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UMass vs Northeastern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-72
35-30 42-42
Position#303
Record4-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game74.7
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Position#181
Record8-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UMass v Northeastern
18 Dec 2024
UMAS77
NORT72
11 Dec 2020
UMAS94
NORT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northeastern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#131
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A09/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
H17/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#247
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A27/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H01/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H05/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#489
W
86-52
86
52
+34
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-45
41-30
33-45
33-31
30-35
33-28
36-43
44-44
27-37
32-55
24-24
38-30
41-24
39-44
31-33
38-40
38-40
45-56
47-24
39-28
147.3Avg total
72.5Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.374.7150.0+0.536%
Season at home (8)78.977.1156.0+1.838%
Season away (3)65.768.3134.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)72.574.8147.3-2.330%
Last 5 (5)76.068.6144.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.282.4151.6-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.569.3139.8+1.238%
vs Weaker (12)79.869.8149.6+10.183%
This opponent (Northeastern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NortheasternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#99
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H10/11
NCAA
Harvard
#247
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H14/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A16/11
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A23/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A24/11
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A30/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
46-44
39-21
39-35
50-28
30-34
30-27
30-31
26-27
33-28
29-34
31-34
22-35
42-33
31-27
51-41
28-32
50-43
31-26
44-45
137.2Avg total
71.2Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.066.5138.5+5.573%
Season at home (5)74.867.2142.0+7.680%
Season away (6)69.766.0135.7+3.767%
Last 10 (10)71.266.0137.2+5.270%
Last 5 (5)71.870.0141.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.270.8136.0-5.725%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.168.6139.7+2.567%
vs Weaker (3)72.766.3139.0+6.367%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +2.8+2.8
UMassNortheastern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#131
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A09/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H17/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#247
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A27/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H01/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H07/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#489
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H14/12
NCAA
68.5Avg total
33.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.770.1+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.333.468.8+1.944%-
Last 30 away (12)35.436.772.1-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)33.535.068.5-1.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.065.2+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.440.071.4-8.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.134.268.3-0.246%-
vs Weaker (12)38.433.171.5+5.358%-
This opponent (Northeastern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NortheasternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#99
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H10/11
NCAA
Harvard
#247
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H14/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A16/11
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A23/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A24/11
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A30/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Colgate
#267
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H08/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/12
NCAA
60.8Avg total
31.6Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.830.663.4+2.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.728.561.2+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)32.932.565.4+0.431%-
Last 10 (10)31.629.260.8+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)28.230.859.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.131.763.8+0.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.531.164.6+2.547%-
vs Weaker (3)32.024.356.3+7.767%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMass wins
2
Northeastern wins
DateGameScore
08/12/21Northeastern v UMass82-76
13/12/20Northeastern v UMass78-75
11/12/20UMass v Northeastern94-79
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HMassachusetts-Boston86-52
07/12/24HUMass Lowell83-96
05/12/24HCentral Connecticut State69-73
01/12/24HNJIT80-68
27/11/24AHarvard62-54
24/11/24HFlorida State59-92
23/11/24HTemple80-87
17/11/24HHofstra71-75 OT
13/11/24ALouisiana Tech66-76
09/11/24AWest Virginia69-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AOld Dominion75-71
08/12/24HColgate78-75
04/12/24HLa Salle82-68
30/11/24AVermont64-68
24/11/24ACSU Bakersfield60-68
23/11/24AFlorida Gulf Coast59-55
22/11/24HFlorida International60-58
16/11/24ACentral Connecticut State80-62
14/11/24HHarvard78-56
10/11/24HPrinceton76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game75.378.965.7
Allowed / game74.777.168.3
Point differential+0.5+1.8-2.7
Avg total150.0156.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %9%12%0%
Northeastern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW73%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game72.074.869.7
Allowed / game66.567.266.0
Point differential+5.5+7.6+3.7
Avg total138.5142.0135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State108280%69.760.2+9.5
2 Akron96367%85.275.4+9.8
3 Miami (Ohio)96367%76.371.6+4.8
4 Toledo106460%81.277.3+3.9
5 Central Michigan105550%77.371.6+5.7
6 Buffalo105550%76.178.2-2.1
7 Eastern Michigan105550%69.774.2-4.5
8 Bowling Green104640%78.674.4+4.2
9 Ball State104640%73.772.7+1.0
10 Ohio104640%77.879.6-1.8
11 UMass114736%75.374.7+0.5
12 Western Michigan103730%71.073.3-2.3
13 Northern Illinois103730%69.676.2-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston108280%79.976.4+3.5
2 Northeastern118373%72.066.5+5.5
3 Elon107370%80.365.4+14.9
4 NC Wilmington107370%82.274.7+7.5
5 Drexel128467%73.265.8+7.5
6 Hofstra128467%69.964.9+5.0
7 Hampton105550%72.568.7+3.8
8 Campbell115645%71.765.7+6.0
9 William & Mary104640%83.475.2+8.2
10 Towson124833%64.666.1-1.5
11 Stony Brook113827%66.475.2-8.8
12 N. Carolina A&T123925%75.379.2-3.9
13 Monmouth121118%64.477.6-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass354277
Northeastern304272
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