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Dayton vs UMass Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-72
34-36 41-36
Position#63
Record22-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game60.6
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#220
Record15-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game78.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Dayton v UMass
07 Jan 2024
DAYT64
UMAS60
11 Mar 2022
DAYT75
UMAS72
23 Feb 2022
DAYT82
UMAS61
11 Jan 2020
DAYT88
UMAS60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#59
W
82-52
82
52
+30
A03/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A05/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#348
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H10/02
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H12/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A15/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#283
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A19/02
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H24/02
NCAA
La Salle
#285
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-28
39-24
25-34
36-38
35-24
40-30
48-23
32-31
24-24
39-33
38-30
36-32
46-23
36-38
30-19
30-43
32-29
23-24
34-35
48-41
131.7Avg total
71.4Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)69.160.6129.7+8.571%
Season at home (17)70.259.6129.8+10.676%
Season away (14)67.861.8129.6+6.064%
Last 10 (10)71.460.3131.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)70.662.8133.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)67.363.9131.2+3.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)70.459.0129.4+11.474%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#267
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H10/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#283
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H12/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#70
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A17/02
NCAA
La Salle
#285
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Dayton
#63
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A24/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#59
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H26/02
NCAA
Fordham
#199
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Fordham
#199
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H03/03
NCAA
George Mason
#221
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A05/03
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-43
30-34
36-35
33-32
37-36
34-47
40-28
40-46
23-46
38-36
23-41
39-36
36-40
37-45
44-31
37-42
33-41
35-27
56-36
43-52
153.3Avg total
74.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.878.2154.0-2.448%
Season at home (16)77.575.2152.7+2.362%
Season away (15)74.081.3155.3-7.333%
Last 10 (10)74.778.6153.3-3.950%
Last 5 (5)79.680.6160.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.179.6152.7-6.539%
vs Similar (11)80.377.5157.7+2.864%
vs Weaker (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.6+8.61st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -3.1-3.1
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.6+8.61st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -3.1-3.1
DaytonUMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#59
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A03/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#348
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H10/02
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H12/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#283
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A19/02
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H24/02
NCAA
La Salle
#285
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A26/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/03
NCAA
62.4Avg total
35.5Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.527.761.2+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.826.561.3+8.375%-
Last 30 away (14)32.029.161.1+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)35.526.962.4+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.027.263.2+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)30.730.060.7+0.745%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)35.126.461.5+8.779%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#267
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H10/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#283
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H12/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#70
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A17/02
NCAA
La Salle
#285
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Dayton
#63
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A24/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#59
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H26/02
NCAA
Fordham
#199
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Fordham
#199
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/03
NCAA
George Mason
#221
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/03
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A10/03
NCAA
74.3Avg total
36.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.337.772.0-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.136.871.9-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)33.538.672.1-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.774.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.876.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.638.369.8-6.733%-
vs Similar (11)39.237.476.5+1.845%-
vs Weaker (1)30.031.061.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dayton wins
0
UMass wins
DateGameScore
24/02/22Dayton v UMass82-61
15/02/20UMass v Dayton63-71
11/01/20Dayton v UMass88-60
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22HDavidson82-76
01/03/22ARichmond Spiders55-53
26/02/22ALa Salle60-62
24/02/22HUMass82-61
19/02/22ASaint Josephs Hawks74-62
15/02/22ARhode Island63-57
12/02/22HGeorge Washington80-54
10/02/22HDuquesne75-54
05/02/22ASt. Louis Billikens61-72
03/02/22AVCU Rams82-52
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22AGeorge Washington99-88
05/03/22AGeorge Mason83-80 OT
03/03/22HFordham81-73
01/03/22AFordham73-85
26/02/22HVCU Rams62-77
24/02/22ADayton61-82
19/02/22HLa Salle80-74
17/02/22ASt. Bonaventure71-83
12/02/22HSaint Josephs Hawks69-67
10/02/22HGeorge Washington68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %71%76%64%
Points / game69.170.267.8
Allowed / game60.659.661.8
Point differential+8.5+10.6+6.0
Avg total129.7129.8129.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%41%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMass
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %48%62%33%
Points / game75.877.574.0
Allowed / game78.275.281.3
Point differential-2.4+2.3-7.3
Avg total154.0152.7155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Davidson3126584%75.765.7+10.0
2 Loyola Chicago3225778%73.861.7+12.1
3 VCU Rams2921872%66.160.8+5.3
4 Dayton3122971%69.160.6+8.5
5 St. Louis Billikens33231070%76.667.0+9.6
6 St. Bonaventure2920969%70.166.3+3.8
7 Richmond Spiders32201262%72.068.8+3.2
8 Fordham32161650%66.166.8-0.7
9 Rhode Island31151648%67.165.0+2.1
10 George Mason30141647%70.768.5+2.2
11 George Washington30121840%68.472.8-4.5
12 Saint Josephs Hawks30111937%67.669.1-1.5
13 La Salle30111937%67.571.5-4.0
14 Duquesne3062420%65.273.4-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo3326779%80.768.5+12.2
2 Ohio3224875%74.367.4+7.0
3 Akron3223972%71.163.1+8.0
4 Kent State3122971%71.764.5+7.2
5 Buffalo30191163%79.972.3+7.7
6 UMass31151648%75.878.2-2.4
7 Ball State31141745%74.376.8-2.5
8 Miami (Ohio)32141844%75.273.5+1.8
9 Bowling Green31131842%80.380.5-0.2
10 Eastern Michigan31102132%69.176.0-6.9
11 Northern Illinois3092130%64.171.5-7.4
12 Western Michigan3182326%65.475.1-9.7
13 Central Michigan3072323%65.977.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton344175
UMass363672
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