Urania Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

The Serie A2 clash on 14 November 2026 between Urania Milano and Pistoia is a razor-thin affair, with no clear favourite as the numbers hover around the middle of the pack. Urania Milano, sitting 19th with a 1-8 record, has averaged 75.7 points and allowed 83.1, while at home they are 1-3, scoring 79.2 and conceding 80.8; their last five games yielded only one win, including a 71-85 loss at home to Rimini. Pistoia, positioned 8th with a 5-4 record, averages 77.4 points and lets in 69.6, and on the road they are 3-2, scoring 77.8 and allowing 67.2; their recent five games show four wins, including a 78-70 victory over Caserta at home. The teams have split their four meetings, with the most recent in February ending 80-72 for Urania. Pythia rates Pistoia as the favourite, giving them a 53% chance to win versus 47% for Urania, and projects a close 78-79 score for a total of 156.8 points; the home line is 3.0 with a 56% probability that Urania covers it, and the over is 5% likely, with a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Pistoia can maintain its recent form against a struggling home side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urania Milano winLost

46.8%fair 2.14

Best odds3.33

Implied28.4%

Edge+18.4pp

Pistoia winWon

53.2%fair 1.88

Best odds1.33

Implied71.6%

Edge-18.4pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Urania Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMilano

Date

Competition

Libertas Livorno

84-102

102

-18

77avg 72

A29/04

Serie A2

Sassari

#11

68-70

-2

55avg 72

H27/09

Serie A2

Brindisi

81-84

-3

28avg 72

A04/10

Serie A2

Ruvo Di Puglia

#17

88-96

-8

82avg 72

H10/10

Serie A2

Libertas Livorno

72-87

-15

44avg 72

A17/10

Serie A2

JuVi Cremona

#16

90-72

+18

96avg 72

H21/10

Serie A2

Cividale

#12

60-78

-18

46avg 72

A24/10

Serie A2

Rimini

71-85

-14

no box

H30/10

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

66-83

-17

no box

A07/11

Serie A2

Avellino Basket

85-93 OT

-8

no box

A11/11

Serie A2

29-33

13-25

19-20

23-24

19-18

12-20

15-19

22-13

21-29

18-19

21-21

21-15

24-21

21-20

21-36

22-19

19-23

16-13

19-28

18-23

26-19

19-13

24-18

21-22

17-15

12-23

15-17

16-23

16-24

12-25

22-17

21-19

20-25

21-21

14-25

11-12

23-34

26-17

14-16

19-15

161.5Avg total

76.5Scored

85.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	75.7	83.1	158.8	-7.4	11%
Season at home (4)	79.2	80.8	160.0	-1.5	25%
Season away (5)	72.8	85.0	157.8	-12.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	85.0	161.5	-8.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	82.2	156.6	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	76.6	83.6	160.3	-7.0	21%
vs Similar (10)	81.7	78.9	160.6	+2.8	60%
vs Weaker (1)	110.0	86.0	196.0	+24.0	100%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPistoia

Date

Competition

Ruvo Di Puglia

#16

80-78

72avg 67

A13/05

Serie A2

Libertas Livorno

62-63

-1

49avg 67

A27/09

Serie A2

Basket Torino

77-84

-7

28avg 67

H04/10

Serie A2

Sebastiani Rieti

70-78

-8

63avg 67

A11/10

Serie A2

Vigevano

#14

89-70

+19

84avg 67

H18/10

Serie A2

Cento

#18

96-52

+44

103avg 67

A21/10

Serie A2

JuVi Cremona

#16

75-72

70avg 67

A25/10

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

64-66

-2

54avg 67

H01/11

Serie A2

Montecatini

#19

86-71

+15

no box

A08/11

Serie A2

Caserta

#15

78-70

no box

H11/11

Serie A2

17-25

24-18

23-18

16-17

16-19

18-18

15-11

13-15

20-30

23-19

20-18

14-17

23-24

15-21

12-12

20-21

21-18

27-15

21-20

20-17

24-10

25-13

23-20

24-9

21-20

15-21

14-12

25-19

21-16

17-25

13-13

13-12

14-18

12-22

31-16

29-15

21-22

15-14

20-14

22-20

148.1Avg total

77.7Scored

70.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	77.4	69.6	147.0	+7.9	56%
Season at home (4)	77.0	72.5	149.5	+4.5	50%
Season away (5)	77.8	67.2	145.0	+10.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	70.4	148.1	+7.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	66.2	146.0	+13.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	73.0	82.8	155.8	-9.8	18%
vs Similar (12)	78.3	82.7	161.0	-4.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	81.6	71.0	152.6	+10.6	71%

This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 147.5Actual: Under 147.5

Over 147.5

70.7%

@ 1.45+7.4pp

Under 147.5

29.3%

@ 2.50-7.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.45

Under

Betano

2.50

Over/Under 152.75 · main lineActual: Under 152.75

Over 152.75

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 152.75

no forecast

@ 1.79

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.79

Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5

Over 157.5

47.4%

@ 2.27+6.9pp

Under 157.5

52.6%

@ 1.55-6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.27

Under

Betano

1.55

📊 3. Team Totals

Urania Milano total 68.5Actual: Urania Milano under 68.5

Over 68.5

81.9%

@ 1.36+17.6pp

Under 68.5

18.1%

@ 2.45-17.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.36

Under

1xBet

2.45

Urania Milano total 72.5 · main lineActual: Urania Milano under 72.5

Over 72.5

69.8%

@ 1.83+19.3pp

Under 72.5

30.2%

@ 2.00-19.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

Betano

1.78

WilliamHill

1.73

1xBet

1.70

Under

WilliamHill

2.00

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Urania Milano total 76.5Actual: Urania Milano under 76.5

Over 76.5

55.2%

@ 2.36+12.8pp

Under 76.5

44.8%

@ 1.62-12.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.36

WilliamHill

2.20

Betano

2.15

Under

WilliamHill

1.62

Betano

1.60

1xBet

1.39

Pistoia total 75.5Actual: Pistoia over 75.5

Over 75.5

62.5%

@ 1.47-0.9pp

Under 75.5

37.5%

@ 2.46+0.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.36

Under

1xBet

2.46

Betano

2.45

Pistoia total 79.5 · main lineActual: Pistoia under 79.5

Over 79.5

47.2%

@ 1.85-3.4pp

Under 79.5

52.8%

@ 1.87+3.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Betano

1.80

Marathon Be

1.77

Under

Betano

1.87

Marathon Be

1.87

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Pistoia total 83.5Actual: Pistoia under 83.5

Over 83.5

32.4%

@ 2.34-5.1pp

Under 83.5

67.6%

@ 1.40+5.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.34

Under

1xBet

1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Urania Milano +3.5Actual: Pistoia -3.5

URAN +3.5

57.4%

@ 2.39+15.8pp

PIS -3.5

42.6%

@ 1.70-15.8pp

Best 5 market prices

URAN

1xBet

2.39

Pinnacle

2.27

Betano

2.00

PIS

Betano

1.70

Pinnacle

1.62

Marathon Be

1.48

1xBet

1.41

Spread Urania Milano +6.5 · main lineActual: Pistoia -6.5

URAN +6.5

68.2%

@ 2.00+18.2pp

PIS -6.5

31.8%

@ 1.91-18.2pp

Best 5 market prices

URAN

Betfair

2.00

Marathon Be

1.92

Pinnacle

1.91

SBO

1.89

1xBet

1.85

PIS

Pinnacle

1.91

BetVictor

1.83

Betano

1.82

SBO

1.79

Marathon Be

1.76

Spread Urania Milano +9.5Actual: Pistoia -9.5

URAN +9.5

77.3%

@ 1.83+19.0pp

PIS -9.5

22.7%

@ 2.75-19.0pp

Best 5 market prices

URAN

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.60

1xBet

1.52

Betano

1.38

PIS

Betano

2.75

1xBet

2.12

Bet365

1.83

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Urania MilanoPistoia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	37%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	64%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	24.2	43.4	-5.0	12%	69%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	24.1	45.5	-2.7	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.3	42%	63%
vs Similar (10)	17.9	21.6	39.5	-3.7	30%	50%
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	0%	100%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	47%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.6	36%	45%
vs Similar (12)	21.8	21.8	43.5	+0.0	50%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	43%	57%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.3	60%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.6	41.9	+0.8	64%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	56%	56%
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.5	19.6	38.2	-1.1	47%	47%
vs Similar (10)	23.9	18.7	42.6	+5.2	80%	70%
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	24.0	55.0	+7.0	100%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	37%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	47%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	27%	53%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.0	35.8	-2.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	20.5	38.2	-2.9	45%	55%
vs Similar (12)	19.8	22.8	42.5	-3.0	17%	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	18.9	17.9	36.7	+1.0	57%	43%

Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertas Livorno

42-58

-16

A29/04

Serie A2

Sassari

#11

31-38

-7

H27/09

Serie A2

Brindisi

39-48

-9

A04/10

Serie A2

Ruvo Di Puglia

#17

45-41

H10/10

Serie A2

Libertas Livorno

35-36

-1

A17/10

Serie A2

JuVi Cremona

#16

45-32

+13

H21/10

Serie A2

Cividale

#12

29-38

-9

A24/10

Serie A2

Rimini

28-49

-21

H30/10

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

41-46

-5

A07/11

Serie A2

Avellino Basket

49-51

-2

A11/11

Serie A2

82.1Avg total

38.4Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	40.4	41.3	81.8	-0.9	47%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	39.8	81.4	+1.9	71%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	42.7	82.1	-3.3	25%	62%
Last 10 (10)	38.4	43.7	82.1	-5.3	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	38.4	43.2	81.6	-4.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.1	41.5	80.6	-2.4	32%	63%
vs Similar (10)	41.8	40.3	82.1	+1.5	70%	60%
vs Weaker (1)	52.0	49.0	101.0	+3.0	100%	100%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ruvo Di Puglia

#16

41-43

-2

A13/05

Serie A2

Libertas Livorno

34-37

-3

A27/09

Serie A2

Basket Torino

43-49

-6

H04/10

Serie A2

Sebastiani Rieti

38-45

-7

A11/10

Serie A2

Vigevano

#14

48-33

+15

H18/10

Serie A2

Cento

#18

49-23

+26

A21/10

Serie A2

JuVi Cremona

#16

36-41

-5

A25/10

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

38-41

-3

H01/11

Serie A2

Montecatini

#19

26-40

-14

A08/11

Serie A2

Caserta

#15

36-36

H11/11

Serie A2

77.7Avg total

38.9Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	39.1	41.3	80.3	-2.2	27%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	40.1	79.8	-0.5	40%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	42.4	80.9	-3.9	13%	53%
Last 10 (10)	38.9	38.8	77.7	+0.1	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	37.0	36.2	73.2	+0.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.2	39.7	75.9	-3.5	27%	55%
vs Similar (12)	41.5	44.5	86.0	-3.0	25%	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	39.4	38.1	77.6	+1.3	29%	57%

This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Urania Milano win

URAN win

no forecast

@ 2.85

PIS win

no forecast

@ 1.44

1st half Spread Urania Milano +3.5 · main lineActual: Urania Milano +3.5

URAN +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

PIS -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.92

1st half Over/Under 76 · main lineActual: Under 76

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

Urania Milano 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Urania Milano over 36.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Pistoia 1st half total 40 · main lineActual: Pistoia under 40

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 1.82

1st half: URAN + total 77.5

URAN & over

no forecast

@ 5.25

URAN & under

no forecast

@ 5.25

1st half: Draw + total 77.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PIS + total 77.5

PIS & over

no forecast

@ 2.90

PIS & under

no forecast

@ 2.85

1st half Over/Under 77.25Actual: Under 77.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.62

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Spread Urania Milano +2.5Actual: Urania Milano +2.5

URAN +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.09

PIS -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Urania Milano +4.5Actual: Urania Milano +4.5

URAN +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

PIS -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Under 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.25

Under

no forecast

@ 1.70

1st half Spread Urania Milano +1.5Actual: Urania Milano +1.5

URAN +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

PIS -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread Urania Milano +5.5Actual: Urania Milano +5.5

URAN +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

PIS -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Pistoia (regulation)

URAN

no forecast

@ 2.77

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.00

PIS

no forecast

@ 1.50

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.5
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.3	40%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.1	41.1	+1.0	57%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.2	25%	75%
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.3	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.8	26%	63%
vs Similar (10)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	60%	90%
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	16.0	46.0	+14.0	100%	100%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.5
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.1	60%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	17.9	35.0	-0.9	40%	47%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	15.4	34.6	+3.8	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	15.0	35.2	+5.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.1	21.5	38.5	-4.4	27%	64%
vs Similar (12)	17.8	17.5	35.3	+0.3	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	20.1	16.0	36.1	+4.1	86%	57%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.6	50%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.0	38%	50%
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.3	20.7	40.1	-1.4	32%	68%
vs Similar (10)	17.9	16.7	34.6	+1.2	60%	40%
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	21.0	49.0	+7.0	100%	100%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.3	37.7	-0.8	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.3	39.7	+1.0	40%	67%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.2	35.8	+3.4	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.0	37.6	+7.6	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.7	20.5	39.3	-1.8	36%	55%
vs Similar (12)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	33%	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.0	16.9	38.9	+5.1	71%	57%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.5
Last 30 (30)	38.9	40.4	79.3	-1.5	47%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	40.9	83.4	+1.6	64%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	40.0	75.8	-4.2	31%	56%
Last 10 (10)	37.8	40.2	78.0	-2.4	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	35.4	36.8	72.2	-1.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.4	41.6	78.9	-4.2	37%	68%
vs Similar (10)	39.9	38.6	78.5	+1.3	60%	60%
vs Weaker (1)	58.0	37.0	95.0	+21.0	100%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.5
Last 30 (30)	37.5	37.9	75.4	-0.4	50%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	37.6	38.5	76.1	-0.9	53%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	37.3	74.7	+0.1	47%	47%
Last 10 (10)	38.8	31.6	70.4	+7.2	80%	40%
Last 5 (5)	42.8	30.0	72.8	+12.8	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.8	42.0	77.8	-6.2	36%	55%
vs Similar (12)	36.3	37.1	73.4	-0.8	50%	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.1	32.9	75.0	+9.3	71%	57%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

URAN win + total 152.5

🔒 Pro

PIS win + total 152.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: URAN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PIS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (URAN:PIS): URAN wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Urania Milano over 72	72.2%	1.69	Marathon Bet 1.74	1xBet 1.65	-	-	-	+20.0pp	Lost
Urania Milano +9.5	77.3%	1.58	Bet365 1.83	Marathon Bet 1.60	1xBet 1.52	Betano 1.38	-	+19.0pp	Lost
Urania Milano +7	70.5%	1.83	Marathon Bet 1.85	1xBet 1.85	Pinnacle 1.83	SBO 1.81	-	+18.4pp	Lost
Urania Milano over 69.5	79.2%	1.43	1xBet 1.43	-	-	-	-	+18.4pp	Lost
Urania Milano +8	73.7%	1.71	Marathon Bet 1.73	Pinnacle 1.69	-	-	-	+17.7pp	Lost
Urania Milano over 68.5	81.9%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+17.6pp	Lost
Urania Milano +9	76.6%	1.62	Marathon Bet 1.64	Pinnacle 1.60	-	-	-	+17.5pp	Lost
Urania Milano +7.5	71.4%	1.76	Bet365 1.83	Marathon Bet 1.79	BetVictor 1.78	Pinnacle 1.76	Betano 1.75	+17.4pp	Lost
Urania Milano +8.5	74.5%	1.69	Bet365 1.83	Marathon Bet 1.69	Betano 1.67	Pinnacle 1.65	1xBet 1.61	+17.0pp	Lost
Urania Milano over 67.5	84.3%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+16.8pp	Lost
Urania Milano over 71.5	73.2%	1.57	WilliamHill 1.62	1xBet 1.60	Betano 1.50	-	-	+15.6pp	Lost
Urania Milano over 70.5	76.3%	1.46	1xBet 1.51	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	+15.2pp	Lost
Urania Milano +10.5	79.8%	1.38	1xBet 1.43	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Lost
Urania Milano +11.5	82.2%	1.31	1xBet 1.36	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	+13.4pp	Lost
Urania Milano +12.5	84.3%	1.26	1xBet 1.29	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	+12.5pp	Lost
Over 147.5	70.7%	1.45	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Over 146.5	72.7%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Lost
Pistoia under 85.5	74.2%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Pistoia under 84.5	71.0%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.02	WilliamHill 1.03	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Pistoia +6.5	73.5%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Pistoia +5.5	70.4%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 70.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	18.7	50.8%	51.2%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.5	5.7	32.6%	34.5%	17.1
🏀 Free throws	23.3	15.7	67.4%	71.0%	15.7

They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.3	50.6%	51.2%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	6.7	29.5%	34.5%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.1	73.5%	71.0%	16.1

They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	17.2	50.4%	51.2%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.9	38.2%	34.5%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	15.9	11.5	72.3%	71.0%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.4	15.3	48.7%	51.2%	30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.9	32.0%	34.5%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.6	73.7%	71.0%	12.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	21.3	51.9%	51.2%	42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.9	6.7	35.6%	34.5%	20.2
🏀 Free throws	20.7	14.7	70.7%	71.0%	14.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	16.7	49.2%	51.2%	33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.5	33.0%	34.5%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	20.1	15.8	78.7%	71.0%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.8	51.8%	51.2%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.5	32.9%	34.5%	25.4
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.6	74.4%	71.0%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	18.1	51.4%	51.2%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.6	36.9%	34.5%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.7	74.9%	71.0%	13.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Urania Milano

LLLLWLLLLL

Pistoia

WWLWWWLLLW

#20

League position

-4.7

Net rating

+12.8

93.4

Offensive rating

98.5

98.1

Defensive rating

85.6

50.2%

Effective FG%

48.1%

53.4%

Opp. effective FG%

48.4%

14.6%

Turnover %

8.8%

0.43

Free-throw rate

0.37

32.6%

3-point %

29.5%

49.2%

Assist %

54.0%

10%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Urania Milano ■ Pistoia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Urania Milano wins

Pistoia wins

Date	Game	Score
15/02/26	Pistoia v Urania Milano	72-80
12/11/25	Urania Milano v Pistoia	92-77
19/02/22	Urania Milano v Pistoia	69-73
14/11/21	Pistoia v Urania Milano	90-81 OT

Urania Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	A	Avellino Basket	85-93 OT
07/11/26	A	Fortitudo Bologna	66-83
30/10/26	H	Rimini	71-85
24/10/26	A	Cividale	60-78
21/10/26	H	JuVi Cremona	90-72
17/10/26	A	Libertas Livorno	72-87
10/10/26	H	Ruvo Di Puglia	88-96
04/10/26	A	Brindisi	81-84
27/09/26	H	Sassari	68-70
29/04/26	A	Libertas Livorno	84-102

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	Caserta	78-70
08/11/26	A	Montecatini	86-71
01/11/26	H	Fortitudo Bologna	64-66
25/10/26	A	JuVi Cremona	75-72
21/10/26	A	Cento	96-52
18/10/26	H	Vigevano	89-70
11/10/26	A	Sebastiani Rieti	70-78
04/10/26	H	Basket Torino	77-84
27/09/26	A	Libertas Livorno	62-63
13/05/26	A	Ruvo Di Puglia	80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urania Milano

Serie A2 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	11%
Home	LLWL	25%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	11%	25%	0%
Points / game	75.7	79.2	72.8
Allowed / game	83.1	80.8	85.0
Point differential	-7.4	-1.5	-12.2
Avg total	158.8	160.0	157.8
Over 152.75	67%	75%	60%
Win by 10+	11%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Pistoia

Serie A2 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	56%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	LLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	56%	50%	60%
Points / game	77.4	77.0	77.8
Allowed / game	69.6	72.5	67.2
Point differential	+7.9	+4.5	+10.6
Avg total	147.0	149.5	145.0
Over 152.75	33%	50%	20%
Win by 10+	33%	25%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Libertas Livorno	9	8	1	89%	81.2	69.7	+11.6
2	Avellino Basket	9	8	1	89%	82.2	74.7	+7.6
3	Fortitudo Bologna	9	7	2	78%	79.4	74.3	+5.1
4	Sebastiani Rieti	9	7	2	78%	74.8	72.1	+2.7
5	Rimini	9	6	3	67%	80.4	71.8	+8.7
6	Brindisi	9	6	3	67%	77.4	73.9	+3.6
7	Basket Torino	8	5	3	62%	72.8	72.2	+0.5
8	Pistoia	9	5	4	56%	77.4	69.6	+7.9
9	Forli	9	5	4	56%	82.3	77.6	+4.8
10	Pesaro	9	5	4	56%	81.0	79.9	+1.1
11	Sassari	9	5	4	56%	77.2	76.4	+0.8
12	Cividale	9	5	4	56%	71.8	74.1	-2.3
13	Mestre	9	4	5	44%	75.0	76.4	-1.4
14	Vigevano	9	3	6	33%	76.3	81.8	-5.4
15	Caserta	8	2	6	25%	78.1	82.6	-4.5
16	JuVi Cremona	9	2	7	22%	75.3	77.9	-2.6
17	Ruvo Di Puglia	9	2	7	22%	74.4	81.7	-7.2
18	Cento	9	2	7	22%	72.8	82.2	-9.4
19	Urania Milano	9	1	8	11%	75.7	83.1	-7.4
20	Montecatini	9	1	8	11%	68.1	82.3	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Urania Milano	21	16	16	12	65
Pistoia	14	13	24	28	79

← all games of the day

Urania Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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