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Florida State vs UMass Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-103
47-43 48-60
Position#167
Record5-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game78.4
vs
UMass 🏆
USA
Position#189
Record7-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#273
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
101-64
101
64
+37
H08/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A12/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H21/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
59-95
59
95
-36
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
73-107
73
107
-34
H03/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-30
36-36
58-44
50-32
46-30
55-34
40-37
36-41
43-40
44-33
40-29
58-43
35-24
54-35
24-52
35-43
30-49
43-58
33-41
34-41
159.2Avg total
82.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.278.4162.7+5.856%
Season at home (7)87.978.0165.9+9.971%
Season away (2)71.580.0151.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)82.077.2159.2+4.850%
Last 5 (5)77.283.0160.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.584.0155.5-12.523%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.870.6146.4+5.162%
vs Weaker (9)82.969.2152.1+13.767%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H04/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H14/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H04/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H06/12
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
35-40
38-32
45-30
48-38
46-42
51-28
33-49
28-29
37-40
25-33
50-46
34-31
39-34
36-21
42-50
42-32
38-28
35-33
41-41
149.5Avg total
78.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.071.5149.5+6.570%
Season at home (7)80.972.4153.3+8.471%
Season away (3)71.369.3140.7+2.067%
Last 10 (10)78.071.5149.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)76.469.8146.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.476.2144.6-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.273.8151.0+3.453%
vs Weaker (3)76.366.3142.7+10.0100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
Florida StateUMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#273
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A12/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H21/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H03/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/12
NCAA
75.1Avg total
37.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.435.168.5-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.334.468.7-0.158%-
Last 30 away (11)31.836.368.1-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.675.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)32.439.071.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.440.573.9-7.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.129.559.6+0.662%-
vs Weaker (9)36.332.168.4+4.267%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H16/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H04/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H06/12
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
37.4Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.568.4-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.134.469.6+0.744%-
Last 30 away (12)32.134.666.7-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)37.431.568.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.064.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.339.071.3-6.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.531.465.9+3.160%-
vs Weaker (3)37.032.069.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Florida State wins
0
UMass wins
DateGameScore
24/11/24UMass v Florida State59-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AHouston67-82
03/12/25HGeorgia73-107
28/11/25HTexas A&M59-95
26/11/25HCSU Bakersfield89-59
21/11/25HGeorgia Southern98-72
19/11/25HUT Martin87-73
12/11/25AFlorida76-78
08/11/25HAlabama State101-64
05/11/25HAlcorn State108-76
11/03/25HSyracuse62-66
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25ABoston College76-74
06/12/25HUMass Lowell80-60
04/12/25HHarvard78-71
24/11/25AOregon State73-65
22/11/25HWisc. Green Bay75-79
21/11/25ACharleston65-69
16/11/25HCentral Connecticut State84-77
14/11/25HLe Moyne94-80
08/11/25HAlbany Great Danes83-62
04/11/25HMarshall72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %56%71%0%
Points / game84.287.971.5
Allowed / game78.478.080.0
Point differential+5.8+9.9-8.5
Avg total162.7165.9151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %70%71%67%
Points / game78.080.971.3
Allowed / game71.572.469.3
Point differential+6.5+8.4+2.0
Avg total149.5153.3140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke10100100%86.859.6+27.2
2 California109190%83.069.1+13.9
3 SMU Mustangs109190%89.876.0+13.8
4 Louisville98189%93.867.6+26.2
5 North Carolina98189%81.265.0+16.2
6 Virginia119282%84.171.0+13.1
7 Virginia Tech119282%83.373.6+9.6
8 Miami (FL)108280%85.665.3+20.3
9 Stanford97278%81.972.2+9.7
10 Notre Dame118373%76.969.0+7.9
11 Clemson107370%83.066.7+16.3
12 NC State107370%88.872.7+16.1
13 Wake Forest107370%84.272.7+11.5
14 Syracuse96367%73.064.4+8.6
15 Georgia Tech106460%72.469.2+3.2
16 Florida State95456%84.278.4+5.8
17 Pittsburgh105550%71.869.3+2.5
18 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)990100%94.869.0+25.8
2 Buffalo109190%78.271.2+7.0
3 Akron108280%95.474.8+20.6
4 Kent State108280%97.881.6+16.2
5 Bowling Green107370%88.365.8+22.5
6 UMass107370%78.071.5+6.5
7 Toledo95456%84.077.9+6.1
8 Eastern Michigan116555%71.970.9+1.0
9 Western Michigan105550%76.778.3-1.6
10 Central Michigan93633%74.278.7-4.4
11 Northern Illinois93633%73.479.8-6.3
12 Ohio93633%73.981.0-7.1
13 Ball State103730%65.069.4-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State474895
UMass4360103
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