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Valcea vs CSM Focsani Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-83
20-28 24-23 28-12 23-20
Position#9
Record15-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game80.8
Valcea 🏆
Romania
vs
CSM Focsani
Romania
Position#16
Record8-20
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game82.9
RomaniaDivizia ADivizia A - Quarter-finals· Traian Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valcea v CSM Focsani
20 Apr 2024
VALC95
CSM 83
11 Apr 2024
VALC111
CSM 90
09 Apr 2024
VALC86
CSM 93
06 Jan 2024
VALC96
CSM 84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Focsani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#12
L
91-95
91
95
-4
77avg 74
A10/02
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#13
W
101-76
101
76
+25
108avg 74
H02/03
Divizia A
Laguna Bucuresti
#18
W
82-53
82
53
+29
78avg 74
A09/03
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
92avg 74
H16/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#12
L
96-100
96
100
-4
95avg 74
H23/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#13
W
94-92
94
92
+2
81avg 74
A29/03
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
L
86-93
86
93
-7
79avg 74
H09/04
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
111-90
111
90
+21
114avg 74
H11/04
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
L
64-68
64
68
-4
43avg 74
A15/04
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
68-59
68
59
+9
55avg 74
A17/04
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
25-30
17-19
22-23
26-16
31-20
18-18
26-22
19-13
24-13
17-11
22-16
22-31
16-20
32-21
19-13
26-19
23-27
17-23
30-31
28-32
19-19
22-22
25-19
18-27
22-23
29-15
17-28
25-23
36-26
20-21
30-20
17-19
16-15
17-19
14-15
16-14
13-17
23-16
16-12
169.3Avg total
88.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.080.8165.8+4.254%
Season at home (14)87.180.9168.0+6.357%
Season away (14)82.980.8163.6+2.150%
Last 10 (10)88.281.1169.3+7.160%
Last 5 (5)84.680.4165.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.890.0158.8-21.20%
vs Similar (8)85.180.6165.8+4.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.079.8165.8+6.256%
This opponent (CSM Focsani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM FocsaniRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFocsani
Date
Competition
Municipal Galati
#17
W
85-66
85
66
+19
87avg 66
H10/02
Divizia A
Laguna Bucuresti
#18
W
88-86
88
86
+2
82avg 66
A02/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
69avg 66
H08/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#12
L
77-103
77
103
-26
57avg 66
A16/03
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#17
L
86-99
86
99
-13
80avg 66
A22/03
Divizia A
Laguna Bucuresti
#18
W
89-82
89
82
+7
82avg 66
H29/03
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
90avg 66
A09/04
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
L
90-111
90
111
-21
84avg 66
A11/04
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
W
68-64
68
64
+4
65avg 66
H15/04
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
L
59-68
59
68
-9
46avg 66
H17/04
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
16-19
20-13
24-15
30-21
25-21
16-18
17-26
19-16
23-22
19-18
18-13
20-19
17-34
19-26
21-24
19-23
30-30
19-25
18-21
18-20
20-19
31-22
20-21
27-18
23-22
15-29
28-17
23-25
26-36
21-20
20-30
19-17
15-16
19-17
15-14
14-16
17-13
16-23
12-16
164.8Avg total
81.4Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.682.9158.4-7.329%
Season at home (14)73.977.9151.7-4.036%
Season away (14)77.387.9165.1-10.621%
Last 10 (10)81.483.4164.8-2.060%
Last 5 (5)79.882.2162.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.383.0156.3-9.819%
vs Similar (2)85.582.5168.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (2)88.584.0172.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
ValceaCSM Focsani
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#12
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A10/02
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#13
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H02/03
Divizia A
Laguna Bucuresti
#18
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A09/03
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#17
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H16/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H23/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#13
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A29/03
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H09/04
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H11/04
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A15/04
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A17/04
Divizia A
87.6Avg total
44.9Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.684.8-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.242.986.1+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.342.383.5-1.027%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.787.6+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.085.0-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.249.282.5-16.00%-
vs Similar (8)42.041.883.8+0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.341.485.8+2.944%-
This opponent (CSM Focsani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM FocsaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Galati
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/02
Divizia A
Laguna Bucuresti
#18
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A02/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#12
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A16/03
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#17
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A22/03
Divizia A
Laguna Bucuresti
#18
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H29/03
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A09/04
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A11/04
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H15/04
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H17/04
Divizia A
85.2Avg total
42.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.741.277.9-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.338.173.4-2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.382.4-6.113%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.685.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.480.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.340.976.2-5.627%-
vs Similar (2)45.045.590.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)46.540.587.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.223.9
55.3%
53.1%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.7
32.5%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.313.7
64.3%
72.2%13.7
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Focsanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Focsani: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.2
50.3%
53.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.5
39.8%
34.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.214.7
80.8%
72.2%14.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WLWLWLWWWL
CSM Focsani
LWLWWLLWWW
#9
League position
#16
+9.3
Net rating
-2.4
114.5
Offensive rating
108.7
105.2
Defensive rating
111.1
52.8%
Effective FG%
54.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
19.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
39.8%
62.9%
Assist %
57.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 108.7Defence105.2 · 111.1Shooting52.8% · 54.4%3-point %32.5% · 39.8%Ball care14.5% · 16.2%Off. rebounds34.7% · 19.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Valcea   ■ CSM Focsani
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valcea wins
3
CSM Focsani wins
DateGameScore
17/04/24CSM Focsani v Valcea59-68
15/04/24CSM Focsani v Valcea68-64
11/04/24Valcea v CSM Focsani111-90
09/04/24Valcea v CSM Focsani86-93
06/01/24Valcea v CSM Focsani96-84
06/11/23CSM Focsani v Valcea74-71
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24ACSM Focsani68-59
15/04/24ACSM Focsani64-68
11/04/24HCSM Focsani111-90
09/04/24HCSM Focsani86-93
29/03/24ASCM Timisoara94-92
23/03/24HCSM Targu Jiu96-100
16/03/24HMunicipal Galati89-85
09/03/24ALaguna Bucuresti82-53
02/03/24HSCM Timisoara101-76
10/02/24ACSM Targu Jiu91-95
CSM Focsanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24HValcea59-68
15/04/24HValcea68-64
11/04/24AValcea90-111
09/04/24AValcea93-86
29/03/24HLaguna Bucuresti89-82
22/03/24AMunicipal Galati86-99
16/03/24ACSM Targu Jiu77-103
08/03/24HSCM Timisoara79-69
02/03/24ALaguna Bucuresti88-86
10/02/24HMunicipal Galati85-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game85.087.182.9
Allowed / game80.880.980.8
Point differential+4.2+6.3+2.1
Avg total165.8168.0163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
CSM Focsani
Divizia A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL29%
HomeWWWWL36%
AwayWLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%36%21%
Points / game75.673.977.3
Allowed / game82.977.987.9
Point differential-7.3-4.0-10.6
Avg total158.4151.7165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cluj-Napoca29290100%92.673.4+19.1
2 CSM Oradea2925486%86.676.2+10.4
3 Voluntari29191066%85.077.6+7.4
4 Arges Pitesti29191066%77.876.6+1.2
5 SCM Craiova27161159%76.674.5+2.0
6 Rapid Bucuresti29171259%81.076.6+4.4
7 Valcea28151354%85.080.8+4.2
8 Corona Brasov26131350%81.682.0-0.4
9 CSU Sibiu29141548%80.581.7-1.2
10 CSM Targu Mures26121446%81.983.7-1.8
11 CSM Constanta29131645%81.882.8-1.1
12 SCM Timisoara28121643%79.479.9-0.5
13 CSM Targu Jiu28121643%81.285.3-4.0
14 Dinamo Bucharest29121741%76.678.2-1.6
15 Petrolul Ploiesti28101836%80.882.4-1.7
16 CSM Focsani2882029%75.682.9-7.3
17 Municipal Galati2862221%81.392.1-10.8
18 Laguna Bucuresti271264%64.885.3-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2024282395
CSM Focsani2823122083
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