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Valcea vs CSM Focsani Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 96-84
24-27 33-19 22-15 17-23
Position#9
Record5-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game80.3
Valcea 🏆
Romania
vs
CSM Focsani
Romania
Position#16
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game79.5
RomaniaDivizia ARound 16· Traian Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valcea v CSM Focsani
20 Apr 2024
VALC95
CSM 83
11 Apr 2024
VALC111
CSM 90
09 Apr 2024
VALC86
CSM 93
06 Jan 2024
VALC96
CSM 84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Focsani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Mures
#11
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 60
A21/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 60
H28/10
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
L
71-74
71
74
-3
57avg 60
A06/11
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
74-90
74
90
-16
58avg 60
H18/11
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 60
H26/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#4
L
77-78
77
78
-1
69avg 60
H30/11
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
73-69
73
69
+4
70avg 60
H09/12
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
L
58-81
58
81
-23
40avg 60
A16/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#11
L
73-85
73
85
-12
64avg 60
H23/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
no box
A30/12
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
23-21
27-17
26-14
14-22
22-19
19-17
23-26
18-17
19-15
11-17
23-25
9-23
17-28
26-23
22-16
21-21
32-17
9-16
18-15
22-22
15-19
20-15
20-22
20-16
13-21
18-18
22-14
17-19
12-25
21-13
8-24
26-31
14-18
13-22
20-14
23-26
18-18
23-18
19-21
156.8Avg total
77.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.480.3157.7-2.938%
Season at home (7)76.678.1154.7-1.643%
Season away (6)78.382.8161.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)77.479.4156.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)75.481.0156.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.089.7155.7-23.70%
vs Similar (5)78.081.4159.4-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.478.1155.6-0.743%
This opponent (CSM Focsani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM FocsaniRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFocsani
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
L
67-78
67
78
-11
49avg 61
A20/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 61
H06/11
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 61
A11/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#4
L
64-71
64
71
-7
42avg 61
A13/11
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 61
H19/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#4
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
no box
H25/11
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
72avg 61
A02/12
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
63avg 61
H09/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#11
L
58-87
58
87
-29
47avg 61
A16/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
71avg 61
H22/12
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
20-18
14-22
20-13
17-18
15-19
17-11
25-23
16-19
21-27
19-18
20-21
5-24
18-19
14-15
27-13
17-12
20-22
10-16
23-23
18-13
15-17
15-14
21-25
21-25
11-7
20-20
22-28
19-22
13-18
22-25
22-20
8-17
15-23
20-23
15-24
25-19
16-19
13-17
20-20
149.3Avg total
70.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.579.5150.9-8.08%
Season at home (7)73.179.0152.1-5.914%
Season away (6)69.580.0149.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)70.778.6149.3-7.910%
Last 5 (5)71.281.6152.8-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)73.083.5156.5-10.55%
vs Similar (2)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker (7)80.968.0148.9+12.9100%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
ValceaCSM Focsani
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Mures
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/10
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A06/11
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H18/11
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H26/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H30/11
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H09/12
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A16/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H23/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A30/12
Divizia A
79.1Avg total
37.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)37.341.979.1-4.620%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.542.980.4-5.425%-
Last 30 away (7)37.040.777.7-3.714%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.879.1-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.747.778.3-17.00%-
vs Similar (5)37.040.877.8-3.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.340.180.4+0.129%-
This opponent (CSM Focsani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM FocsaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H06/11
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A11/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#4
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A13/11
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#4
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H25/11
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A02/12
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#11
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A16/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
Divizia A
70.6Avg total
32.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.174.8-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.138.074.1-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)35.340.375.6-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)32.338.370.6-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.236.068.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.641.675.2-8.019%-
vs Similar (2)39.033.072.0+6.050%-
vs Weaker (7)41.133.474.6+7.786%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
53.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.1
31.1%
34.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.312.2
63.2%
72.2%12.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Focsanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Focsani: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.5
47.4%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.7
29.3%
34.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.612.6
75.9%
72.2%12.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WLLWLWLLLW
CSM Focsani
LLLLLLLLWL
#9
League position
#16
-1.5
Net rating
-11.7
104.7
Offensive rating
98.5
106.2
Defensive rating
110.2
49.6%
Effective FG%
46.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.1%
3-point %
29.3%
52.1%
Assist %
54.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 98.5Defence106.2 · 110.2Shooting49.6% · 46.1%3-point %31.1% · 29.3%Ball care16.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.9% · 27.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Valcea   ■ CSM Focsani
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valcea wins
1
CSM Focsani wins
DateGameScore
06/11/23CSM Focsani v Valcea74-71
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23APetrolul Ploiesti96-92 OT
23/12/23HCSM Targu Mures73-85
16/12/23ACSM Constanta58-81
09/12/23HArges Pitesti73-69
30/11/23HSCM Craiova77-78
26/11/23HCSU Sibiu80-69
18/11/23HCSM Oradea74-90
06/11/23ACSM Focsani71-74
28/10/23HPetrolul Ploiesti78-84
21/10/23ACSM Targu Mures94-72
CSM Focsanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HPetrolul Ploiesti74-75
16/12/23ACSM Targu Mures58-87
09/12/23HCSM Constanta76-85
02/12/23AArges Pitesti74-80
25/11/23HSCM Craiova74-81 OT
19/11/23HCSU Sibiu70-73
13/11/23ASCM Craiova64-71
11/11/23ACSM Oradea76-85
06/11/23HValcea74-71
20/10/23APetrolul Ploiesti67-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game77.476.678.3
Allowed / game80.378.182.8
Point differential-2.9-1.6-4.5
Avg total157.7154.7161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
CSM Focsani
Divizia A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeWLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game71.573.169.5
Allowed / game79.579.080.0
Point differential-8.0-5.9-10.5
Avg total150.9152.1149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cluj-Napoca13130100%92.573.5+19.0
2 CSM Oradea1412286%85.775.5+10.2
3 Voluntari1310377%81.372.8+8.5
4 Arges Pitesti1410471%80.176.4+3.7
5 CSM Targu Mures139469%81.878.5+3.2
6 Corona Brasov149564%79.077.1+1.9
7 Rapid Bucuresti138562%79.574.3+5.2
8 CSU Sibiu137654%77.076.9+0.1
9 Dinamo Bucharest147750%77.873.1+4.7
10 CSM Constanta147750%80.179.5+0.6
11 SCM Craiova125742%75.177.4-2.3
12 CSM Targu Jiu125742%77.282.3-5.2
13 SCM Timisoara135838%79.780.5-0.8
14 Valcea135838%77.480.3-2.9
15 Petrolul Ploiesti1441029%78.884.2-5.4
16 Municipal Galati121118%78.894.2-15.3
17 CSM Focsani131128%71.579.5-8.0
18 Laguna Bucuresti120120%62.283.9-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2433221796
CSM Focsani2719152384
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