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Vermont vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-59
46-27 40-32
Position#10
Record21-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game62.3
Vermont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#158
Record13-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Vermont v UMBC Retrievers
29 Jan 2026
VERM64
UMBC55
25 Jan 2025
VERM63
UMBC80
11 Jan 2024
VERM77
UMBC72
28 Jan 2023
VERM74
UMBC68
12 Mar 2022
VERM82
UMBC43
19 Feb 2022
VERM86
UMBC59
10 Mar 2020
VERM81
UMBC74
22 Feb 2020
VERM64
UMBC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hartford
#279
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#142
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A27/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H29/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H01/02
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H03/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A05/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H10/02
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A13/02
NCAA
Hartford
#279
L
74-75 OT
74
75
-1
A15/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
W
71-50
71
50
+21
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-28
37-44
34-31
46-36
42-37
39-31
34-29
39-32
49-22
41-45
38-26
40-41
35-20
47-31
38-28
38-35
33-41
34-26
42-25
29-25
142.8Avg total
78.7Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.262.3136.6+11.981%
Season at home (11)81.062.4143.4+18.6100%
Season away (15)69.362.3131.6+6.967%
Last 10 (10)78.764.1142.8+14.690%
Last 5 (5)76.261.2137.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)72.863.4136.1+9.476%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albany
#260
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H20/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
88-46
88
46
+42
A22/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A29/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A03/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H06/02
NCAA
Hartford
#279
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H10/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A14/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#142
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
26-36
45-20
43-26
34-38
39-31
38-39
32-29
26-32
33-21
51-33
37-44
22-31
46-33
39-36
32-52
36-35
26-33
49-44
46-40
141.1Avg total
72.8Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)72.870.5143.3+2.452%
Season at home (12)77.868.6146.4+9.267%
Season away (13)68.272.2140.5-4.038%
Last 10 (10)72.868.3141.1+4.570%
Last 5 (5)76.876.2153.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.678.4146.0-10.820%
vs Similar (11)67.371.7139.0-4.536%
vs Weaker (13)77.266.2143.4+10.977%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +1.5+1.5
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +1.5+1.5
VermontUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hartford
#279
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H23/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#142
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H01/02
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H03/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A05/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H10/02
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A13/02
NCAA
Hartford
#279
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A15/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A17/02
NCAA
67.7Avg total
39.0Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.429.264.6+6.280%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.628.667.2+10.085%-
Last 30 away (17)32.929.662.5+3.276%-
Last 10 (10)39.028.767.7+10.390%-
Last 5 (5)37.228.065.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)35.129.464.4+5.779%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albany
#260
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
45-20
45
20
+25
A22/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H27/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A03/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H06/02
NCAA
Hartford
#279
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H10/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#142
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H17/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.333.269.5+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.632.570.1+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)34.934.068.9+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)36.833.870.6+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.875.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.238.470.6-6.220%-
vs Similar (11)34.533.367.8+1.355%-
vs Weaker (13)39.231.570.7+7.669%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vermont wins
2
UMBC Retrievers wins
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/22ANew Hampshire71-50
15/02/22AHartford74-75 OT
13/02/22AAlbany76-63
10/02/22HBinghamton82-51
05/02/22AUMass Lowell78-67
03/02/22HNJIT90-67
01/02/22HAlbany73-61
29/01/22HMaine Black Bears81-68
27/01/22AStony Brook80-67
23/01/22HHartford82-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/22HStony Brook95-84
14/02/22ANew Hampshire62-68
12/02/22AUMass Lowell71-88
10/02/22HHartford68-64
06/02/22HNew Hampshire88-77
03/02/22AAlbany59-53
29/01/22ABinghamton70-68
27/01/22HNJIT73-69
22/01/22AMaine Black Bears88-46
20/01/22HAlbany54-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %81%100%67%
Points / game74.281.069.3
Allowed / game62.362.462.3
Point differential+11.9+18.6+6.9
Avg total136.6143.4131.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%91%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%67%38%
Points / game72.877.868.2
Allowed / game70.568.672.2
Point differential+2.4+9.2-4.0
Avg total143.3146.4140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont2621581%74.262.3+11.9
2 Bryant University2516964%77.374.1+3.2
3 New Hampshire23121152%68.665.7+2.9
4 UMass Lowell25131252%71.364.8+6.5
5 UMBC Retrievers25131252%72.870.5+2.4
6 NJIT24111346%63.467.2-3.9
7 Binghamton23101343%69.268.1+1.1
8 Albany26111542%62.366.0-3.6
9 Maine Black Bears2552020%61.770.5-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont464086
UMBC Retrievers273259
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