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UNC Asheville vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 73-75
40-34 33-41
Position#237
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#51
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNC Asheville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#151
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A01/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#329
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H07/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H08/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A05/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H13/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-41
47-41
27-28
32-36
44-51
46-52
38-32
42-28
30-46
37-40
30-34
28-41
39-32
51-61
29-25
40-39
57-14
35-40
38-41
35-39
152.6Avg total
76.5Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.473.2149.6+3.240%
Season at home (2)80.559.0139.5+21.5100%
Season away (3)73.782.7156.3-9.00%
Last 10 (10)76.576.1152.6+0.440%
Last 5 (5)76.473.2149.6+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)87.092.7179.7-5.733%
vs Similar (13)76.881.2158.0-4.338%
vs Weaker (14)88.165.1153.3+23.0100%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H07/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
101-50
101
50
+51
H04/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A09/11
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#621
W
114-76
114
76
+38
H12/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A16/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
34-44
29-22
35-33
39-28
35-41
31-24
38-31
32-42
37-29
47-16
54-34
32-34
47-53
55-38
59-38
43-51
39-44
21-43
39-46
151.0Avg total
78.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.279.4166.6+7.840%
Season at home (2)107.563.0170.5+44.5100%
Season away (3)73.790.3164.0-16.70%
Last 10 (10)78.672.4151.0+6.250%
Last 5 (5)87.279.4166.6+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)77.182.5159.5-5.431%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.466.8145.1+11.671%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +2.4+2.4
UNC AshevilleTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#151
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#329
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H08/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A05/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
57-14
57
14
+43
H13/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
37.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.835.275.0+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.432.474.8+9.972%-
Last 30 away (12)36.039.375.3-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.471.6+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.267.8+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.040.380.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (13)35.239.374.5-4.138%-
vs Weaker (14)44.130.374.4+13.871%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#229
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
47-16
47
16
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#621
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A21/11
NCAA
70.0Avg total
36.9Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.532.669.1+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.930.969.8+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)34.034.468.4-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)36.933.170.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.476.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)34.835.470.2-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.830.568.3+7.282%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UNC Asheville wins
0
Tennessee State wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Tennessee State v UNC Asheville74-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25AWestern Carolina73-80
13/11/25HBryan92-54
11/11/25HLipscomb69-64
08/11/25AGeorgia Southern90-93
05/11/25AWichita State58-75
08/03/25HWinthrop67-86
07/03/25HCharleston Southern80-60
01/03/25AWinthrop90-103
26/02/25HPresbyterian59-64
22/02/25HLongwood87-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25ATennessee60-89
16/11/25AWestern Kentucky82-95
12/11/25HOakwood Ambassadors114-76
09/11/25ABelmont79-87
04/11/25HFisk101-50
08/03/25ASiu Edwardsville69-71
07/03/25HLindenwood69-55
01/03/25HSouthern Indiana74-69
28/02/25HMorehead State64-55
22/02/25ATennessee Tech74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNC Asheville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game76.480.573.7
Allowed / game73.259.082.7
Point differential+3.2+21.5-9.0
Avg total149.6139.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game87.2107.573.7
Allowed / game79.463.090.3
Point differential+7.8+44.5-16.7
Avg total166.6170.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point76186%93.969.7+24.1
2 Charleston Southern74357%84.380.3+4.0
3 Winthrop63350%84.276.2+8.0
4 Longwood63350%79.377.5+1.8
5 USC Upstate73443%81.369.3+12.0
6 UNC Asheville52340%76.473.2+3.2
7 Radford83538%78.878.5+0.2
8 Presbyterian83538%64.671.9-7.2
9 Gardner Webb6060%68.894.3-25.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin64267%77.269.2+8.0
2 Siu Edwardsville74357%75.367.4+7.9
3 Tennessee Tech63350%81.069.8+11.2
4 Morehead State73443%79.682.3-2.7
5 Lindenwood73443%74.778.4-3.7
6 Tennessee State52340%87.279.4+7.8
7 Eastern Illinois52340%60.270.0-9.8
8 UALR62433%67.576.7-9.2
9 Southeast Missouri State51420%76.081.0-5.0
10 Southern Indiana61517%75.283.3-8.2
11 Western Illinois71614%65.375.0-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNC Asheville403373
Tennessee State344175
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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