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Petrol Olimpija vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-72
20-15 21-24 27-13 13-20
Position#10
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 4
Domestic2016
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Mornar Bar
28 Sep 2018
POL87
MBA66
21 Oct 2017
POL64
MBA67
09 Oct 2016
POL81
MBA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#12
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#12
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H17/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A26/05
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#6
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A29/09
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Igokea
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A07/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-16
15-24
21-26
21-19
16-20
24-17
17-18
16-24
15-22
19-20
21-15
23-20
17-20
18-8
15-15
16-23
16-18
13-17
16-16
24-23
18-12
22-22
26-31
16-14
8-15
21-18
14-21
25-18
25-20
24-29
11-19
14-23
15-28
26-18
25-22
19-20
16-18
19-15
18-20
152.0Avg total
74.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.579.5158.0-1.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)78.579.5158.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)74.078.0152.0-4.030%
Last 5 (5)77.281.2158.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.282.6161.8-3.420%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.078.9159.9+2.143%
vs Weaker (6)77.574.5152.0+3.083%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#4
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H15/03
BIBL
Kozuv
#7
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A22/03
BIBL
Kozuv
#7
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H29/03
BIBL
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A12/04
BIBL
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#1
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H20/04
BIBL
Igokea
#29
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A27/09
Champions League
Igokea
#29
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H29/09
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A04/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H07/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
19-12
40-19
17-18
18-23
22-23
23-16
8-24
24-18
23-13
19-19
15-6
25-23
11-22
12-23
20-14
23-15
12-24
22-8
18-21
20-20
17-20
21-13
11-18
20-17
16-6
21-18
26-19
18-10
10-17
15-15
14-16
16-28
21-20
28-23
24-20
24-10
18-22
14-19
27-8
146.7Avg total
76.9Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.369.3145.7+7.033%
Season at home (2)70.058.5128.5+11.550%
Season away (1)89.091.0180.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)76.969.8146.7+7.150%
Last 5 (5)76.267.8144.0+8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.074.6148.6-0.643%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.279.7157.9-1.422%
vs Weaker (14)80.468.4148.9+12.079%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
Petrol OlimpijaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H17/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A26/05
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#6
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A29/09
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Igokea
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/10
ABA League
74.4Avg total
35.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.879.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.639.582.1+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.840.176.9-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.974.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.274.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.742.082.7-1.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.637.577.1+2.164%-
vs Weaker (6)38.341.579.8-3.217%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H15/03
BIBL
Kozuv
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A22/03
BIBL
Kozuv
#7
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H29/03
BIBL
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/04
BIBL
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H20/04
BIBL
Igokea
#29
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/09
Champions League
Igokea
#29
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/09
Champions League
Partizan
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H01/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A04/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H07/10
ABA League
73.5Avg total
37.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.377.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.934.873.7+4.169%-
Last 30 away (14)40.142.482.4-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.173.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.070.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.039.777.7-1.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.239.976.1-3.722%-
vs Weaker (14)42.236.678.9+5.671%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
51.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.5
32.8%
34.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws25.018.0
72.0%
73.3%18.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.3
52.0%
51.9%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.3
36.7%
34.3%22.0
🏀 Free throws16.311.0
67.3%
73.3%11.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LLLLWLWLWL
Mornar Bar
WLLWLWLWLW
#10
League position
#8
-3.7
Net rating
+10.0
93.5
Offensive rating
98.7
97.2
Defensive rating
88.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
40.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
22.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
36.7%
71.4%
Assist %
48.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 98.7Defence97.2 · 88.7Shooting49.6% · 53.0%3-point %32.8% · 36.7%Ball care22.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds23.1% · 24.2%Free throws0.42 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Petrol Olimpija wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/16AIgokea72-73
03/10/16HKK Krka Novo mesto80-91
29/09/16AMega Bemax85-86
26/05/16AZlatorog Lasko59-68
23/05/16HZlatorog Lasko90-88
21/05/16AZlatorog Lasko61-74
17/05/16HTajfun Sentjur73-63
15/05/16ATajfun Sentjur71-81
12/05/16HTajfun Sentjur78-74
07/05/16HKK Krka Novo mesto71-82
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/16HKarpos83-59
04/10/16ACibona89-91
01/10/16HPartizan57-58
29/09/16HIgokea83-60
27/09/16AIgokea69-71
20/04/16HZ-Mobile Prishtina75-68
12/04/16AZ-Mobile Prishtina68-82
29/03/16HKozuv81-56
22/03/16AKozuv71-86
15/03/16HTivat93-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game78.5-78.5
Allowed / game79.5-79.5
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total158.0-158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game76.370.089.0
Allowed / game69.358.591.0
Point differential+7.0+11.5-2.0
Avg total145.7128.5180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda440100%94.568.8+25.8
2 Partizan330100%79.366.7+12.7
3 Buducnost330100%90.080.0+10.0
4 FMP Beograd32167%81.374.3+7.0
5 Cibona32167%81.079.0+2.0
6 Igokea32167%72.774.0-1.3
7 Cedevita42250%84.072.8+11.2
8 KK Krka Novo mesto21150%71.067.0+4.0
9 Mornar Bar31233%76.369.3+7.0
10 Mega Bemax41325%81.891.0-9.2
11 Zadar41325%73.8101.0-27.2
12 Petrol Olimpija2020%78.579.5-1.0
13 Karpos3030%67.382.7-15.3
14 MZT Skopje3030%64.088.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2021271381
Mornar Bar1524132072
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