Utah Utes will host Weber State on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model designates Utah as the clear favourite, assigning an 86% probability of a win largely because Utah is 2-0 this season, averaging 66.5 points scored and 60.0 points allowed, and sits 125th in the league, while Weber State is 0-2, averaging 77.0 points scored but conceding 101.5, and is 372nd; Utah's home record is also 2-0 with the same averages, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, with recent victories over Towson 67-57 and Long Beach State 66-63, whereas Weber State's last five include one win and four losses, with recent defeats to Utah Valley State 93-101, Oregon State 61-102 and East Washington 79-84. In the two meetings between the teams, Utah has won both, most recently 92-89 on 8 November 2025. Pythia projects a 84-72 score, a total of 155.6 points, and gives Utah a 29% chance to cover the home line of -18.5; the over on the 153.5 total has a 55% probability, and there is a 3% chance of overtime. The game will end with Utah's 84 points against Weber State's 72.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Utah Utes winWon
85.9%fair 1.16
Best odds1.05
Implied91.6%
Edge-5.7pp
Weber State winLost
14.1%fair 7.12
Best odds15.00
Implied8.4%
Edge+5.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Utah Utes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149.5Actual: Under 149.5
Over 149.5
64.3%
@ 1.45+0.1pp
Under 149.5
35.7%
@ 2.60-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.57
Over/Under 154.5 · main lineActual: Under 154.5
Over 154.5
52.3%
@ 1.93+2.8pp
Under 154.5
47.7%
@ 1.91-2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Over/Under 159.5Actual: Under 159.5
Over 159.5
40.2%
@ 2.55+2.2pp
Under 159.5
59.8%
@ 1.52-2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.47
📊 3. Team Totals
Utah Utes total 81.5Actual: Utah Utes over 81.5
Over 81.5
59.8%
@ 1.37-9.2pp
Under 81.5
40.2%
@ 3.25+9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.25
Betano
2.92
Bet365
2.85
Utah Utes total 85.5 · main lineActual: Utah Utes under 85.5
Over 85.5
43.8%
@ 1.89-6.2pp
Under 85.5
56.2%
@ 1.93+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
BetVictor
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.88
Utah Utes total 89.5Actual: Utah Utes under 89.5
Over 89.5
28.8%
@ 2.62-8.7pp
Under 89.5
71.2%
@ 1.52+8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.62
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.25
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.44
Weber State total 64Push
Over 64
78.1%
Under 64
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Weber State total 68 · main lineActual: Weber State under 68
Over 68
64.1%
@ 1.85+13.8pp
Under 68
35.9%
@ 1.87-13.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Weber State total 72Actual: Weber State under 72
Over 72
48.0%
Under 72
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Utah Utes -19.5Actual: Utah Utes -19.5
UTAH -19.5
26.0%
@ 2.25-17.5pp
WEBE +19.5
74.0%
@ 1.75+17.5pp
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.05
WEBE
Betano
1.75
Marathon Be
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Bet365
1.57
Spread Utah Utes -16.5 · main lineActual: Utah Utes -16.5
UTAH -16.5
35.2%
@ 1.91-15.2pp
WEBE +16.5
64.8%
@ 2.00+15.2pp
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
WEBE
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Be
1.91
Betano
1.90
Spread Utah Utes -13.5Actual: Utah Utes -13.5
UTAH -13.5
45.5%
@ 1.54-17.5pp
WEBE +13.5
54.5%
@ 2.67+17.5pp
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.40
WEBE
Betano
2.67
Bet365
2.35
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Utah UtesWeber State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Weber State +19
73.2%
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
Bet365
1.60
-
-
+18.7pp
Lost
Weber State +20
76.1%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.64
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+17.7pp
Lost
Weber State +19.5
74.0%
1.68
Betano
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Bet365
1.57
-
+17.5pp
Lost
Weber State +20.5
76.8%
1.56
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+17.2pp
Lost
Weber State +21.5
79.3%
1.48
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Won
Weber State +25
87.3%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Weber State +22.5
81.7%
1.41
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+15.8pp
Won
Weber State +23.5
83.8%
1.35
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Won
Weber State +21
78.8%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+14.2pp
Push
Weber State +24.5
85.8%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+14.2pp
Won
Weber State +18
70.2%
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.87
Bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
-
-
+13.9pp
Lost
Weber State +22
81.2%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Won
Weber State +18.5
71.1%
1.77
Betano
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.81
BetVictor
1.78
+13.0pp
Lost
Weber State +23
83.5%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Won
Weber State +24
85.5%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
Utah Utes under 90.5
74.5%
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
Weber State over 65.5
72.5%
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
-
-
+10.0pp
Lost
Weber State over 62.5
81.5%
1.27
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.22
-
-
+9.9pp
Won
Weber State over 63.5
78.7%
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Utah Utes under 91.5
77.6%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Weber State over 64.5
75.7%
1.37
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Lost
Utah Utes under 93.5
83.2%
1.24
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
Utah Utes under 89.5
71.2%
1.49
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.44
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
Utah Utes under 96.5
89.6%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
+7.4pp
Won
Utah Utes under 95.5
87.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
Utah Utes under 92.5
80.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Utah Utes under 97.5
91.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Weber State over 61.5
84.0%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Utah Utes under 99.5
94.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Weber State over 59.5
88.4%
1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Weber State over 60.5
86.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Weber State over 53.5
96.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Weber State over 55.5
94.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Weber State over 57.5
91.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Weber State over 54.5
95.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Weber State over 56.5
93.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Weber State over 58.5
90.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Over 146
72.4%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Over 128.5
95.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Over 129.5
94.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Over 130.5
93.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Won
Over 133.5
91.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Won
Utah Utes over 70.5
91.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Utah Utes over 69.5
92.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Over 146.5
70.9%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Under 180.5
93.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Over 143.5
76.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Over 134.5
90.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Under 179.5
92.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Over 147
70.3%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Over 138.5
85.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Utah Utes over 71.5
89.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.0pp
Won
Under 175.5
88.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
Over 135.5
89.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Under 178.5
91.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
Utah Utes over 72.5
87.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
Over 144.5
75.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Over 139.5
83.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Won
Under 174.5
87.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Won
Utah Utes over 74.5
82.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-2.1pp
Won
Utah Utes over 76.5
77.4%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-2.1pp
Won
Utah Utes (regulation)
84.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Marathon Bet
1.03
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
Utah Utes over 73.5
85.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
Under 165.5
73.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
Utah Utes +3.5
90.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.3pp
Won
Over 145.5
73.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-2.3pp
Won
Under 170.5
82.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Won
Over 140.5
82.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
Under 173.5
86.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Utah Utes over 75.5
80.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Weber State under 82.5
85.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.8pp
Won
Under 169.5
80.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Won
Under 164.5
71.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.3pp
Won
Utah Utes +1.5
87.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Utah Utes win
85.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Pinnacle
1.05
Marathon Bet
1.03
WilliamHill
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-5.7pp
Won
Under 168.5
78.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
Utah Utes over 77.5
74.2%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Won
Utah Utes -1.5
84.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Won
Weber State under 81.5
83.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.0pp
Won
Weber State under 80.5
80.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-6.3pp
Won
Weber State under 79.5
78.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-6.9pp
Won
Weber State under 78.5
75.3%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-7.8pp
Won
Utah Utes over 78.5
70.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-9.2pp
Won
Weber State under 77.5
72.1%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-10.1pp
Won
Utah Utes -3.5
79.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-10.1pp
Won
Utah Utes -6.5
70.1%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-11.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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