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UMass vs Central Connecticut State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-73
31-33 38-40
Position#303
Record3-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#24
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game66.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UMass v Central Connecticut State
16 Nov 2025
UMAS84
CENT77
04 Dec 2024
UMAS69
CENT73
22 Nov 2023
UMAS89
CENT60
07 Nov 2022
UMAS94
CENT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Connecticut State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#288
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H07/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H14/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H05/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A09/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
H17/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#247
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A27/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
33-30
25-42
34-31
49-31
54-43
28-45
41-30
33-45
33-31
30-35
33-28
36-43
44-44
27-37
32-55
24-24
38-30
41-24
39-44
145.3Avg total
71.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.875.1148.9-1.438%
Season at home (5)78.679.2157.8-0.640%
Season away (3)65.768.3134.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)71.573.8145.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)70.475.2145.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)64.781.0145.7-16.30%
vs Similar (13)70.569.3139.8+1.238%
vs Weaker (14)81.371.0152.3+10.386%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#363
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H02/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H07/03
NCAA
Wagner
#193
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H09/03
NCAA
Providence
#300
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A05/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Vermont State - Johnson
#638
W
117-68
117
68
+49
H12/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H16/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A22/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H24/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-25
37-42
34-32
37-30
23-28
33-38
26-24
29-35
37-27
36-40
63-32
54-36
28-50
34-30
26-43
28-24
28-19
36-37
36-31
33-36
135.9Avg total
70.0Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.666.3136.9+4.357%
Season at home (4)78.067.8145.8+10.275%
Season away (3)60.764.3125.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)70.065.9135.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)73.267.6140.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)69.367.8137.1+1.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)71.066.2137.2+4.870%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.9+0.9
UMassCentral Connecticut State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#288
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H07/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H14/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H05/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A09/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H17/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#247
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A27/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H01/12
NCAA
68.6Avg total
32.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.870.6+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.433.268.5+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)36.436.973.3-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)32.636.068.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)31.632.664.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)29.342.371.7-13.00%-
vs Similar (13)34.134.268.3-0.246%-
vs Weaker (14)38.833.772.5+5.164%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#363
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H02/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Wagner
#193
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H09/03
NCAA
Providence
#300
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A05/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A09/11
NCAA
Vermont State - Johnson
#638
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H12/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H16/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A22/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H24/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H01/12
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.3Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.964.7+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.129.765.8+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)31.132.463.4-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)34.331.165.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.071.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)32.931.063.9+1.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)33.531.464.9+2.150%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UMass wins
0
Central Connecticut State wins
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HNJIT80-68
27/11/24AHarvard62-54
24/11/24HFlorida State59-92
23/11/24HTemple80-87
17/11/24HHofstra71-75 OT
13/11/24ALouisiana Tech66-76
09/11/24AWest Virginia69-75
05/11/24HNew Hampshire Wildcats103-74
14/03/24HVCU Rams59-73
07/03/24HFordham66-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HUMass Lowell69-67
24/11/24HBinghamton64-56
22/11/24ASacred Heart54-67
16/11/24HNortheastern62-80
12/11/24HVermont State - Johnson117-68
09/11/24ASaint Josephs Hawks73-67
05/11/24AProvidence55-59
09/03/24HWagner56-66
07/03/24HSt. Francis (PA)71-62
02/03/24HStonehill79-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game73.878.665.7
Allowed / game75.179.268.3
Point differential-1.4-0.6-2.7
Avg total148.9157.8134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game70.678.060.7
Allowed / game66.367.864.3
Point differential+4.3+10.2-3.7
Avg total136.9145.8125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State86275%67.461.0+6.4
2 Akron75271%83.675.9+7.7
3 Miami (Ohio)75271%74.071.1+2.9
4 Toledo85362%76.878.9-2.1
5 Central Michigan74357%77.767.3+10.4
6 Buffalo95456%78.479.7-1.2
7 Eastern Michigan95456%69.071.4-2.4
8 Bowling Green83538%75.972.2+3.6
9 Ball State83538%72.870.4+2.4
10 Western Michigan83538%72.169.8+2.4
11 UMass83538%73.875.1-1.4
12 Ohio83538%77.580.1-2.6
13 Northern Illinois93633%71.073.4-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State74357%70.666.3+4.3
2 Mercyhurst Lakers105550%67.669.5-1.9
3 Stonehill105550%67.671.8-4.2
4 Wagner73443%57.359.6-2.3
5 Fairleigh Dickinson93633%80.783.0-2.3
6 LIU Sharks103730%69.672.9-3.3
7 Le Moyne103730%74.982.9-8.0
8 St. Francis (PA)103730%66.678.4-11.8
9 Chicago State100100%60.284.7-24.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass313869
Central Connecticut State334073
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