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UMBC Retrievers vs Lafayette Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-63
23-24 48-39
Position#153
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#317
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.3
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lafayette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#10
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A19/02
NCAA
Hartford
#279
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A24/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H26/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H02/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
93-85 OT
93
85
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Hartford
#279
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
43-82
43
82
-39
A12/03
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#458
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Princeton
#52
L
64-94
64
94
-30
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-46
32-40
39-37
53-48
52-28
41-51
46-37
32-31
44-38
34-40
33-33
47-27
20-37
23-45
32-45
35-44
40-24
52-41
27-41
37-53
155.4Avg total
76.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.382.7157.0-8.333%
Season at home (2)78.079.5157.5-1.550%
Season away (1)67.089.0156.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)76.179.3155.4-3.260%
Last 5 (5)69.278.0147.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.487.4149.8-25.00%
vs Similar (15)72.773.3145.9-0.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)77.767.3145.0+10.378%
This opponent (Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#80
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H17/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
A19/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#324
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H22/02
NCAA
Boston University
#107
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A24/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#266
L
58-78
58
78
-20
H26/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A08/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-38
25-31
40-33
37-35
33-44
50-39
39-22
45-39
33-31
27-45
24-44
34-34
40-31
31-40
30-28
24-39
32-34
36-49
26-36
33-27
143.0Avg total
69.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)60.371.0131.3-10.70%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)60.371.0131.3-10.70%
Last 10 (10)69.173.9143.0-4.820%
Last 5 (5)64.074.6138.6-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)60.370.8131.1-10.419%
vs Similar (12)73.873.2146.9+0.642%
vs Weaker (2)80.058.0138.0+22.0100%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -3.6-3.6
UMBC RetrieversLafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#10
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A19/02
NCAA
Hartford
#279
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H26/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H02/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Hartford
#279
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A12/03
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#458
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Princeton
#52
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H14/11
NCAA
72.6Avg total
36.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.971.1+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.133.571.5+4.653%-
Last 30 away (15)34.536.370.7-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.672.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)30.436.066.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.243.472.6-14.20%-
vs Similar (15)35.934.970.8+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.431.271.7+9.256%-
This opponent (Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#80
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A19/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#324
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Boston University
#107
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#266
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H26/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A08/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A12/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A15/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
33.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.564.9-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.632.966.4+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)31.432.263.6-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)33.334.167.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)30.434.665.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.933.161.9-4.219%-
vs Similar (12)35.033.368.3+1.767%-
vs Weaker (2)45.023.068.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
0
Lafayette wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/22HPrinceton64-94
11/11/22HPenn State-York92-65
08/11/22ATulane67-89
12/03/22AVermont43-82
10/03/22HHartford80-60
06/03/22HUMass Lowell93-85 OT
02/03/22HBinghamton78-68
26/02/22HMaine Black Bears93-79
24/02/22AHartford92-85
19/02/22AVermont59-86
Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22ASaint Josephs Hawks59-63
12/11/22ASt. John's (N.Y.)68-83
08/11/22AMiami (FL)54-67
02/03/22HBucknell81-82 OT
26/02/22HLehigh58-78
24/02/22ABoston University60-76
22/02/22HHoly Cross84-61
19/02/22ABucknell89-92 OT
17/02/22HLoyola Maryland77-68
14/02/22AColgate61-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game74.378.067.0
Allowed / game82.779.589.0
Point differential-8.3-1.5-22.0
Avg total157.0157.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lafayette
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game60.3-60.3
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential-10.7--10.7
Avg total131.3-131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell43175%88.064.8+23.2
2 Bryant University32167%103.364.7+38.7
3 Maine Black Bears32167%75.062.7+12.3
4 New Hampshire32167%74.365.7+8.7
5 Binghamton32167%72.369.0+3.3
6 Albany52340%72.872.6+0.2
7 UMBC Retrievers31233%74.382.7-8.3
8 Vermont41325%68.874.2-5.5
9 NJIT3030%55.368.7-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston University43175%81.866.5+15.2
2 Colgate43175%84.271.0+13.2
3 Bucknell32167%84.061.3+22.7
4 Army32167%94.380.3+14.0
5 Navy32167%72.069.0+3.0
6 Lehigh42250%71.270.0+1.2
7 Loyola Maryland42250%71.871.2+0.5
8 American University31233%65.370.0-4.7
9 Holy Cross31233%72.780.0-7.3
10 Lafayette3030%60.371.0-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers234871
Lafayette243963
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