579.2-0.7
12 Frankfurt136746%74.677.2-2.6
13 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
14 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
15 Zenit Petersburg135838%84.182.9+1.2
16 Partizan135838%75.176.1-1.0
17 Cedevita135838%83.786.2-2.5
18 Limoges134931%79.683.6-4.0
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2318162481
Lokomotiv Kuban2627191284
← all games of the day
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