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UTRGV vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 50-58
27-24 23-34
Position#137
Record2-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#150
Record6-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UTRGV v UT Arlington
11 Dec 2025
UTRG50
UT A58
17 Feb 2024
UTRG70
UT A89
09 Feb 2023
UTRG58
UT A64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A22/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
65-100
65
100
-35
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H01/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A04/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A12/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
110-53
110
53
+57
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A25/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A04/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-36
49-57
34-43
31-57
42-37
46-41
48-35
29-41
37-46
44-50
36-48
29-37
58-30
52-23
31-42
42-45
26-29
34-44
31-30
32-20
155.7Avg total
76.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.374.0149.3+1.333%
Season at home (2)86.551.5138.0+35.0100%
Season away (4)69.885.2155.0-15.50%
Last 10 (10)76.679.1155.7-2.540%
Last 5 (5)74.269.6143.8+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.784.2153.8-14.517%
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.778.2148.8-7.525%
vs Weaker (12)79.262.6141.8+16.783%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#29
L
75-98
75
98
-23
A13/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#632
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H04/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A08/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
117-61
117
61
+56
H11/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A19/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H29/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-46
43-52
46-14
45-26
19-31
37-43
56-31
61-30
34-25
33-24
35-34
49-42
31-28
36-43
33-27
41-46
26-33
40-28
21-39
42-44
144.6Avg total
76.0Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.165.3141.4+10.867%
Season at home (4)85.252.8138.0+32.5100%
Season away (5)68.875.4144.2-6.640%
Last 10 (10)76.068.6144.6+7.460%
Last 5 (5)70.872.8143.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.578.1146.6-9.620%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.671.3141.9-0.655%
vs Weaker (8)79.267.2146.5+12.075%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +4.9+4.9
UTRGVUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H07/12
NCAA
75.4Avg total
37.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.667.9+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.430.366.8+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)31.937.369.2-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.675.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.872.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.337.567.8-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.937.571.4-3.642%-
vs Weaker (12)36.827.764.4+9.175%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#29
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A13/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#632
W
46-14
46
14
+32
H04/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A19/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A21/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A23/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H29/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A03/12
NCAA
64.1Avg total
33.3Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.732.564.2-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.828.463.2+6.457%-
Last 30 away (16)28.936.165.0-7.125%-
Last 10 (10)33.330.864.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)29.232.261.4-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.934.562.4-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.332.562.8-2.345%-
vs Weaker (8)36.532.268.8+4.250%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTRGV wins
4
UT Arlington wins
DateGameScore
18/02/24UTRGV v UT Arlington70-89
19/01/24UT Arlington v UTRGV91-73
10/02/23UTRGV v UT Arlington58-64
20/01/23UT Arlington v UTRGV85-73
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HAustin Peay63-50
04/12/25AStephen F. Austin60-73
25/11/25AIllinois73-87
18/11/25HSouthwest Adventist110-53
12/11/25ABoise State65-85
04/11/25ABaylor81-96
04/03/25HSE Louisiana77-76
01/03/25HNew Orleans88-78
25/02/25AMcNeese State65-100
22/02/25ANicholls State84-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25AArkansas State63-83
29/11/25HStephen F. Austin66-61
23/11/25AWeber State74-73
21/11/25ACampbell67-71
19/11/25AEvansville84-76
15/11/25HMissouri State67-49
11/11/25HArlington Baptist Patriots117-61
08/11/25ANew Mexico56-74
04/11/25HNorth Texas-Dallas91-40
13/03/25AGrand Canyon75-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game75.386.569.8
Allowed / game74.051.585.2
Point differential+1.3+35.0-15.5
Avg total149.3138.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game76.185.268.8
Allowed / game65.352.875.4
Point differential+10.8+32.5-6.6
Avg total141.4138.0144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State108280%87.665.3+22.3
2 Stephen F. Austin97278%80.168.7+11.4
3 Lamar95456%72.065.6+6.4
4 Houston Christian95456%72.772.0+0.7
5 Incarnate Word105550%84.374.9+9.4
6 Texas A&M-CC83538%72.473.0-0.6
7 New Orleans114736%77.281.4-4.2
8 UTRGV62433%75.374.0+1.3
9 SE Louisiana93633%64.368.3-4.0
10 Nicholls State92722%74.477.6-3.1
11 Northwestern St.92722%70.982.7-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State107370%82.265.7+16.5
2 Abilene Christian107370%73.865.7+8.1
3 California Baptist107370%74.370.1+4.2
4 UT Arlington96367%76.165.3+10.8
5 Tarleton117464%80.273.0+7.2
6 Utah Tech115645%78.074.1+3.9
7 Southern Utah114736%80.480.3+0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV272350
UT Arlington243458
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