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UMBC Retrievers vs UMass Lowell Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 91-69
43-29 48-40
Position#43
Record22-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#247
Record15-17
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v UMass Lowell
23 Jan 2027
UMBC v UMAS
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
UMBC91
UMAS69
24 Jan 2026
UMBC79
UMAS56
01 Feb 2025
UMBC67
UMAS83
08 Feb 2024
UMBC80
UMAS93
22 Feb 2023
UMBC70
UMAS75
06 Mar 2022
UMBC93
UMAS85
08 Jan 2022
UMBC64
UMAS66
06 Mar 2021
UMBC77
UMAS79
04 Jan 2020
UMBC73
UMAS86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass Lowell winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
77-65 OT
77
65
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H05/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A14/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H19/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H26/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A28/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
91-52
91
52
+39
A03/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
41-37
39-26
40-36
37-24
41-38
47-28
38-35
38-26
37-36
28-32
38-30
36-30
34-28
37-33
47-27
46-24
45-28
34-30
50-39
140.4Avg total
78.9Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.167.2143.3+8.973%
Season at home (15)76.163.8139.9+12.387%
Season away (15)76.170.6146.7+5.560%
Last 10 (10)78.961.5140.4+17.4100%
Last 5 (5)79.060.2139.2+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)60.591.5152.0-31.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)77.365.9143.3+11.478%
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMass LowellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H31/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A06/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H19/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A27/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
60-84
60
84
-24
H28/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A03/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-31
48-46
15-42
41-39
39-38
50-41
42-38
46-31
42-28
36-28
43-35
49-44
30-34
34-32
33-37
27-47
35-26
32-30
35-42
46-34
148.9Avg total
76.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.175.8150.9-0.847%
Season at home (14)84.172.3156.4+11.971%
Season away (18)68.078.6146.6-10.628%
Last 10 (10)76.672.3148.9+4.370%
Last 5 (5)72.872.2145.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.680.4146.0-14.90%
vs Similar (11)76.275.6151.8+0.555%
vs Weaker (8)76.070.8146.8+5.275%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +7.7+7.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +7.7+7.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
UMBC RetrieversUMass Lowell
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A14/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A03/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H07/03
NCAA
65.0Avg total
36.9Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.567.2+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.829.966.7+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)34.533.167.6+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)36.928.165.0+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.866.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)23.046.069.0-23.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)36.430.767.1+5.763%-
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMass LowellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H31/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A06/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A27/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A03/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/03
NCAA
70.8Avg total
35.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.671.6+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.233.571.8+4.762%-
Last 30 away (17)34.337.271.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.170.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.870.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.038.672.6-4.633%-
vs Similar (11)36.236.772.9-0.545%-
vs Weaker (8)34.233.968.1+0.475%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UMBC Retrievers wins
7
UMass Lowell wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats84-69
03/03/26ANJIT91-52
28/02/26AUMass Lowell84-60
26/02/26HBryant University70-58
21/02/26HAlbany Great Danes66-62
19/02/26HVermont75-62
14/02/26ANew Hampshire Wildcats85-63
12/02/26AMaine Black Bears78-62
05/02/26HBinghamton79-62
01/02/26AAlbany Great Danes77-65 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HAlbany Great Danes81-76
03/03/26AMaine Black Bears67-56
28/02/26HUMBC Retrievers60-84
27/02/26AVermont64-66
21/02/26HBinghamton92-79
19/02/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats78-56
12/02/26HBryant University88-69
08/02/26AAlbany Great Danes89-79
06/02/26ANJIT56-81
31/01/26HMaine Black Bears91-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %73%87%60%
Points / game76.176.176.1
Allowed / game67.263.870.6
Point differential+8.9+12.3+5.5
Avg total143.3139.9146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%60%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %10%7%13%
UMass Lowell
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLWLW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %47%71%28%
Points / game75.184.168.0
Allowed / game75.872.378.6
Point differential-0.8+11.9-10.6
Avg total150.9156.4146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMBC Retrievers3022873%76.167.2+8.9
2 Vermont32211166%74.268.8+5.4
3 NJIT32161650%67.473.6-6.1
4 UMass Lowell32151747%75.175.8-0.8
5 Bryant University3192229%64.872.5-7.6
6 Binghamton3182326%67.974.9-7.0
7 Maine Black Bears3282425%62.568.4-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers434891
UMass Lowell294069
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