Utah Utes face Towson on 5 November 2026 in the NCAA, a contest where the edge is razor-thin as the Utes hold a 1-0 record with 66.0 points per game and 63.0 allowed, while Towson sits at 0-1 with 70.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; Utah's sole win came 66-63 over Long Beach State at home, whereas Towson's lone defeat was 70-89 to Santa Clara away. Utah's five-game stretch has been 1-4, and Towson's last five are 3-2, a contrast that hints at Utah's steadier form. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history informs the matchup. Pythia rates Utah a 52% chance of victory against Towson's 48%, projecting a close 72-71 score and a total of 143.0 points; the Utes are listed at -10.0 on the spread with only a 20% chance to cover, while the over on 141.5 points has a 53% probability. The game carries a 5% chance of overtime, and Utah's home record remains perfect at 1-0.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Utah Utes winWon
52.2%fair 1.92
Best odds1.26
Implied78.7%
Edge-26.5pp
Towson winLost
47.8%fair 2.09
Best odds4.51
Implied21.3%
Edge+26.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Utah Utes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 132.5Actual: Under 132.5
Over 132.5
73.3%
@ 1.50+10.8pp
Under 132.5
26.7%
@ 2.50-10.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 137.5 · main lineActual: Under 137.5
Over 137.5
62.4%
@ 1.95+12.1pp
Under 137.5
37.6%
@ 1.91-12.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Over/Under 142.5Actual: Under 142.5
Over 142.5
50.5%
@ 2.75+3.5pp
Under 142.5
49.5%
@ 1.79-3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathon Be
2.01
WilliamHill
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Be
1.70
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
📊 3. Team Totals
Utah Utes total 70Actual: Utah Utes under 70
Over 70
57.0%
Under 70
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utah Utes total 74 · main lineActual: Utah Utes under 74
Over 74
41.0%
@ 1.88-8.6pp
Under 74
59.0%
@ 1.85+8.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Utah Utes total 78Actual: Utah Utes under 78
Over 78
26.5%
Under 78
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Towson total 61Actual: Towson under 61
Over 61
84.6%
Under 61
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Towson total 65 · main lineActual: Towson under 65
Over 65
73.2%
@ 1.85+22.9pp
Under 65
26.8%
@ 1.87-22.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Towson total 69Actual: Towson under 69
Over 69
58.5%
Under 69
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Utah Utes -11Actual: Towson +11
UTAH -11
17.6%
@ 2.43-21.8pp
TOWS +11
82.4%
@ 1.58+21.8pp
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
Pinnacle
2.43
Bet365
2.30
TOWS
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.55
Spread Utah Utes -8 · main lineActual: Utah Utes -8
UTAH -8
25.5%
@ 1.89-25.4pp
TOWS +8
74.5%
@ 1.96+25.4pp
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.74
TOWS
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.88
Spread Utah Utes -5Actual: Utah Utes -5
UTAH -5
35.6%
@ 1.47-27.9pp
TOWS +5
64.4%
@ 2.55+27.9pp
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
Bet365
1.47
TOWS
Bet365
2.55
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Utah UtesTowson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Towson +7
71.4%
2.10
Pinnacle
2.16
Bet365
2.10
Marathon Bet
2.04
-
-
+27.0pp
Lost
Towson over 63.5
77.1%
1.77
Pinnacle
1.84
Betano
1.70
-
-
-
+25.9pp
Lost
Towson +7.5
72.3%
1.99
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.97
+25.8pp
Lost
Towson over 64.5
74.1%
1.85
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
+25.8pp
Lost
Towson +11.5
82.8%
1.57
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
-
-
+25.7pp
Won
Towson over 65.5
70.8%
1.93
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.02
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.85
+25.5pp
Lost
Towson +12
84.6%
1.54
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+25.5pp
Won
Towson +8
74.5%
1.93
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.88
-
-
+25.4pp
Lost
Towson +12.5
84.9%
1.49
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.42
-
-
+24.9pp
Won
Towson +8.5
75.2%
1.84
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
+23.5pp
Lost
Towson +9
77.4%
1.78
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.77
-
-
+23.5pp
Lost
Towson over 65
73.2%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
+22.9pp
Lost
Towson +10
80.0%
1.67
Marathon Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
-
-
+22.3pp
Push
Towson +9.5
78.0%
1.73
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.71
Bet365
1.71
+22.1pp
Lost
Towson +11
82.4%
1.56
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
+21.8pp
Won
Towson +10.5
80.5%
1.68
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
+21.1pp
Won
Towson +13
86.5%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+20.2pp
Won
Towson over 61.5
82.6%
1.46
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.43
-
-
+20.1pp
Lost
Towson over 62.5
80.0%
1.51
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.45
-
-
+19.1pp
Lost
Towson +13.5
86.8%
1.36
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+18.9pp
Won
Towson +17.5
92.5%
1.25
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+18.5pp
Won
Towson +14
88.3%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+18.3pp
Won
Towson +17
92.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Won
Towson +14.5
88.5%
1.31
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Won
Towson +18
93.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+17.3pp
Won
Towson +15
89.8%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+17.0pp
Won
Towson +16.5
91.3%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Won
Towson over 60.5
85.0%
1.33
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+16.3pp
Lost
Towson +15.5
90.0%
1.26
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
+16.3pp
Won
Towson over 59.5
87.2%
1.29
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
-
-
+16.1pp
Lost
Towson +16
91.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Towson over 58.5
89.1%
1.25
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Lost
Towson +19.5
94.4%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+14.9pp
Won
Towson over 57.5
90.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+14.7pp
Lost
Towson +20.5
95.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Won
Towson +18.5
93.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
Over 134
70.6%
1.60
Bet365
1.60
-
-
-
-
+12.7pp
Lost
Over 133
72.7%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Lost
Utah Utes under 81.5
82.8%
1.25
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.12
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Towson over 55.5
93.6%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Over 133.5
71.3%
1.54
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Lost
Over 132
74.8%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Lost
Utah Utes under 83.5
87.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Towson over 56.5
92.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+10.9pp
Won
Over 132.5
73.3%
1.48
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Lost
Over 131
76.7%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Lost
Over 131.5
75.3%
1.42
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+10.4pp
Lost
Over 130.5
77.2%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Lost
Over 130
78.6%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Lost
Towson +24.5
97.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+9.2pp
Won
Towson over 53.5
95.7%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+9.1pp
Won
Over 129.5
79.0%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Lost
Over 129
80.4%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Lost
Utah Utes under 80.5
80.2%
1.28
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Over 128.5
80.7%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Lost
Towson +23.5
97.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
Towson over 54.5
94.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Utah Utes under 85.5
90.8%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Utah Utes under 87.5
93.6%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Won
Utah Utes under 79.5
77.4%
1.32
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
Utah Utes under 89.5
95.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Utah Utes under 91.5
97.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Over 126.5
83.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Lost
Utah Utes under 93.5
98.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Utah Utes under 78.5
74.4%
1.30
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.25
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Utah Utes under 90.5
96.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Utah Utes under 94.5
98.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Utah Utes under 88.5
94.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Utah Utes under 77.5
71.2%
1.35
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Utah Utes under 86.5
92.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Utah Utes under 92.5
97.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Utah Utes under 84.5
89.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Overtime: no
94.6%
1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+3.3pp
-
Utah Utes under 82.5
85.1%
1.13
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Won
Over 123.5
88.0%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
Utah Utes +16.5
92.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Under 166.5
91.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Under 163.5
89.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Utah Utes +11.5
85.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.8pp
Won
Under 161.5
86.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Won
Towson under 82.5
86.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-6.4pp
Won
Under 158.5
82.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.6pp
Won
Towson under 81.5
84.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-8.6pp
Won
Utah Utes +10.5
83.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Won
Towson under 80.5
81.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-9.4pp
Won
Under 156.5
79.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-9.8pp
Won
Utah Utes +9.5
80.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-10.6pp
Won
Under 153.5
74.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-10.8pp
Won
Towson under 79.5
79.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-11.7pp
Won
Utah Utes +6.5
72.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-11.7pp
Won
Towson under 78.5
76.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-12.8pp
Won
Under 151.5
70.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-14.8pp
Won
Towson under 77.5
73.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-15.9pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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