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Valencia W vs Celta W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:15
Final 81-52
22-17 17-13 21-2 21-20
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game64.8
Valencia W 🏆
Spain
Vs
99%
■ VALE 99%■ CELT 1%
Pythia win probability
Projected 88-61
Projected total 149.5
Celta W
Spain
Position#16
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game81.0
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 6· Roig Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Valencia W v Celta W
01 Nov 2026
VALE81
CELT52
19 Apr 2025
VALE90
CELT46
22 Sep 2023
VALE76
CELT47
02 Mar 2012
VALE69
CELT56
28 Jan 2011
VALE99
CELT51
31 Oct 2009
VALE94
CELT75
22 Feb 2009
VALE81
CELT55
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Valencia W host Celta W in the Liga Femenina W. Pythia makes Valencia W the favourite at 99% and projects 88-61, about 149 points in all. Overtime chance: 0%. Valencia W are 4-1 this season (82.8 scored, 64.8 allowed a game), form LWLWW; Celta W are 0-5 this season (66.8 scored, 81.0 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia W winWon
98.7%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Celta W winLost
1.3%fair 77.69
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
71avg 69
A14/05
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 69
H17/05
Liga Femenina W
Mallorca Palma W
#3
L
71-88
71
88
-17
60avg 69
A03/10
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
82-57
82
57
+25
83avg 69
H07/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
W
99-70
99
70
+29
92avg 69
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
55avg 69
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#8
W
87-50
87
50
+37
84avg 69
H18/10
Liga Femenina W
Flammes Carolo W
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
58avg 69
H21/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#14
W
75-59
75
59
+16
64avg 69
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#24
W
105-47
105
47
+58
104avg 69
H28/10
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
22-7
16-19
22-24
18-22
15-14
18-17
17-14
20-29
16-20
14-19
21-20
23-18
15-13
21-14
23-12
21-16
25-18
25-25
28-11
12-27
18-23
21-18
18-20
20-12
17-13
25-11
25-14
23-23
10-16
16-21
14-17
15-20
20-21
20-11
20-7
30-15
24-7
24-15
27-10
147.6Avg total
80.0Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.864.8147.6+18.080%
Season at home (2)84.553.5138.0+31.0100%
Season away (3)81.772.3154.0+9.367%
Last 10 (10)80.067.6147.6+12.470%
Last 5 (5)79.864.2144.0+15.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.082.5148.5-16.50%
vs Similar (8)70.471.0141.4-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.264.7144.8+15.570%
This opponent (Celta W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Celta WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Araski W
#13
W
78-68
78
68
+10
no box
A15/03
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
no box
H30/03
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
65-72
65
72
-7
no box
A05/04
Liga Femenina W
Ardoi W
#16
W
72-59
72
59
+13
no box
H12/04
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#2
L
46-90
46
90
-44
no box
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
72avg 57
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#6
L
65-75
65
75
-10
48avg 57
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
52-83
52
83
-31
40avg 57
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
57-77
57
77
-20
47avg 57
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
80avg 57
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
21-16
14-19
15-13
15-9
11-13
9-14
16-14
15-28
16-13
13-17
21-14
22-16
13-5
20-19
17-19
7-29
16-20
12-23
11-18
25-17
29-22
9-19
11-16
14-16
17-22
18-18
16-19
12-13
11-23
18-25
11-22
13-22
15-19
21-18
8-18
21-31
24-21
18-16
17-18
139.0Avg total
64.6Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.881.0147.8-14.20%
Season at home (3)70.784.3155.0-13.70%
Season away (2)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)64.674.4139.0-9.830%
Last 5 (5)66.881.0147.8-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)65.475.9141.3-10.625%
vs Similar (1)59.065.0124.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (1)72.059.0131.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 136Actual: Under 136
Over 136
80.5%
Under 136
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 141Actual: Under 141
Over 141
70.5%
Under 141
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146Actual: Under 146
Over 146
58.7%
Under 146
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Valencia W total 68Actual: Valencia W over 68
Over 68
98.2%
Under 68
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia W total 72Actual: Valencia W over 72
Over 72
95.6%
Under 72
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia W total 76Actual: Valencia W over 76
Over 76
90.3%
Under 76
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celta W total 65Actual: Celta W under 65
Over 65
33.7%
Under 65
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celta W total 69Actual: Celta W under 69
Over 69
20.1%
Under 69
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celta W total 73Actual: Celta W under 73
Over 73
10.7%
Under 73
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Valencia W -3Actual: Valencia W -3
VALE -3
98.1%
CELT +3
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
VALE
No market prices yet.
CELT
No market prices yet.
Spread Valencia W 0Actual: Valencia W 0
VALE 0
98.7%
CELT 0
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
VALE
No market prices yet.
CELT
No market prices yet.
Spread Valencia W +3Actual: Valencia W +3
VALE +3
99.2%
CELT -3
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
VALE
No market prices yet.
CELT
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -2.8-2.8
Valencia WCelta W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#1
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A14/05
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/05
Liga Femenina W
Mallorca Palma W
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A03/10
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#8
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H18/10
Liga Femenina W
Flammes Carolo W
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H21/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#14
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#24
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H28/10
Euroleague Women
74.2Avg total
38.5Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.134.872.9+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.333.570.9+3.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.936.175.0+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.774.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.473.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.544.576.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (8)36.037.073.0-1.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.633.072.6+6.665%-
This opponent (Celta W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Celta WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Araski W
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A15/03
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#11
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H30/03
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A05/04
Liga Femenina W
Ardoi W
#16
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H12/04
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#2
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#6
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#7
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
72.0Avg total
34.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.038.172.1-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.435.670.0-1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)33.641.074.6-7.429%-
Last 10 (10)34.537.572.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.277.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)34.138.772.8-4.639%-
vs Similar (1)32.038.070.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (1)35.021.056.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.4
48.3%
46.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.2%
30.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.915.1
79.9%
74.7%15.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Celta Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Celta W: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.6
51.4%
46.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.8
28.3%
30.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws15.49.2
59.7%
74.7%9.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia W
WWLWLWWLWW
Celta W
LLLLLLWLWW
#2
League position
#16
+16.4
Net rating
-20.4
105.9
Offensive rating
96.0
89.5
Defensive rating
116.4
50.0%
Effective FG%
47.8%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
5.8%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.2%
3-point %
28.3%
58.0%
Assist %
60.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 96.0Defence89.5 · 116.4Shooting50.0% · 47.8%3-point %35.2% · 28.3%Ball care5.8% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Valencia W   ■ Celta W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Valencia W wins
0
Celta W wins
DateGameScore
19/04/25Valencia W v Celta W90-46
14/11/24Celta W v Valencia W52-82
16/03/24Celta W v Valencia W48-73
22/09/23Valencia W v Celta W76-47
02/03/12Valencia W v Celta W69-56
16/12/11Celta W v Valencia W49-89
28/01/11Valencia W v Celta W99-51
15/10/10Celta W v Valencia W59-85
07/02/10Celta W v Valencia W70-80
31/10/09Valencia W v Celta W94-75
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HRapid Bucuresti W105-47
25/10/26AEnsino W75-59
21/10/26HFlammes Carolo W63-77
18/10/26HFerrol W87-50
14/10/26HFenerbahce W69-88
11/10/26AEstudiantes W99-70
07/10/26HPerfumerias Avenida W82-57
03/10/26AMallorca Palma W71-88
17/05/26HZaragoza W68-67
14/05/26AZaragoza W81-73
Celta Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HCadi La Seu W80-86
18/10/26AJairis W57-77
11/10/26HZaragoza W52-83
08/10/26AIDK Gipuzkoa W65-75
03/10/26HGernika Bizkaia W80-84 OT
19/04/25AValencia W46-90
12/04/25HArdoi W72-59
05/04/25AFerrol W65-72
30/03/25HGran Canaria W51-50
15/03/25AAraski W78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game82.884.581.7
Allowed / game64.853.572.3
Point differential+18.0+31.0+9.3
Avg total147.6138.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Celta W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.870.761.0
Allowed / game81.084.376.0
Point differential-14.2-13.7-15.0
Avg total147.8155.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W550100%87.460.0+27.4
2 Mallorca Palma W65183%79.766.8+12.8
3 Jairis W65183%73.562.5+11.0
4 Valencia W54180%82.864.8+18.0
5 Estepona W64267%69.363.5+5.8
6 IDK Gipuzkoa W64267%69.563.7+5.8
7 Cadi La Seu W64267%65.765.2+0.5
8 Ferrol W64267%74.077.7-3.7
9 Gernika Bizkaia W63350%78.282.7-4.5
10 Leganes W52340%63.468.8-5.4
11 Perfumerias Avenida W62433%71.775.8-4.2
12 Estudiantes W62433%66.776.3-9.7
13 Uni Girona W61517%64.269.7-5.5
14 Ensino W61517%60.075.7-15.7
15 Celta W5050%66.881.0-14.2
16 Araski W6060%61.575.8-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia W2217212181
Celta W171322052
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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