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Utah State vs SMU Mustangs Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 26 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game70.5
Utah State
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs
USA
Position#33
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Utah State v SMU Mustangs
25 Nov 2026
UTAH v SMU
upcoming
23 Dec 2022
UTAH74
SMU 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A20/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A23/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#392
W
94-58
94
58
+36
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#183
W
90-56
90
56
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
118-86
118
86
+32
H11/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#169
W
120-82
120
82
+38
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-43
52-47
37-23
43-37
39-32
40-34
34-35
39-27
37-39
49-37
24-33
42-45
37-29
57-29
44-21
46-35
53-35
65-51
73-34
47-48
161.4Avg total
90.0Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)105.570.5176.0+35.0100%
Season at home (4)105.570.5176.0+35.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.071.4161.4+18.690%
Last 5 (5)97.672.0169.6+25.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.078.0144.0-12.00%
vs Similar (2)90.078.0168.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.871.0155.8+13.781%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A28/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H10/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H19/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H03/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H06/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
98-63
98
63
+35
H11/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
48-61
31-38
38-39
27-45
51-46
39-38
47-31
26-26
32-36
34-43
45-46
40-38
45-34
47-28
48-42
52-36
46-27
51-17
39-48
156.6Avg total
81.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
Season at home (4)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.375.3156.6+6.050%
Last 5 (5)89.471.8161.2+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.181.6155.7-7.414%
vs Similar (12)80.881.6162.3-0.842%
vs Weaker (11)91.170.7161.8+20.491%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: +2.9+2.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: +2.9+2.9
Utah StateSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A23/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#392
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#183
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H11/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#169
W
73-34
73
34
+39
H14/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
42.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.632.772.4+6.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.731.674.3+11.172%-
Last 30 away (12)35.034.469.4+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.032.474.4+9.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.230.476.6+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.033.057.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (2)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)40.332.372.6+7.967%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A11/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H19/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H03/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H06/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H14/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
37.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.676.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.135.478.5+7.678%-
Last 30 away (12)35.038.373.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.371.7+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.832.477.2+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.641.378.9-3.729%-
vs Similar (12)37.638.175.7-0.542%-
vs Weaker (11)43.732.075.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah State wins
1
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
24/12/22Utah State v SMU Mustangs74-77
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUC San Diego120-82
11/11/26HUtah Tech118-86
07/11/26HNebraska O.90-56
03/11/26HIdaho State94-58
23/03/26AArizona66-78
20/03/26AVillanova86-76
14/03/26HSan Diego State73-62
14/03/26HNevada79-66
12/03/26HUNLV80-60
07/03/26HNew Mexico94-90
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBall State90-65
11/11/26HPrairie View A&M98-63
06/11/26HVMI95-70
03/11/26HSouthern Univ.85-72
19/03/26HMiami (Ohio)79-89
11/03/26ALouisville58-62
10/03/26HSyracuse86-69
07/03/26AFlorida State78-91
05/03/26HMiami (FL)69-77
28/02/26AStanford75-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game105.5105.5-
Allowed / game70.570.5-
Point differential+35.0+35.0-
Avg total176.0176.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential+24.5+24.5-
Avg total159.5159.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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