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Utah State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 70-58
36-29 34-29
Position#28
Record25-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game69.9
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
UNLV
USA
Position#165
Record18-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Utah State v UNLV
12 Mar 2026
UTAH80
UNLV60
20 Jan 2026
UTAH76
UNLV86
13 Mar 2025
UTAH70
UNLV58
29 Jan 2025
UTAH76
UNLV71
17 Jan 2023
UTAH75
UNLV71
05 Feb 2022
UTAH90
UNLV75
11 Mar 2021
UTAH74
UNLV53
05 Feb 2020
UTAH69
UNLV54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H02/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
105-57
105
57
+48
H20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A01/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
87-47
87
47
+40
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
27-52
30-35
41-32
50-31
39-50
45-30
48-55
42-36
37-46
47-24
58-33
33-26
46-45
31-37
34-45
22-48
44-45
50-23
37-24
154.4Avg total
79.7Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.569.9151.5+11.681%
Season at home (17)88.468.9157.2+19.588%
Season away (14)73.271.2144.4+2.071%
Last 10 (10)79.774.7154.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)80.470.0150.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Similar (10)72.976.5149.4-3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.768.3152.0+15.494%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H12/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H05/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-33
33-38
30-23
38-34
44-22
33-30
26-18
26-33
26-27
27-34
35-31
42-40
34-26
34-29
32-34
42-33
38-40
29-41
21-25
47-34
129.1Avg total
66.6Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)69.668.1137.7+1.556%
Season at home (20)71.266.5137.7+4.665%
Season away (12)67.070.6137.6-3.642%
Last 10 (10)66.662.5129.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)70.866.6137.4+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)65.473.5138.8-8.123%
vs Similar (8)71.065.4136.4+5.675%
vs Weaker (9)71.360.1131.4+11.289%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +0.5+0.5
Utah StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
22-48
22
48
-26
A01/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H08/03
NCAA
70.6Avg total
38.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.432.671.0+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.530.973.4+11.688%-
Last 30 away (14)33.734.568.2-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)38.632.070.6+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.668.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (10)33.734.067.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.532.271.7+7.367%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H12/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H05/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H12/03
NCAA
59.4Avg total
31.5Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.630.362.9+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.129.263.3+4.856%-
Last 30 away (12)30.531.862.3-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)31.527.959.4+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.031.263.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.535.365.8-4.823%-
vs Similar (8)33.929.263.1+4.675%-
vs Weaker (9)34.623.958.4+10.778%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Utah State wins
2
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
30/01/25Utah State v UNLV76-71
16/01/25UNLV v Utah State65-62
13/01/24UNLV v Utah State86-87
02/03/23UNLV v Utah State66-91
18/01/23Utah State v UNLV75-71
05/02/22Utah State v UNLV90-75
12/03/21Utah State v UNLV74-53
28/01/21UNLV v Utah State74-83
26/01/21UNLV v Utah State59-56
06/02/20Utah State v UNLV69-54
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HAir Force87-47
01/03/25AColorado State66-93
27/02/25ABoise State65-82
23/02/25HSan Diego State79-71
20/02/25HSan Jose State105-57
16/02/25ANew Mexico79-82
12/02/25HColorado State93-85
08/02/25AFresno State89-81
05/02/25AWyoming71-67
02/02/25HNew Mexico63-82
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HAir Force68-59
08/03/25ANew Mexico67-81
05/03/25HSan Diego State74-67
01/03/25HNevada68-55
26/02/25ASan Jose State77-71
23/02/25HColorado State53-61
16/02/25AFresno State52-51
12/02/25HAir Force77-52
08/02/25AWyoming68-57
05/02/25HBoise State62-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW81%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWLLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %81%88%71%
Points / game81.588.473.2
Allowed / game69.968.971.2
Point differential+11.6+19.5+2.0
Avg total151.5157.2144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%53%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)75% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWLWWW65%
AwayLWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %56%65%42%
Points / game69.671.267.0
Allowed / game68.166.570.6
Point differential+1.5+4.6-3.6
Avg total137.7137.7137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%35%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico3226681%81.670.7+10.9
2 Utah State3125681%81.569.9+11.6
3 Grand Canyon3124777%79.068.8+10.2
4 Boise State3223972%75.665.9+9.7
5 Colorado State3223972%75.267.3+7.9
6 San Diego State3021970%70.963.6+7.2
7 UNLV32181456%69.668.1+1.5
8 Nevada33171652%72.368.1+4.2
9 San Jose State34151944%72.273.4-1.2
10 Wyoming32122038%67.271.2-4.0
11 Fresno State3262619%70.880.7-9.9
12 Air Force3242812%61.973.7-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State363470
UNLV292958
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