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Tennessee State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 64-55
29-22 35-33
Position#188
Record14-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#232
Record14-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tennessee State v Morehead State
16 Jan 2027
TENN v MORE
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
TENN93
MORE67
15 Jan 2026
TENN105
MORE100
27 Feb 2025
TENN64
MORE55
01 Feb 2024
TENN49
MORE68
29 Dec 2022
TENN75
MORE83
15 Jan 2022
TENN64
MORE71
11 Feb 2021
TENN66
MORE79
04 Mar 2020
TENN74
MORE67
16 Jan 2020
TENN64
MORE48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#263
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H24/01
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A14/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A15/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A19/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-26
39-49
40-47
49-30
31-31
41-39
31-32
46-45
38-33
49-36
39-36
45-40
23-21
43-28
40-39
32-45
43-27
43-48
40-33
34-44
154.4Avg total
79.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.374.8154.1+4.648%
Season at home (14)85.672.5158.1+13.171%
Season away (15)73.576.9150.3-3.427%
Last 10 (10)79.874.6154.4+5.270%
Last 5 (5)76.472.2148.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)77.981.5159.5-3.631%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.268.8148.0+10.559%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H07/02
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-26
36-40
33-30
21-35
35-26
31-39
26-34
38-38
22-38
29-42
34-39
28-37
16-33
44-40
33-30
34-42
30-35
32-45
25-22
37-45
133.7Avg total
62.1Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)66.869.5136.3-2.748%
Season at home (15)69.766.6136.3+3.160%
Season away (14)63.772.6136.3-8.936%
Last 10 (10)62.171.6133.7-9.520%
Last 5 (5)62.673.6136.2-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.374.0137.3-10.736%
vs Similar (12)65.267.7132.8-2.550%
vs Weaker (3)83.068.0151.0+15.067%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -7.3-7.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -7.3-7.3
Tennessee StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#263
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H24/01
NCAA
UALR
#145
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
23-21
23
21
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A15/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A19/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/02
NCAA
68.6Avg total
36.1Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.870.1+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.632.873.4+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)34.332.967.2+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)36.132.568.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.268.2+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)35.632.868.5+2.854%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.532.871.4+5.771%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H07/02
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A14/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A15/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H22/02
NCAA
60.4Avg total
29.1Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.832.062.8-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.230.361.5+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)30.533.664.1-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)29.131.360.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)27.631.859.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.034.364.3-4.336%-
vs Similar (12)30.230.861.0-0.558%-
vs Weaker (3)32.328.060.3+4.3100%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ATennessee Tech74-77
19/02/25AUT Martin86-75
15/02/25ASiu Edwardsville72-84
14/02/25AEastern Illinois66-49
08/02/25HLindenwood84-76
07/02/25HWestern Illinois87-69
01/02/25ASoutheast Missouri State87-89 OT
31/01/25AUALR72-70
24/01/25HTennessee Tech89-77
22/01/25HUT Martin81-80 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HEastern Illinois62-67
21/02/25HSiu Edwardsville62-80
15/02/25AWestern Illinois67-72
14/02/25ALindenwood60-73
08/02/25HUALR62-76
07/02/25HSoutheast Missouri State51-80
31/01/25HTennessee Tech64-72
29/01/25HSouthern Indiana66-65
25/01/25ASiu Edwardsville54-65
24/01/25AEastern Illinois73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%71%27%
Points / game79.385.673.5
Allowed / game74.872.576.9
Point differential+4.6+13.1-3.4
Avg total154.1158.1150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %17%21%13%
Morehead State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeLLLLL60%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game66.869.763.7
Allowed / game69.566.672.6
Point differential-2.7+3.1-8.9
Avg total136.3136.3136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southeast Missouri State29191066%75.067.0+8.0
2 Siu Edwardsville29191066%72.966.1+6.8
3 UALR29181162%69.766.2+3.5
4 Tennessee Tech29151452%72.373.9-1.6
5 Tennessee State29141548%79.374.8+4.6
6 Morehead State29141548%66.869.5-2.7
7 Lindenwood30141647%71.571.5-0.1
8 UT Martin29121741%75.272.5+2.8
9 Western Illinois30111937%68.371.4-3.1
10 Southern Indiana28101836%71.973.2-1.4
11 Eastern Illinois29101934%66.169.7-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State293564
Morehead State223355
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