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USA W vs Brazil W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 20:40
Final 54-67
12-15 13-20 14-14 15-18
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game55.0
USA W
vs
Brazil W 🏆
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game61.3
EuropeAmeriCup Women· Domo de la Feria (León)
Women2023
Meetings · USA W v Brazil W
04 Jul 2023
USA 54
BRAZ67
18 Jun 2021
USA 71
BRAZ60
26 Sep 2019
USA 89
BRAZ73
17 Jul 2015
USA 75
BRAZ69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USA W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brazil W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USA WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#7
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H22/09
World Cup Women
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
106-42
106
42
+64
no box
A23/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
H24/09
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
W
145-69
145
69
+76
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
121-59
121
59
+62
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
88-55
88
55
+33
no box
H29/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
83-43
83
43
+40
no box
A30/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
W
83-61
83
61
+22
no box
A01/10
World Cup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
80-54
80
54
+26
83avg 72
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
65-56
65
56
+9
62avg 72
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
16-17
24-17
15-16
27-11
27-10
26-6
26-15
18-13
26-12
12-22
21-16
32-21
36-19
38-12
39-17
33-15
30-16
29-13
29-15
25-23
25-10
16-7
22-15
27-7
18-14
22-8
16-14
18-13
25-20
25-14
15-14
20-5
26-11
20-14
14-24
19-18
14-11
16-11
16-16
150.9Avg total
93.5Scored
57.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.555.0127.5+17.5100%
Season at home (1)80.054.0134.0+26.0100%
Season away (1)65.056.0121.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.557.4150.9+36.1100%
Last 5 (5)79.853.8133.6+26.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)89.260.0149.2+29.2100%
This opponent (Brazil W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brazil WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
United States Virgin Islands W
#7
W
77-56
77
56
+21
no box
A14/06
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#6
W
90-59
90
59
+31
no box
H17/06
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
no box
A18/06
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A19/06
AmeriCup Women
Australia W
#3
L
52-65
52
65
-13
no box
A10/02
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H12/02
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A13/02
World Cup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
92-53
92
53
+39
100avg 80
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 80
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
56-55
56
55
+1
47avg 80
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
16-15
18-16
18-15
20-8
29-10
22-26
19-15
21-13
12-12
10-25
17-21
16-16
13-18
29-9
10-25
10-20
10-16
16-17
16-12
16-17
14-16
16-12
28-31
16-17
17-22
24-18
13-19
29-14
20-17
19-16
24-6
23-18
23-18
15-21
29-19
9-14
20-12
21-15
6-14
141.7Avg total
74.8Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.361.3140.7+18.0100%
Season at home (2)74.054.0128.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)90.076.0166.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.866.9141.7+7.960%
Last 5 (5)76.467.2143.6+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.977.2145.1-9.311%
vs Similar ◀ (3)70.065.3135.3+4.767%
vs Weaker (18)82.760.0142.7+22.789%
This opponent (USA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +10.3+10.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +10.3+10.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +10.4+10.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +10.3+10.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +10.3+10.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +10.4+10.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
USA WBrazil W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
USA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H22/09
World Cup Women
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
54-21
54
21
+33
A23/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H24/09
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
W
68-40
68
40
+28
A26/09
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
63-31
63
31
+32
H27/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H29/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A30/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/10
World Cup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
46-16
46
16
+30
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
78.2Avg total
49.4Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.530.275.8+15.390%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.729.976.6+16.894%-
Last 30 away (14)44.230.674.8+13.686%-
Last 10 (10)49.428.878.2+20.6100%-
Last 5 (5)43.426.469.8+17.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)45.530.275.8+15.390%-
This opponent (Brazil W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brazil WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
United States Virgin Islands W
#7
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A14/06
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#6
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H17/06
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#1
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A18/06
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A19/06
AmeriCup Women
Australia W
#3
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A10/02
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H12/02
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A13/02
World Cup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
66.2Avg total
35.9Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.331.367.6+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.130.969.1+7.265%-
Last 30 away (13)33.931.765.6+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.366.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.433.070.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.137.268.3-6.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.332.367.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (18)39.128.167.2+10.978%-
This opponent (USA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
USA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USA W: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.021.0
41.2%
39.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.54.5
29.0%
29.0%13.5
🏀 Free throws25.016.0
64.0%
65.9%16.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brazil Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brazil W: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.713.7
43.2%
39.1%27.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.7
35.7%
29.0%35.0
🏀 Free throws24.716.3
66.2%
65.9%16.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 04 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
USA W
WWWWWWWWWW
Brazil W
WWWLLLWLWW
#3
League position
#1
+21.0
Net rating
+22.5
85.9
Offensive rating
98.4
64.8
Defensive rating
75.9
41.7%
Effective FG%
48.4%
35.0%
Opp. effective FG%
32.5%
24.1%
Turnover %
21.4%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.0%
3-point %
35.7%
70.6%
Assist %
88.2%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.9 · 98.4Defence64.8 · 75.9Shooting41.7% · 48.4%3-point %29.0% · 35.7%Ball care24.1% · 21.4%Off. rebounds35.4% · 34.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ USA W   ■ Brazil W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
USA W wins
1
Brazil W wins
DateGameScore
18/06/21USA W v Brazil W71-60
26/09/19USA W v Brazil W89-73
11/08/19Brazil W v USA W79-73
17/07/15USA W v Brazil W75-69
USA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/23AArgentina W65-56
01/07/23HVenezuela W80-54
01/10/22AChina W83-61
30/09/22ACanada W83-43
29/09/22HSerbia W88-55
27/09/22HBosnia & Herzegovina W121-59
26/09/22ASouth Korea W145-69
24/09/22HChina W77-63
23/09/22APuerto Rico W106-42
22/09/22HBelgium W87-72
Brazil Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/23HArgentina W56-55
02/07/23AVenezuela W90-76
01/07/23HCuba W92-53
13/02/22ASerbia W70-76
12/02/22HSouth Korea W74-76
10/02/22AAustralia W52-65
19/06/21ACanada W87-82 OT
18/06/21AUSA W60-71
17/06/21HVenezuela W90-59
14/06/21AUnited States Virgin Islands W77-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USA W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game72.580.065.0
Allowed / game55.054.056.0
Point differential+17.5+26.0+9.0
Avg total127.5134.0121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brazil W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.374.090.0
Allowed / game61.354.076.0
Point differential+18.0+20.0+14.0
Avg total140.7128.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canada W220100%83.552.0+31.5
2 Brazil W330100%79.361.3+18.0
3 USA W220100%72.555.0+17.5
4 Puerto Rico W32167%61.064.3-3.3
5 Colombia W21150%66.059.5+6.5
6 Mexico W21150%63.072.5-9.5
7 Venezuela W31233%78.785.0-6.3
8 Cuba W31233%68.087.0-19.0
9 Argentina W3030%58.062.3-4.3
10 Dominican Republic W3030%55.070.7-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
USA W1213141554
Brazil W1520141867
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