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Stephen F. Austin vs UTRGV Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 73-60
29-26 44-34
Position#12
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game68.9
vs
Position#137
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v UTRGV
03 Dec 2025
STEP73
UTRG60
10 Feb 2025
STEP85
UTRG75
08 Feb 2024
STEP92
UTRG84
25 Jan 2023
STEP83
UTRG66
11 Jan 2022
STEP86
UTRG75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#304
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A25/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
70-94
70
94
-24
H01/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
64-95
64
95
-31
H04/03
NCAA
Millsaps
#450
W
103-76
103
76
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H08/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A12/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-28
31-44
33-46
37-48
37-46
27-49
57-35
46-41
46-31
44-34
36-31
45-38
35-33
41-33
42-39
36-41
24-32
39-28
33-26
28-40
148.5Avg total
74.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.968.9147.7+10.071%
Season at home (3)89.769.0158.7+20.7100%
Season away (4)70.868.8139.5+2.050%
Last 10 (10)74.274.3148.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)71.868.2140.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)63.972.0135.9-8.121%
vs Similar (5)63.067.4130.4-4.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.469.3146.7+8.180%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#304
W
76-52
76
52
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A22/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
65-100
65
100
-35
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H01/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A04/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A12/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
110-53
110
53
+57
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
42-25
36-31
24-35
35-36
49-57
34-43
31-57
42-37
46-41
48-35
29-41
37-46
44-50
36-48
29-37
58-30
52-23
31-42
42-45
156.5Avg total
77.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.280.2162.5+2.025%
Season at home (1)110.053.0163.0+57.0100%
Season away (3)73.089.3162.3-16.30%
Last 10 (10)77.978.6156.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)81.279.4160.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.786.5160.2-12.817%
vs Similar (11)71.480.7152.1-9.418%
vs Weaker (13)80.663.7144.3+16.985%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -2.3-2.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -2.3-2.3
Stephen F. AustinUTRGV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#304
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H01/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/03
NCAA
Millsaps
#450
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H08/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A12/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A19/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A29/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
36.8Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.133.165.1-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.933.167.0+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)30.433.163.5-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.771.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.266.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)28.835.063.8-6.214%-
vs Similar (5)28.029.257.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.232.168.3+4.180%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#304
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H15/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/11
NCAA
76.6Avg total
39.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.269.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.130.467.4+6.781%-
Last 30 away (14)33.838.672.4-4.921%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.576.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.282.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.740.775.3-6.033%-
vs Similar (11)34.238.272.4-4.036%-
vs Weaker (13)37.127.965.0+9.277%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Stephen F. Austin wins
1
UTRGV wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25AUT Arlington61-66
22/11/25APepperdine63-60
19/11/25AFresno State78-80
15/11/25HAbilene Christian76-66
12/11/25ARice81-69
08/11/25HArkansas State90-65
03/11/25HMillsaps103-76
04/03/25HMcNeese State64-95
01/03/25HNicholls State70-94
25/02/25AHouston Christian56-72
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25AIllinois73-87
18/11/25HSouthwest Adventist110-53
12/11/25ABoise State65-85
04/11/25ABaylor81-96
04/03/25HSE Louisiana77-76
01/03/25HNew Orleans88-78
25/02/25AMcNeese State65-100
22/02/25ANicholls State84-93
18/02/25HIncarnate Word60-66
15/02/25HHouston Christian76-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game78.989.770.8
Allowed / game68.969.068.8
Point differential+10.0+20.7+2.0
Avg total147.7158.7139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTRGV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game82.2110.073.0
Allowed / game80.253.089.3
Point differential+2.0+57.0-16.3
Avg total162.5163.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State86275%89.866.9+22.9
2 Stephen F. Austin75271%78.968.9+10.0
3 Lamar64267%77.264.8+12.3
4 Incarnate Word85362%86.673.9+12.8
5 Houston Christian84450%71.171.5-0.4
6 New Orleans83538%77.480.1-2.8
7 SE Louisiana83538%63.967.4-3.5
8 Texas A&M-CC72529%74.676.4-1.9
9 UTRGV41325%82.280.2+2.0
10 Northwestern St.71614%72.683.4-10.9
11 Nicholls State7070%68.483.1-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin294473
UTRGV263460
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