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Uruguay vs Canada Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 26 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#20
Record6-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#3
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.9
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeWorld CupRound 3
Other2027
Meetings · Uruguay v Canada
26 Nov 2026
URUG v CANA
upcoming
07 Sep 2015
URUG82
CANA109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uruguay win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Canada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#10
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A15/11
World Cup
Mexico
#26
L
69-82
69
82
-13
H27/02
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
93-60
93
60
+33
A28/11
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H01/12
World Cup
Argentina
#17
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A28/02
World Cup
Cuba
#87
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A03/03
World Cup
Argentina
#17
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H03/07
World Cup
Cuba
#87
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H05/07
World Cup
Bahamas
#42
L
94-103
94
103
-9
H27/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
11-28
14-21
20-15
26-18
12-28
18-17
13-19
28-12
27-20
21-15
17-13
21-19
19-22
21-23
23-18
16-15
14-7
11-13
20-9
20-17
17-19
22-11
29-15
20-25
24-16
16-28
16-22
30-14
26-22
21-16
22-18
20-23
28-31
20-21
26-28
27-20
16-17
21-18
16-20
155.7Avg total
81.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.473.4157.8+11.075%
Season at home (5)86.684.2170.8+2.460%
Season away (3)80.755.3136.0+25.3100%
Last 10 (10)81.274.5155.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)87.480.2167.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.377.8149.2-6.517%
vs Similar (5)70.478.0148.4-7.620%
vs Weaker (13)85.073.8158.8+11.285%
This opponent (Canada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#43
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A19/07
Friendly International
Puerto Rico
#65
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H21/07
Friendly International
Bahamas
#42
W
111-75
111
75
+36
A29/11
World Cup
Bahamas
#42
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H02/12
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
W
96-85 OT
96
85
+11
A27/02
World Cup
Jamaica
#64
W
97-81
97
81
+16
A01/03
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
W
110-84
110
84
+26
H03/07
World Cup
Jamaica
#64
W
116-78
116
78
+38
H06/07
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A28/08
World Cup
Argentina
#17
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
19-21
20-18
21-15
23-23
23-17
32-24
25-29
34-24
24-14
28-17
25-20
23-11
29-25
23-26
19-26
13-23
23-12
23-22
23-25
27-19
22-17
29-22
19-23
31-16
25-22
27-22
27-24
32-15
25-25
32-15
27-23
14-14
23-20
22-17
27-15
23-29
25-24
25-16
24-23
181.0Avg total
99.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.981.1182.0+19.8100%
Season at home (4)104.285.5189.8+18.8100%
Season away (4)97.576.8174.2+20.8100%
Last 10 (10)99.581.5181.0+18.0100%
Last 5 (5)101.280.2181.4+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.891.0179.8-2.250%
vs Similar (5)87.282.8170.0+4.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)95.176.4171.5+18.786%
This opponent (Uruguay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
UruguayCanada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UruguayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A15/11
World Cup
Mexico
#26
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H27/02
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A28/11
World Cup
Panama
#74
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/12
World Cup
Argentina
#17
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A28/02
World Cup
Cuba
#87
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/03
World Cup
Argentina
#17
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/07
World Cup
Cuba
#87
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H05/07
World Cup
Bahamas
#42
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H27/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H31/08
World Cup
81.0Avg total
42.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.677.6+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.638.079.6+3.660%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.375.5+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.581.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.886.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.337.273.5-0.842%-
vs Similar (5)38.838.076.8+0.840%-
vs Weaker (13)43.737.981.6+5.869%-
This opponent (Canada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#43
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A19/07
Friendly International
Puerto Rico
#65
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/07
Friendly International
Bahamas
#42
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A29/11
World Cup
Bahamas
#42
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H02/12
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A27/02
World Cup
Jamaica
#64
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A01/03
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H03/07
World Cup
Jamaica
#64
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H06/07
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A28/08
World Cup
Argentina
#17
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/08
World Cup
87.3Avg total
48.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.784.1+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.740.188.8+8.773%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.379.5+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)48.339.087.3+9.390%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.289.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.246.885.0-8.50%-
vs Similar (5)42.241.683.8+0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.237.984.0+8.376%-
This opponent (Uruguay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Uruguaytheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Canadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canada: 101.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.024.2
60.6%
-48.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.8
38.4%
-32.2
🏀 Free throws27.020.8
76.9%
-20.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Uruguay wins
4
Canada wins
DateGameScore
03/09/22Canada v Uruguay84-78
07/09/15Uruguay v Canada82-109
04/09/13Canada v Uruguay93-67
07/09/11Canada v Uruguay70-68
Uruguaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26HPuerto Rico80-75
27/08/26HBahamas94-103
05/07/26HCuba99-70
03/07/26HArgentina76-91
03/03/26ACuba88-62
28/02/26AArgentina61-44
01/12/25HPanama84-82
28/11/25APanama93-60
27/02/23HMexico69-82
15/11/22APuerto Rico68-76
Canadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26HArgentina97-92
28/08/26APanama86-66
06/07/26HJamaica116-78
03/07/26HPuerto Rico110-84
01/03/26AJamaica97-81
27/02/26APuerto Rico96-85 OT
02/12/25HBahamas94-88
29/11/25ABahamas111-75
21/07/24HPuerto Rico103-93
19/07/24AFrance85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uruguay
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%60%100%
Points / game84.486.680.7
Allowed / game73.484.255.3
Point differential+11.0+2.4+25.3
Avg total157.8170.8136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%20%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canada
World Cup 2027
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.9104.297.5
Allowed / game81.185.576.8
Point differential+19.8+18.8+20.8
Avg total182.0189.8174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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