Valdivia vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 81-77

24-19 22-21 15-21 20-16

Position#5

Record13-10

FormLWLWW

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game79.7

Valdivia 🏆

Deportes Castro

Position#9

Record12-10

FormLWWLW

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game76.2

LNB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Valdivia v Deportes Castro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valdivia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Deportes Castro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valdivia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Temuco

#14

101-70

101

+31

H12/03

LNB

Temuco

#14

74-65

A19/03

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

73-62

+11

H25/03

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

88-72

+16

H26/03

LNB

U. De Concepcion

72-91

-19

A31/03

LNB

Las Animas

87-91

-4

H07/04

LNB

Espanol Osorno

92-72

+20

H09/04

LNB

Puente Alto

75-77

-2

A15/04

LNB

Quilicura

79-56

+23

A16/04

LNB

Ancud

100-92

100

H22/04

LNB

31-12

22-20

26-13

22-25

15-12

17-9

17-19

25-25

20-14

21-9

20-21

12-18

16-21

15-16

30-13

27-22

19-17

12-25

27-25

14-24

27-23

19-20

23-22

18-26

22-16

19-21

24-11

27-24

35-14

14-29

18-16

8-18

18-13

18-12

21-12

22-19

28-17

24-20

28-30

20-25

158.9Avg total

84.1Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	83.2	79.7	162.8	+3.5	57%
Season at home (11)	84.7	76.5	161.3	+8.2	73%
Season away (12)	81.8	82.5	164.2	-0.8	42%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	74.8	158.9	+9.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	77.6	164.2	+9.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	71.3	76.9	148.1	-5.6	29%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	88.3	84.8	173.2	+3.5	50%
vs Weaker (11)	80.5	72.8	153.4	+7.7	73%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Espanol de Talca

#13

95-69

+26

H05/03

LNB

Ancud

76-92

-16

A11/03

LNB

Ancud

74-59

+15

H17/03

LNB

Las Animas

60-56

H25/03

LNB

Espanol Osorno

74-83

-9

H26/03

LNB

Puente Alto

68-84

-16

A01/04

LNB

Quilicura

90-72

+18

A02/04

LNB

U. De Concepcion

86-77

H08/04

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

69-78

-9

A15/04

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

107-65

107

+42

A16/04

LNB

28-18

30-17

18-20

19-14

20-20

14-22

27-21

15-29

24-19

22-16

13-10

15-14

16-18

14-13

16-16

14-9

17-22

25-17

13-17

19-27

14-22

23-21

12-16

19-25

16-18

22-20

29-15

23-19

25-18

26-25

22-17

13-17

12-22

25-16

17-23

15-17

26-20

33-16

24-10

24-19

153.4Avg total

79.9Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	77.0	76.2	153.2	+0.8	55%
Season at home (12)	77.6	69.4	147.0	+8.2	83%
Season away (10)	76.3	84.4	160.7	-8.1	20%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	73.5	153.4	+6.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	75.2	159.2	+8.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	70.3	87.4	157.7	-17.1	14%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	71.6	76.5	148.2	-4.9	46%
vs Weaker (10)	88.0	67.1	155.1	+20.9	90%

This opponent (Valdivia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValdiviaDeportes Castro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	17.4	39.1	+4.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	15.9	39.0	+7.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	16.6	42.6	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	18.6	38.1	+1.0	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	23.4	20.3	43.8	+3.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	16.5	18.9	35.5	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.3	15.1	34.4	+4.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.2	40.0	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.1	40.4	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.3	22.6	42.9	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.6	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	19.1	37.9	-0.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.3	41.7	+5.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	19.6	45.4	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.7	22.4	38.1	-6.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.2	17.4	41.6	+6.8	90%	-

ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Temuco

#14

53-32

+21

H12/03

LNB

Temuco

#14

32-21

+11

A19/03

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

41-23

+18

H25/03

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

31-37

-6

H26/03

LNB

U. De Concepcion

31-42

-11

A31/03

LNB

Las Animas

46-43

H07/04

LNB

Espanol Osorno

41-37

H09/04

LNB

Puente Alto

49-43

A15/04

LNB

Quilicura

36-25

+11

A16/04

LNB

Ancud

52-37

+15

H22/04

LNB

75.2Avg total

41.2Scored

34.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.9	79.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	36.6	78.6	+5.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	40.9	80.1	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	34.0	75.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	37.0	81.8	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.0	38.9	77.9	+0.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	43.8	42.9	86.7	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	38.0	34.5	72.5	+3.5	45%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Espanol de Talca

#13

58-35

+23

H05/03

LNB

Ancud

34-42

-8

A11/03

LNB

Ancud

46-35

+11

H17/03

LNB

Las Animas

30-31

-1

H25/03

LNB

Espanol Osorno

42-39

H26/03

LNB

Puente Alto

37-43

-6

A01/04

LNB

Quilicura

38-38

A02/04

LNB

U. De Concepcion

51-43

H08/04

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

37-38

-1

A15/04

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

59-36

+23

A16/04

LNB

81.2Avg total

43.2Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.2	75.8	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	35.1	75.6	+5.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	39.5	76.1	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	38.0	81.2	+5.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.6	84.0	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.7	43.9	80.6	-7.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	36.0	37.2	73.2	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.5	32.5	76.0	+11.0	90%	-

This opponent (Valdivia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.4	39.8	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.3	18.1	40.4	+4.2	92%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.4	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.9	36.2	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	17.2	35.4	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.5	35.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.0	22.7	39.7	-5.7	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.7	17.2	34.8	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.2	15.4	35.6	+4.8	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.1	38.9	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	13.0	18.6	31.6	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.3	22.8	44.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	27%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.6	20.9	37.4	-4.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.1	21.0	38.1	-3.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.4	17.6	41.0	+5.8	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.3	79.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	39.2	79.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	40.8	83.7	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	40.6	82.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.3	38.0	70.3	-5.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	43.7	40.9	84.6	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.5	38.3	80.8	+4.3	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.7	75.1	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.5	35.6	72.1	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	40.1	78.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	35.5	72.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.6	75.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	33.6	43.6	77.1	-10.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	34.8	38.2	72.9	-3.4	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.6	33.0	76.6	+10.6	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valdivia wins

Deportes Castro wins

Date	Game	Score
11/02/23	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	79-77
16/04/22	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	74-60
30/03/22	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	63-71
01/02/20	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	88-69
29/01/20	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	67-70
15/01/20	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	83-81
12/10/19	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	98-79
19/01/19	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	78-73
24/11/18	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	116-106 OT
05/11/18	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	87-82

Valdivialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/23	H	Ancud	100-92
16/04/23	A	Quilicura	79-56
15/04/23	A	Puente Alto	75-77
09/04/23	H	Espanol Osorno	92-72
07/04/23	H	Las Animas	87-91
31/03/23	A	U. De Concepcion	72-91
26/03/23	H	Puerto Montt	88-72
25/03/23	H	CD Puerto Varas	73-62
19/03/23	A	Temuco	74-65
12/03/23	H	Temuco	101-70

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/23	A	Puerto Montt	107-65
15/04/23	A	CD Puerto Varas	69-78
08/04/23	H	U. De Concepcion	86-77
02/04/23	A	Quilicura	90-72
01/04/23	A	Puente Alto	68-84
26/03/23	H	Espanol Osorno	74-83
25/03/23	H	Las Animas	60-56
17/03/23	H	Ancud	74-59
11/03/23	A	Ancud	76-92
05/03/23	H	Espanol de Talca	95-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valdivia

LNB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	57%
Home	WWLWW	73%
Away	LWLLW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	57%	73%	42%
Points / game	83.2	84.7	81.8
Allowed / game	79.7	76.5	82.5
Point differential	+3.5	+8.2	-0.8
Avg total	162.8	161.3	164.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	45%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Deportes Castro

LNB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	55%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	LLWLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	55%	83%	20%
Points / game	77.0	77.6	76.3
Allowed / game	76.2	69.4	84.4
Point differential	+0.8	+8.2	-8.1
Avg total	153.2	147.0	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	33%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	9%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	U. De Concepcion	23	21	2	91%	96.7	71.5	+25.3
2	Leones Quilpue	24	20	4	83%	84.7	64.9	+19.8
3	Ancud	23	16	7	70%	85.2	77.9	+7.3
4	Puente Alto	24	16	8	67%	82.6	76.2	+6.4
5	Las Animas	23	15	8	65%	84.2	79.1	+5.1
6	Valdivia	23	13	10	57%	83.2	79.7	+3.5
7	Deportes Castro	22	12	10	55%	77.0	76.2	+0.8
8	Quilicura	23	12	11	52%	82.8	80.3	+2.5
9	Espanol Osorno	24	12	12	50%	80.5	77.8	+2.7
10	CD Puerto Varas	25	11	14	44%	74.4	73.3	+1.2
11	Catolica	24	9	15	38%	74.8	78.6	-3.8
12	Puerto Montt	25	8	17	32%	76.2	87.5	-11.3
13	Espanol de Talca	24	6	18	25%	67.0	87.5	-20.6
14	Temuco	20	2	18	10%	71.7	91.1	-19.4
15	Tinguiririca	23	2	21	9%	64.0	85.3	-21.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valdivia	24	22	15	20	81
Deportes Castro	19	21	21	16	77

← all games of the day

Valdivia vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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