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UMass vs Bowling Green Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 100-101 (OT)
34-34 52-52 14-15
Position#189
Record9-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#143
Record10-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#80
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H04/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H06/12
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
103-95
103
95
+8
A13/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H20/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#631
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
37-40
25-33
50-46
34-31
39-34
36-21
42-50
42-32
38-28
35-33
41-41
43-47
60-48
24-35
35-34
41-21
50-19
41-38
33-42
147.6Avg total
77.4Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.171.4150.4+7.764%
Season at home (9)79.668.4148.0+11.167%
Season away (5)78.276.6154.8+1.660%
Last 10 (10)77.470.2147.6+7.260%
Last 5 (5)80.671.6152.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)67.376.1143.4-8.820%
vs Similar (15)79.674.7154.3+4.960%
vs Weaker (4)75.869.8145.5+6.075%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#100
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H20/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H24/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
81-48
81
48
+33
H26/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A02/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#714
W
131-50
131
50
+81
H07/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H17/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A20/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#591
W
125-66
125
66
+59
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-41
48-41
35-24
36-42
45-20
36-28
49-35
33-31
31-38
40-44
71-26
60-24
40-28
36-27
42-29
26-29
52-28
73-38
28-54
55-39
152.8Avg total
86.2Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.266.4154.6+21.871%
Season at home (11)90.765.0155.7+25.773%
Season away (3)79.071.7150.7+7.367%
Last 10 (10)86.266.6152.8+19.670%
Last 5 (5)96.664.4161.0+32.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.487.8161.2-14.40%
vs Similar (10)68.170.7138.8-2.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.464.2147.6+19.286%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +10.0+10.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +10.0+10.0
UMassBowling Green
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#80
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H04/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H06/12
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H20/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#631
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/12
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.568.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.133.668.8+1.547%-
Last 30 away (13)33.535.669.2-2.154%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.066.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.871.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.939.271.1-7.320%-
vs Similar (15)34.732.567.3+2.253%-
vs Weaker (4)38.033.571.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#100
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H20/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H24/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H26/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A02/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H06/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#714
W
71-26
71
26
+45
H07/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H17/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A20/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#591
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H31/12
NCAA
74.2Avg total
41.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.570.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.632.269.8+5.463%-
Last 30 away (11)35.935.871.7+0.164%-
Last 10 (10)41.932.374.2+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.633.079.6+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.843.473.2-13.620%-
vs Similar (10)32.832.565.3+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.131.371.4+8.986%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
0
Bowling Green wins
No previous meetings.
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25AEastern Michigan74-80
22/12/25HMassachusetts-Boston91-40
20/12/25HKent State59-69
13/12/25AFlorida State103-95
11/12/25ABoston College76-74
06/12/25HUMass Lowell80-60
04/12/25HHarvard78-71
24/11/25AOregon State73-65
22/11/25HWisc. Green Bay75-79
21/11/25ACharleston65-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HMiami (Ohio)83-93
22/12/25HSiena Heights125-66
20/12/25AOhio68-58
17/12/25HChicago State76-55
07/12/25HAquinas131-50
06/12/25HUtah Valley State71-82
02/12/25AKansas State82-66
26/11/25HVMI81-48
24/11/25HBucknell71-66
20/11/25HWilliam & Mary74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game79.179.678.2
Allowed / game71.468.476.6
Point differential+7.7+11.1+1.6
Avg total150.4148.0154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bowling Green
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %71%73%67%
Points / game88.290.779.0
Allowed / game66.465.071.7
Point differential+21.8+25.7+7.3
Avg total154.6155.7150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%64%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)14140100%94.971.9+23.0
2 Buffalo1412286%79.570.4+9.1
3 Akron1310377%97.176.8+20.2
4 Bowling Green1410471%88.266.4+21.8
5 Kent State1410471%90.181.2+8.9
6 UMass149564%79.171.4+7.7
7 Toledo137654%83.078.0+5.0
8 Ohio147750%77.375.6+1.6
9 Eastern Michigan147750%71.972.6-0.7
10 Western Michigan146843%75.978.8-2.9
11 Northern Illinois145936%76.178.4-2.3
12 Ball State134931%68.067.6+0.4
13 Central Michigan1441029%71.978.1-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UMass345214100
Bowling Green345215101
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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