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Valecnici Decin vs CZ.ACADEMY Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 67-70
15-14 22-23 15-26 15-7
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game68.0
Valecnici Decin
Czech Republic
vs
CZ.ACADEMY 🏆
Czech Republic
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game79.0
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 3· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valecnici Decin v CZ.ACADEMY
11 Dec 2026
VALE v CZ.A
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
VALE67
CZ.A70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valecnici Decin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CZ.ACADEMY winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
L
68-71
68
71
-3
62avg 60
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
58avg 60
A26/09
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
16-14
17-29
15-12
16-14
21-24
16-12
24-15
140.5Avg total
72.5Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.568.0140.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)68.071.0139.0-3.00%
Season away (1)77.065.0142.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (2)72.568.0140.5+4.550%
Last 5 (2)72.568.0140.5+4.550%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)72.568.0140.5+4.550%
This opponent (CZ.ACADEMY) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CZ.ACADEMYCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCZ.ACADEMY
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#5
W
84-53
84
53
+31
79avg 68
H19/02
1. Liga
Svitavy
#2
L
65-92
65
92
-27
53avg 68
A23/02
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
84avg 68
H28/02
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 68
A07/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#2
W
89-56
89
56
+33
82avg 68
H14/03
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
66-110
66
110
-44
53avg 68
A21/03
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
L
76-85
76
85
-9
61avg 68
H27/03
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
67avg 68
A30/03
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
64-85
64
85
-21
42avg 68
A21/09
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
73avg 68
H26/09
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
17-12
28-8
15-17
24-23
8-28
11-22
22-19
24-27
19-18
14-19
21-14
19-21
33-19
20-15
19-30
21-19
21-11
20-14
27-12
21-24
8-34
20-19
17-33
23-15
22-29
17-27
14-14
17-22
23-25
24-13
15-23
17-30
20-15
22-17
5-23
26-19
23-17
19-19
20-18
160.1Avg total
79.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.079.0155.0-3.050%
Season at home (1)88.073.0161.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)64.085.0149.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)79.181.0160.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)74.687.2161.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.284.2159.5-9.031%
vs Similar (9)78.473.1151.6+5.389%
vs Weaker (4)86.070.0156.0+16.075%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
Valecnici DecinCZ.ACADEMY
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
1. Liga
70.5Avg total
36.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)36.534.070.5+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (1)36.030.066.0+6.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
Last 10 (2)36.534.070.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (2)36.534.070.5+2.550%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)36.534.070.5+2.550%-
This opponent (CZ.ACADEMY) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CZ.ACADEMYLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#5
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H19/02
1. Liga
Svitavy
#2
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A23/02
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H28/02
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#2
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H14/03
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
29-58
29
58
-29
A21/03
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H27/03
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A30/03
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/09
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H26/09
1. Liga
83.4Avg total
41.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)38.441.279.6-2.844%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.738.078.7+2.764%-
Last 30 away (13)35.844.680.5-8.823%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.483.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.086.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.543.181.5-4.631%-
vs Similar (9)37.139.776.8-2.656%-
vs Weaker (4)45.235.881.0+9.575%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.5
56.1%
51.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.55.5
18.0%
29.5%16.5
🏀 Free throws29.018.0
62.1%
65.8%18.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CZ.ACADEMYtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CZ.ACADEMY: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.9
50.7%
51.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.2
27.0%
29.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.915.2
66.4%
65.8%15.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valecnici Decin
WL
CZ.ACADEMY
WLLLLWWWLW
#6
League position
#12
+4.2
Net rating
-1.7
85.7
Offensive rating
96.4
81.5
Defensive rating
98.2
42.1%
Effective FG%
46.7%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
25.5%
Turnover %
20.1%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.34
18.0%
3-point %
27.0%
56.2%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 2/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.7 · 96.4Defence81.5 · 98.2Shooting42.1% · 46.7%3-point %18.0% · 27.0%Ball care25.5% · 20.1%Off. rebounds32.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.46 · 0.34Form (last 2/10)50% · 50%
■ Valecnici Decin   ■ CZ.ACADEMY
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valecnici Decin wins
0
CZ.ACADEMY wins
No previous meetings.
Valecnici Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25ASokol Prazsky77-65
21/09/25HChomutov68-71
CZ.ACADEMYlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25HLiberecko88-73
21/09/25ARadotin64-85
30/03/25ABrno U2379-83
27/03/25HBrno U2376-85
21/03/25AHradec Kralove66-110
14/03/25HSvitavy89-56
07/03/25ABrno U2391-85
28/02/25HHradec Kralove89-88 OT
23/02/25ASvitavy65-92
19/02/25HBrno U2384-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game72.568.077.0
Allowed / game68.071.065.0
Point differential+4.5-3.0+12.0
Avg total140.5139.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CZ.ACADEMY
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.088.064.0
Allowed / game79.073.085.0
Point differential-3.0+15.0-21.0
Avg total155.0161.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin330100%103.364.7+38.7
2 Plzen330100%89.367.3+22.0
3 Zlin220100%89.081.5+7.5
4 Pardubice 2220100%81.074.0+7.0
5 Svitavy32167%91.780.0+11.7
6 MS Academy32167%81.095.0-14.0
7 Sokol Prazsky21150%81.075.5+5.5
8 Valecnici Decin21150%72.568.0+4.5
9 Radotin21150%81.577.5+4.0
10 CZ.ACADEMY21150%76.079.0-3.0
11 Chomutov21150%72.075.0-3.0
12 USK Prague B21150%62.067.0-5.0
13 Opava 231233%75.077.3-2.3
14 Liberecko31233%79.083.0-4.0
15 Basketbal Olomouc31233%73.080.0-7.0
16 Litomerice31233%80.388.3-8.0
17 Polabi31233%66.778.7-12.0
18 Jindrichuv Hradec3030%73.380.7-7.3
19 Brno U231010%70.092.0-22.0
20 Vysoka3030%72.094.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valecnici Decin1522151567
CZ.ACADEMY142326770
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