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UMass Lowell vs Rivier Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 84-67
Projected total 150.7
Final 121-57
60-29 61-28
Position#106
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
UMass Lowell 🏆
USA
Vs
93%
■ UMAS 93%■ RIVI 7%
Pythia win probability
Rivier
USA
Position#518
Record-
FormLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UMass Lowell v Rivier
02 Nov 2026
UMAS121
RIVI57
03 Nov 2025
UMAS107
RIVI55
04 Nov 2024
UMAS115
RIVI59
06 Nov 2023
UMAS96
RIVI51
09 Nov 2021
UMAS91
RIVI55
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
UMass Lowell host Rivier in the NCAA. Pythia makes UMass Lowell the favourite at 93% and projects 84-67, about 151 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass Lowell winWon
92.7%fair 1.08
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rivier winLost
7.3%fair 13.61
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMass LowellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A06/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H19/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A27/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
60-84
60
84
-24
H28/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A03/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H07/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
15-42
41-39
39-38
50-41
42-38
46-31
42-28
36-28
43-35
49-44
30-34
34-32
33-37
27-47
35-26
32-30
35-42
46-34
29-43
40-48
148.1Avg total
74.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.473.7148.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)68.274.6142.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.981.5147.4-15.60%
vs Similar (10)77.175.9153.0+1.260%
vs Weaker (8)76.070.8146.8+5.275%
RivierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#207
L
55-91
55
91
-36
A10/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
51-96
51
96
-45
A06/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
59-115
59
115
-56
A04/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
55-107
55
107
-52
A04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-49
32-42
27-50
24-46
31-55
28-60
32-42
23-65
157.2Avg total
55.0Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (4)55.0102.2157.2-47.20%
Last 5 (4)55.0102.2157.2-47.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
70.7%
Under 142
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Over 147
Over 147
58.9%
Under 147
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Over 152
Over 152
46.4%
Under 152
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

UMass Lowell total 73Actual: UMass Lowell over 73
Over 73
86.9%
Under 73
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UMass Lowell total 77Actual: UMass Lowell over 77
Over 77
76.1%
Under 77
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UMass Lowell total 81Actual: UMass Lowell over 81
Over 81
61.4%
Under 81
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rivier total 66Actual: Rivier under 66
Over 66
53.4%
Under 66
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rivier total 70Actual: Rivier under 70
Over 70
37.1%
Under 70
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rivier total 74Actual: Rivier under 74
Over 74
23.0%
Under 74
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread UMass Lowell -3Actual: UMass Lowell -3
UMAS -3
89.7%
RIVI +3
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
UMAS
No market prices yet.
RIVI
No market prices yet.
Spread UMass Lowell 0Actual: UMass Lowell 0
UMAS 0
92.7%
RIVI 0
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
UMAS
No market prices yet.
RIVI
No market prices yet.
Spread UMass Lowell +3Actual: UMass Lowell +3
UMAS +3
95.2%
RIVI -3
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
UMAS
No market prices yet.
RIVI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-33-17+0+17+331st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -20.8-20.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -26.5-26.5
-33-17+0+17+331st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -20.8-20.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -26.5-26.5
UMass LowellRivier
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMass LowellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A06/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A27/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A03/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/03
NCAA
70.6Avg total
34.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.736.171.8-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.333.872.2+4.558%-
Last 30 away (18)34.037.671.6-3.644%-
Last 10 (10)34.336.370.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.468.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.539.072.5-5.530%-
vs Similar (10)36.137.473.5-1.340%-
vs Weaker (8)34.233.968.1+0.475%-
RivierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#207
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A10/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A06/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A04/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/11
NCAA
77.2Avg total
28.2Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)28.249.077.2-20.80%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (4)28.249.077.2-20.80%-
Last 10 (4)28.249.077.2-20.80%-
Last 5 (4)28.249.077.2-20.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UMass Lowell wins
0
Rivier wins
DateGameScore
04/11/25UMass Lowell v Rivier107-55
04/11/24UMass Lowell v Rivier115-59
06/11/23UMass Lowell v Rivier96-51
10/11/21UMass Lowell v Rivier91-55
UMass Lowelllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26AUMBC Retrievers69-91
07/03/26HAlbany Great Danes81-76
03/03/26AMaine Black Bears67-56
28/02/26HUMBC Retrievers60-84
27/02/26AVermont64-66
21/02/26HBinghamton92-79
19/02/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats78-56
12/02/26HBryant University88-69
08/02/26AAlbany Great Danes89-79
06/02/26ANJIT56-81
Rivierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25AUMass Lowell55-107
04/11/24AUMass Lowell59-115
06/11/23AUMass Lowell51-96
10/11/21AUMass Lowell55-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass Lowell
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rivier
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
3 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
5 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
6 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
7 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
8 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
9 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
10 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
11 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
12 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
13 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
14 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
15 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
16 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
17 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
18 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
19 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
20 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
21 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
22 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
23 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
24 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
25 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
26 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
27 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
28 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
29 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
30 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
31 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
32 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
33 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
34 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
35 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
36 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
37 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
38 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
39 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
40 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
41 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
42 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
43 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
44 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
45 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
46 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
47 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
48 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
49 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
50 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
51 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
52 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
53 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
54 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
55 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
56 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
57 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
58 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
59 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
60 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
61 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
62 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
63 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
64 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 64 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass Lowell6061121
Rivier292857
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