PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Union Bahia W vs El Bigua W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 66-67
Projected total 133.0
Final 62-57
16-15 10-12 12-10 24-20
Position#15
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game51.1
Allowed / game66.6
Union Bahia W 🏆
Argentina
Vs
46%
54%
■ UNIO 46%■ EL B 54%
Pythia win probability
El Bigua W
Argentina
Position#17
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game58.6
Allowed / game67.9
ArgentinaLiga Femenina Women
Women2027
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Union Bahia W will host El Bigua W on 14 November 2026 in the Liga Femenina Women, a matchup that feels almost evenly matched as neither side holds a clear edge. Both clubs have struggled this season, each standing 1-6 with Union Bahia W scoring an average of 51.1 points per game while allowing 66.6, and El Bigua W averaging 58.6 points and conceding 67.9; their league positions are 17th and 16th respectively. At home Union Bahia W has gone 1-2, averaging 55.0 points and 63.3 allowed, yet they have lost their last five outings, including a 42-77 defeat away to Boca W and a 56-65 loss at home to Quilmes. El Bigua W has gone 0-3 on the road, averaging 55.7 points and 66.3 allowed, and their recent five games include a single win and three defeats, notably a 59-70 loss at home to Independiente Neuquen. Their only head-to-head victory came on 22 October 2026 when they edged Union Bahia W 66-62. Pythia rates El Bigua W as the favourite with a 54% chance to win against Union Bahia W's 46%, projecting a final score of 66-67 and a total of 133 points; the model also assigns a 5% probability that the game will go into overtime. The projected spread is a slight edge for El Bigua W, and the over-under line carries a modest chance of exceeding the total. The last meeting's 66-62 result suggests that the contest could hinge on a single basket.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Union Bahia W winWon
45.6%fair 2.20
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
El Bigua W winLost
54.4%fair 1.84
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Union Bahia WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca W
#6
L
38-67
38
67
-29
H15/10
Liga Femenina Women
Penarol W
#14
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H17/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Bigua W
#17
L
62-66 OT
62
66
-4
A23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#3
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Quilmes W
#10
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H31/10
Liga Femenina Women
Velez Sarsfield W
#8
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A05/11
Liga Femenina Women
Boca W
#6
L
42-77
42
77
-35
A06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
11-16
6-22
11-9
21-19
18-14
14-17
18-8
16-13
17-9
10-20
15-16
14-14
12-20
9-16
13-20
9-22
16-16
14-11
17-16
13-15
15-20
3-14
10-14
9-29
7-14
14-17
12-17
117.7Avg total
51.1Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)51.166.6117.7-15.414%
Season at home (3)55.063.3118.3-8.333%
Season away (4)48.269.0117.2-20.80%
Last 10 (7)51.166.6117.7-15.414%
Last 5 (5)49.868.2118.0-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)51.166.6117.7-15.414%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (El Bigua W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Bigua WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro W
#4
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H05/04
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A11/04
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A12/04
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#3
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A11/10
Liga Femenina Women
Quilmes W
#10
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H17/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Bahia W
#15
W
66-62 OT
66
62
+4
H23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Boca W
#6
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Velez Sarsfield W
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A30/10
Liga Femenina Women
Penarol W
#14
L
54-69
54
69
-15
H06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#3
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H13/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
15-21
16-10
19-19
18-25
10-15
19-20
21-21
14-17
19-18
17-20
15-15
15-11
16-21
16-20
16-16
20-18
10-16
19-16
15-25
13-16
9-17
20-10
16-15
17-20
13-21
20-12
9-16
16-12
5-12
11-18
13-20
15-15
11-19
17-17
11-18
11-17
18-16
15-19
15-18
130.3Avg total
61.6Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)58.667.9126.4-9.314%
Season at home (4)60.869.0129.8-8.225%
Season away (3)55.766.3122.0-10.70%
Last 10 (10)61.668.7130.3-7.120%
Last 5 (5)56.666.4123.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)63.773.2136.9-9.515%
vs Similar (6)63.766.3130.0-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)73.064.0137.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Union Bahia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 121Actual: Under 121
Over 121
76.9%
Under 121
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 126Actual: Under 126
Over 126
66.4%
Under 126
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
54.4%
Under 131
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Union Bahia W total 60Actual: Union Bahia W over 60
Over 60
72.2%
Under 60
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Bahia W total 64Actual: Union Bahia W under 64
Over 64
57.3%
Under 64
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Bahia W total 68Actual: Union Bahia W under 68
Over 68
41.3%
Under 68
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
El Bigua W total 58Actual: El Bigua W under 58
Over 58
82.2%
Under 58
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
El Bigua W total 62Actual: El Bigua W under 62
Over 62
69.8%
Under 62
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
El Bigua W total 66Actual: El Bigua W under 66
Over 66
54.5%
Under 66
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Union Bahia W -3Actual: Union Bahia W -3
UNIO -3
36.5%
EL B +3
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
UNIO
No market prices yet.
EL B
No market prices yet.
Spread Union Bahia W 0Actual: Union Bahia W 0
UNIO 0
45.6%
EL B 0
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
UNIO
No market prices yet.
EL B
No market prices yet.
Spread Union Bahia W +3Actual: Union Bahia W +3
UNIO +3
54.7%
EL B -3
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
UNIO
No market prices yet.
EL B
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
Union Bahia WEl Bigua W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Union Bahia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca W
#6
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H15/10
Liga Femenina Women
Penarol W
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Bigua W
#17
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#3
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Quilmes W
#10
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H31/10
Liga Femenina Women
Velez Sarsfield W
#8
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/11
Liga Femenina Women
Boca W
#6
L
16-43
16
43
-27
A06/11
Liga Femenina Women
61.3Avg total
26.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)26.934.461.3-7.629%-
Last 30 at home (3)28.335.764.0-7.333%-
Last 30 away (4)25.833.559.2-7.825%-
Last 10 (7)26.934.461.3-7.629%-
Last 5 (5)25.634.460.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)26.934.461.3-7.629%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (El Bigua W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Bigua WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro W
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/04
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A11/04
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A12/04
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#3
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A11/10
Liga Femenina Women
Quilmes W
#10
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Bahia W
#15
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Boca W
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Velez Sarsfield W
#8
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A30/10
Liga Femenina Women
Penarol W
#14
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H13/11
Liga Femenina Women
62.6Avg total
28.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.336.767.0-6.317%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.536.466.8-5.915%-
Last 30 away (17)30.236.967.1-6.618%-
Last 10 (10)28.833.862.6-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)25.633.058.6-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)30.437.668.0-7.215%-
vs Similar (6)30.534.064.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)30.036.066.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Union Bahia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Union Bahia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
El Bigua Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

El Bigua W: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.615.6
54.5%
42.8%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.2
31.8%
27.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.411.9
64.7%
63.7%11.9
They take 54.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Union Bahia W wins
1
El Bigua W wins
DateGameScore
23/10/26El Bigua W v Union Bahia W66-62 OT
Union Bahia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ABoca W42-77
05/11/26AVelez Sarsfield W41-63
31/10/26HQuilmes W56-65
24/10/26AIndependiente Neuquen W48-70
23/10/26AEl Bigua W62-66 OT
17/10/26HPenarol W71-58
15/10/26HBoca W38-67
El Bigua Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HIndependiente Neuquen W59-70
06/11/26HPenarol W54-69
30/10/26AVelez Sarsfield W45-62
29/10/26ABoca W59-69
23/10/26HUnion Bahia W66-62 OT
17/10/26HQuilmes W64-75
11/10/26AIndependiente Neuquen W63-68
12/04/26AFerro W65-70
11/04/26AFerro W68-81
05/04/26HFerro W73-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Union Bahia W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game51.155.048.2
Allowed / game66.663.369.0
Point differential-15.4-8.3-20.8
Avg total117.7118.3117.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
El Bigua W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game58.660.855.7
Allowed / game67.969.066.3
Point differential-9.3-8.2-10.7
Avg total126.4129.8122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rocamora W550100%74.254.8+19.4
2 Obras Sanitarias W76186%73.668.7+4.9
3 Independiente Neuquen W76186%63.759.0+4.7
4 El Talar W65183%72.058.0+14.0
5 Boca W86275%74.958.9+16.0
6 Hindu W75271%69.354.4+14.9
7 Instituto W75271%69.059.3+9.7
8 Velez Sarsfield W75271%62.457.3+5.1
9 Berazategui W64267%77.062.8+14.2
10 Quilmes W74357%64.460.1+4.3
11 Union Florida W74357%63.359.3+4.0
12 Ferro W84450%72.162.2+9.9
13 San Jose W62433%55.854.8+1.0
14 Penarol W72529%54.362.0-7.7
15 Deportivo Chanares W61517%63.265.2-2.0
16 El Bigua W71614%58.667.9-9.3
17 Union Bahia W71614%51.166.6-15.4
18 Avellaneda W81712%57.869.8-12.0
19 Regatas San Nicolas W81712%52.078.8-26.8
20 Sociedad Espanola W5050%29.281.8-52.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Union Bahia W1610122462
El Bigua W1512102057
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.