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UNLV vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 60-52
22-32 38-20
Position#123
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game59.5
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#85
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game54.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#31
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A12/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H27/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H03/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A06/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#228
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-29
27-40
33-31
27-26
35-24
37-27
23-26
39-28
41-47
35-39
30-29
34-28
22-38
45-38
22-31
34-28
33-25
33-31
43-29
45-34
130.2Avg total
67.4Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.059.5136.5+17.5100%
Season at home (2)77.059.5136.5+17.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.462.8130.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)68.262.2130.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.578.0134.5-21.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)67.468.5135.9-1.140%
vs Weaker (12)76.862.0138.8+14.883%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#220
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H24/02
NCAA
La Salle
#285
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H05/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#31
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A16/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
L
68-70 OT
68
70
-2
A20/03
NIT
Lindenwood
#304
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-23
0-0
36-38
0-0
30-19
0-0
30-43
0-0
32-29
0-0
23-24
0-0
34-35
0-0
48-41
0-0
34-36
0-0
41-36
0-0
33-25
0-0
31-43
0-0
34-23
0-0
40-32
0-0
26-25
0-0
37-38
0-0
35-21
0-0
38-25
0-0
29-24
0-0
45-38
133.2Avg total
70.7Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.554.0127.5+19.5100%
Season at home (2)73.554.0127.5+19.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.762.5133.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)70.660.2130.8+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.163.8131.9+4.462%
vs Weaker (21)70.357.8128.1+12.576%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +1.1+1.1
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +1.1+1.1
UNLVDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#31
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A12/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A23/02
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H03/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A06/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#228
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/11
NCAA
62.7Avg total
31.8Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.531.566.0+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.129.966.9+7.272%-
Last 30 away (12)30.634.064.6-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)31.830.962.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)30.030.460.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.538.568.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.333.165.4-0.753%-
vs Weaker (12)36.429.866.2+6.767%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#220
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H24/02
NCAA
La Salle
#285
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A26/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#31
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A16/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A20/03
NIT
Lindenwood
#304
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
59.3Avg total
33.3Scored
26.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.326.159.4+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.925.159.9+9.882%-
Last 30 away (13)31.227.558.8+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)33.326.059.3+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)31.423.655.0+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.428.860.1+2.650%-
vs Weaker (21)34.025.359.3+8.781%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UNLV wins
0
Dayton wins
No previous meetings.
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/22HIncarnate Word88-63
08/11/22HSouthern Univ.66-56
10/03/22AWyoming56-59
06/03/22ANew Mexico67-76
03/03/22HWyoming64-57
27/02/22HBoise State76-86
23/02/22ANevada62-54
20/02/22HColorado State72-51
17/02/22AFresno State60-57
12/02/22ABoise State63-69
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/22HSMU Mustangs74-62
08/11/22HLindenwood73-46
20/03/22AVanderbilt68-70 OT
16/03/22AToledo74-55
12/03/22HRichmond Spiders64-68
11/03/22HUMass75-72
05/03/22HDavidson82-76
01/03/22ARichmond Spiders55-53
26/02/22ALa Salle60-62
24/02/22HUMass82-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game59.559.5-
Point differential+17.5+17.5-
Avg total136.5136.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game73.573.5-
Allowed / game54.054.0-
Point differential+19.5+19.5-
Avg total127.5127.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada330100%80.357.0+23.3
2 Utah State330100%85.064.7+20.3
3 UNLV220100%77.059.5+17.5
4 San Jose State330100%74.357.7+16.7
5 San Diego State330100%78.764.7+14.0
6 Colorado State330100%74.061.3+12.7
7 New Mexico330100%84.372.7+11.7
8 Grand Canyon32167%69.054.3+14.7
9 Wyoming32167%84.371.0+13.3
10 Boise State21150%68.564.5+4.0
11 Fresno State21150%61.558.5+3.0
12 Air Force31233%67.368.7-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dayton220100%73.554.0+19.5
2 VCU Rams220100%71.055.0+16.0
3 St. Louis Billikens330100%88.072.3+15.7
4 Davidson330100%88.077.3+10.7
5 Loyola Chicago220100%79.072.5+6.5
6 George Washington32167%83.372.7+10.7
7 Richmond Spiders32167%75.765.0+10.7
8 Duquesne32167%79.770.3+9.3
9 George Mason32167%69.365.0+4.3
10 La Salle32167%72.370.0+2.3
11 Fordham32167%71.769.7+2.0
12 Saint Josephs Hawks21150%59.070.0-11.0
13 St. Bonaventure31233%71.069.3+1.7
14 Rhode Island31233%67.367.0+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV223860
Dayton322052
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