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Ulm vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 87-82
25-23 20-18 18-15 24-26
Position#17
Record0-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game95.0
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2
European cup2016
Meetings · Ulm v Petrol Olimpija
19 Oct 2016
ULM87
POL82
06 Nov 2013
ULM83
POL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#3
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H31/05
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
82-101
82
101
-19
A05/06
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
H08/06
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A12/06
BBL
Bayreuth
#4
W
95-87 OT
95
87
+8
A25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
105-95
105
95
+10
H01/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#7
W
98-94
98
94
+4
A03/10
BBL
Bremerhaven
#12
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H08/10
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
58-95
58
95
-37
A12/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#11
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A16/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
18-9
21-13
19-37
22-23
17-31
19-22
24-25
21-28
22-11
22-26
17-17
17-25
20-13
12-27
16-27
15-23
23-19
24-15
19-24
25-27
20-23
34-26
26-19
29-21
29-23
15-24
25-26
25-14
25-13
23-38
23-18
16-26
18-22
11-23
13-24
21-21
18-14
16-16
24-22
172.5Avg total
84.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)58.095.0153.0-37.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)58.095.0153.0-37.00%
Last 10 (10)84.188.4172.5-4.360%
Last 5 (5)87.288.0175.2-0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.986.8160.7-12.936%
vs Similar (7)83.083.1166.1-0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.581.2172.7+10.392%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A26/05
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#6
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A29/09
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Igokea
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A07/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H09/10
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H12/10
Eurocup
Polzela
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#2
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
A16/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
16-18
13-17
16-16
24-23
18-12
22-22
26-31
16-14
8-15
21-18
14-21
25-18
25-20
24-29
11-19
14-23
15-28
26-18
25-22
19-20
16-18
19-15
18-20
20-15
21-24
27-13
13-20
12-12
12-19
19-21
21-20
21-19
20-26
22-20
17-13
22-20
20-21
21-17
12-17
154.5Avg total
75.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.072.0136.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)64.072.0136.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.778.8154.5-3.130%
Last 5 (5)76.476.2152.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.882.1160.9-3.318%
vs Similar (13)81.479.5160.9+1.838%
vs Weaker (6)78.076.0154.0+2.083%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
UlmPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#3
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H31/05
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A05/06
BBL
Bamberg
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/06
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A12/06
BBL
Bayreuth
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H01/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#7
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A03/10
BBL
Bremerhaven
#12
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H08/10
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A12/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A16/10
BBL
81.5Avg total
41.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.681.8+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.137.279.3+4.869%-
Last 30 away (17)40.643.183.8-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.981.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.886.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.341.377.5-5.036%-
vs Similar (7)42.743.486.1-0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.038.283.2+6.875%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A26/05
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#6
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A29/09
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Igokea
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/10
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H12/10
Eurocup
Polzela
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A16/10
ABA League
74.8Avg total
36.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.678.8-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.438.980.3+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.340.277.5-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.874.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.875.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.540.680.2-1.136%-
vs Similar (13)38.937.476.3+1.562%-
vs Weaker (6)39.242.581.7-3.317%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.315.7
53.4%
54.3%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.3
34.6%
34.3%28.0
🏀 Free throws24.718.7
75.7%
75.3%18.7
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
1
Petrol Olimpija wins
DateGameScore
11/12/13Petrol Olimpija v Ulm74-61
06/11/13Ulm v Petrol Olimpija83-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/16AFrankfurt79-73
12/10/16AValencia58-95
08/10/16HBremerhaven96-83
03/10/16AAlba Berlin98-94
01/10/16HOldenburg105-95
25/09/16ABayreuth95-87 OT
12/06/16ABamberg65-92
08/06/16HBamberg90-92 OT
05/06/16ABamberg82-101
31/05/16HFrankfurt73-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/16APartizan85-86 OT
14/10/16APolzela80-78
12/10/16HLokomotiv Kuban64-72
09/10/16HMornar Bar81-72
07/10/16AIgokea72-73
03/10/16HKK Krka Novo mesto80-91
29/09/16AMega Bemax85-86
26/05/16AZlatorog Lasko59-68
23/05/16HZlatorog Lasko90-88
21/05/16AZlatorog Lasko61-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game58.0-58.0
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential-37.0--37.0
Avg total153.0-153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Petrol Olimpija
Eurocup 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game64.064.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total136.0136.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia110100%95.058.0+37.0
2 Gran Canaria220100%103.578.0+25.5
3 Unicaja110100%86.062.0+24.0
4 Murcia110100%86.077.0+9.0
5 Lokomotiv Kuban110100%72.064.0+8.0
6 Alba Berlin110100%88.081.0+7.0
7 Khimki M.110100%76.071.0+5.0
8 Zenit Petersburg110100%80.077.0+3.0
9 Lietkabelis220100%85.082.5+2.5
10 MZT Skopje1010%89.090.0-1.0
11 Bayern1010%77.080.0-3.0
12 Rytas1010%71.076.0-5.0
13 Fuenlabrada1010%81.088.0-7.0
14 Petrol Olimpija1010%64.072.0-8.0
15 Cedevita2020%76.090.5-14.5
16 Buducnost2020%69.586.0-16.5
17 Nizhny Novgorod1010%80.0106.0-26.0
18 Ulm1010%58.095.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2520182487
Petrol Olimpija2318152682
← all games of the day
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