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Valencia W vs Leganes W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Projected 83-59
Projected total 141.6
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game64.9
Valencia W
Spain
Vs
98%
■ VALE 98%■ LEGA 2%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Leganes W
Spain
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game69.4
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 8· Roig Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Valencia W v Leganes W
22 Nov 2026
VALE v LEGA
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
VALE89
LEGA59
30 Dec 2022
VALE86
LEGA49
06 Mar 2022
VALE81
LEGA65
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Valencia W host Leganes W in the Liga Femenina W. Pythia makes Valencia W the favourite at 98% and projects 83-59, about 142 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Valencia W are 6-1 this season (82.1 scored, 64.9 allowed a game), form WWWWW; Leganes W are 2-5 this season (61.7 scored, 69.4 allowed a game), form LLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia W win
97.8%fair 1.02
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leganes W win
2.2%fair 44.80
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
82-57
82
57
+25
83avg 69
H07/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
W
99-70
99
70
+29
92avg 69
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#4
L
69-88
69
88
-19
55avg 69
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#6
W
87-50
87
50
+37
84avg 69
H18/10
Liga Femenina W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
63-77
63
77
-14
58avg 69
H21/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#15
W
75-59
75
59
+16
64avg 69
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#24
W
105-47
105
47
+58
104avg 69
H28/10
Euroleague Women
Celta W
#14
W
81-52
81
52
+29
no box
H01/11
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
A03/11
Euroleague Women
Uni Girona W
#13
W
80-78 OT
80
78
+2
no box
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
15-13
21-14
23-12
21-16
25-18
25-25
28-11
12-27
18-23
21-18
18-20
20-12
17-13
25-11
25-14
23-23
10-16
16-21
14-17
15-20
20-21
20-11
20-7
30-15
24-7
24-15
27-10
22-17
17-13
21-2
21-20
23-22
14-20
20-20
16-9
17-24
20-19
13-16
22-13
146.3Avg total
81.4Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.164.9147.0+17.386%
Season at home (3)83.353.0136.3+30.3100%
Season away (4)81.273.8155.0+7.575%
Last 10 (10)81.464.9146.3+16.580%
Last 5 (5)82.861.4144.2+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.378.7147.0-10.333%
vs Similar (8)70.471.9142.2-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.663.1143.6+17.579%
This opponent (Leganes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leganes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ferrol W
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
50avg 58
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
82-82
82
82
+0
70avg 58
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
44avg 58
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
no box
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#8
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 58
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
49-70
49
70
-21
39avg 58
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
68avg 58
A17/10
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#16
W
63-58
63
58
+5
57avg 58
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
51-76
51
76
-25
no box
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
64-66
64
66
-2
no box
H06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-28
15-26
21-12
27-14
27-15
22-28
20-19
13-20
18-30
13-23
12-22
20-14
16-16
19-20
17-11
14-16
12-25
21-18
18-17
9-10
9-12
15-21
13-18
12-19
17-26
13-17
28-23
21-17
16-14
14-16
17-14
16-14
21-19
10-22
8-18
12-17
15-18
16-19
20-14
13-15
138.3Avg total
64.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)61.769.4131.1-7.729%
Season at home (4)60.564.2124.8-3.850%
Season away (3)63.376.3139.7-13.00%
Last 10 (10)64.673.7138.3-9.120%
Last 5 (5)61.270.6131.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.276.1139.2-12.915%
vs Similar (13)70.266.2136.5+4.069%
vs Weaker (4)80.255.5135.8+24.8100%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 135
Over 135
66.3%
Under 135
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 140
Over 140
54.0%
Under 140
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 145
Over 145
41.4%
Under 145
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Valencia W total 68
Over 68
93.9%
Under 68
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia W total 72
Over 72
87.3%
Under 72
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia W total 76
Over 76
76.6%
Under 76
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes W total 64
Over 64
28.8%
Under 64
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes W total 68
Over 68
16.6%
Under 68
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes W total 72
Over 72
8.5%
Under 72
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Valencia W -3
VALE -3
96.8%
LEGA +3
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
VALE
No market prices yet.
LEGA
No market prices yet.
Spread Valencia W 0
VALE 0
97.8%
LEGA 0
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
VALE
No market prices yet.
LEGA
No market prices yet.
Spread Valencia W +3
VALE +3
98.6%
LEGA -3
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
VALE
No market prices yet.
LEGA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +8.1+8.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +8.1+8.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
Valencia WLeganes W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#4
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#6
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H18/10
Liga Femenina W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H21/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#24
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H28/10
Euroleague Women
Celta W
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H01/11
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A03/11
Euroleague Women
Uni Girona W
#13
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
74.3Avg total
38.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.073.0+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.933.069.9+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.936.775.6+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.774.3+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.676.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.343.777.0-10.30%-
vs Similar (8)36.238.174.4-1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.532.371.7+7.268%-
This opponent (Leganes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leganes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferrol W
#8
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A17/10
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#16
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H06/11
Liga Femenina W
72.8Avg total
31.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.036.771.7-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.736.172.8+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)33.037.570.5-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)31.541.372.8-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)29.236.866.0-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.641.274.8-7.615%-
vs Similar (13)35.034.069.0+1.069%-
vs Weaker (4)39.231.070.2+8.275%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.4
48.3%
46.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.2%
30.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.915.1
79.9%
74.7%15.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leganes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leganes W: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.918.5
44.2%
46.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.0
24.6%
30.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.9
68.8%
74.7%11.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia W
WWWWWLWLWW
Leganes W
LLWLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#11
+16.4
Net rating
-8.8
105.9
Offensive rating
93.5
89.5
Defensive rating
102.3
50.0%
Effective FG%
41.5%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
5.8%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.2%
3-point %
24.6%
58.0%
Assist %
57.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 93.5Defence89.5 · 102.3Shooting50.0% · 41.5%3-point %35.2% · 24.6%Ball care5.8% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Valencia W   ■ Leganes W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia W wins
0
Leganes W wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26Leganes W v Valencia W60-100
23/11/25Valencia W v Leganes W89-59
09/03/23Leganes W v Valencia W59-91
30/12/22Valencia W v Leganes W86-49
06/03/22Valencia W v Leganes W81-65
18/11/21Leganes W v Valencia W41-64
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AUni Girona W80-78 OT
03/11/26AFenerbahce W73-71
01/11/26HCelta W81-52
28/10/26HRapid Bucuresti W105-47
25/10/26AEnsino W75-59
21/10/26HFlammes Carolo W63-77
18/10/26HFerrol W87-50
14/10/26HFenerbahce W69-88
11/10/26AEstudiantes W99-70
07/10/26HPerfumerias Avenida W82-57
Leganes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HFerrol W64-66
01/11/26AZaragoza W51-76
24/10/26HAraski W63-58
17/10/26AGernika Bizkaia W79-83
11/10/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W49-70
08/10/26ACadi La Seu W60-70
03/10/26HJairis W66-63
03/05/26AUni Girona W63-89
30/04/26HUni Girona W82-82
25/04/26AFerrol W69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game82.183.381.2
Allowed / game64.953.073.8
Point differential+17.3+30.3+7.5
Avg total147.0136.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Leganes W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game61.760.563.3
Allowed / game69.464.276.3
Point differential-7.7-3.8-13.0
Avg total131.1124.8139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W770100%83.059.7+23.3
2 Valencia W76186%82.164.9+17.3
3 Mallorca Palma W76186%78.164.9+13.3
4 Jairis W76186%72.661.4+11.1
5 IDK Gipuzkoa W75271%70.164.6+5.6
6 Ferrol W75271%72.975.7-2.9
7 Estepona W74357%67.064.3+2.7
8 Cadi La Seu W74357%64.165.4-1.3
9 Gernika Bizkaia W74357%77.380.3-3.0
10 Perfumerias Avenida W72529%71.475.6-4.1
11 Leganes W72529%61.769.4-7.7
12 Estudiantes W72529%66.775.1-8.4
13 Uni Girona W71614%66.171.1-5.0
14 Celta W71614%65.977.4-11.6
15 Ensino W71614%60.975.1-14.3
16 Araski W7070%60.775.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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