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Valencia W vs Lyon W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 70-91
17-24 13-30 19-22 21-15
Position#8
Record4-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game67.8
Valencia W
vs
Lyon W 🏆
Position#13
Record2-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeEuroleague WomenRound 10· Font de Sant Lluis
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lyon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perfumerias Avenida W
#2
L
56-71
56
71
-15
45avg 63
A16/11
Liga Femenina W
Bembibre W
#16
W
80-43
80
43
+37
84avg 63
H19/11
Liga Femenina W
DVTK W
#6
L
56-67
56
67
-11
43avg 63
A22/11
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#7
W
66-55
66
55
+11
64avg 63
A25/11
Liga Femenina W
Schio W
#4
L
72-77
72
77
-5
66avg 63
A29/11
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#5
W
55-33
55
33
+22
52avg 63
H02/12
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
64-88
64
88
-24
55avg 63
H05/12
Euroleague Women
Barcelona CBS W
#13
W
92-42
92
42
+50
94avg 63
A10/12
Liga Femenina W
Lublin W
#17
W
87-60
87
60
+27
80avg 63
A13/12
Euroleague Women
Araski W
#11
W
74-35
74
35
+39
77avg 63
H16/12
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
16-15
11-16
11-19
19-9
24-12
23-7
14-15
12-20
20-18
9-14
15-15
17-12
12-18
19-13
18-12
16-23
21-16
22-14
13-24
15-7
17-10
14-7
9-9
10-25
16-22
23-22
15-19
24-13
25-10
21-9
22-10
24-19
30-11
20-12
13-18
18-9
19-12
17-10
20-4
127.3Avg total
70.2Scored
57.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)66.067.8133.8-1.844%
Season at home (3)65.363.3128.7+2.067%
Season away (6)66.370.0136.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)70.257.1127.3+13.160%
Last 5 (5)74.451.6126.0+22.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.092.0157.0-27.00%
vs Similar (6)63.768.2131.8-4.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)74.452.0126.3+22.495%
This opponent (Lyon W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Schio W
#4
L
58-84
58
84
-26
49avg 62
A31/10
Euroleague Women
Landes W
#3
W
90-83 OT
90
83
+7
no box
H19/11
LFB W
Lublin W
#17
W
73-72
73
72
+1
68avg 62
H22/11
Euroleague Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#1
W
84-82
84
82
+2
88avg 62
A26/11
LFB W
Sepsi SIC W
#15
L
85-86
85
86
-1
93avg 62
A29/11
Euroleague Women
Union Hainaut W
#12
W
80-62
80
62
+18
68avg 62
H02/12
LFB W
DVTK W
#6
L
64-70
64
70
-6
54avg 62
A06/12
Euroleague Women
Landerneau Bretagne W
#6
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
no box
A09/12
LFB W
Fenerbahce W
#1
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 62
H12/12
Euroleague Women
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#5
L
65-68
65
68
-3
68avg 62
A17/12
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
19-22
16-21
10-17
15-21
14-23
20-9
27-23
27-17
10-21
16-18
20-16
22-23
27-24
21-13
14-22
23-20
20-15
16-25
26-26
13-27
25-18
20-9
22-8
11-18
18-16
19-15
16-21
19-20
23-21
21-14
19-27
21-25
24-20
22-21
22-15
19-19
15-16
17-24
14-9
155.6Avg total
78.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)67.678.1145.7-10.622%
Season at home (5)68.871.4140.2-2.640%
Season away (4)66.086.5152.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)78.177.5155.6+0.660%
Last 5 (5)78.273.6151.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.278.9147.1-10.730%
vs Similar (11)72.269.8142.0+2.455%
vs Weaker (7)79.167.9147.0+11.371%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
Valencia WLyon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perfumerias Avenida W
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A16/11
Liga Femenina W
Bembibre W
#16
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H19/11
Liga Femenina W
DVTK W
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A22/11
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A25/11
Liga Femenina W
Schio W
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A29/11
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#5
W
32-17
32
17
+15
H02/12
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H05/12
Euroleague Women
Barcelona CBS W
#13
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A10/12
Liga Femenina W
Lublin W
#17
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A13/12
Euroleague Women
Araski W
#11
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H16/12
Liga Femenina W
67.5Avg total
37.3Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.029.566.5+7.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.124.662.6+13.579%-
Last 30 away (16)36.133.869.9+2.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.330.267.5+7.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.627.667.2+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.550.079.5-20.50%-
vs Similar (6)33.534.568.0-1.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.825.764.5+13.076%-
This opponent (Lyon W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A31/10
Euroleague Women
Landes W
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H19/11
LFB W
Lublin W
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H22/11
Euroleague Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A26/11
LFB W
Sepsi SIC W
#15
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A29/11
Euroleague Women
Union Hainaut W
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/12
LFB W
DVTK W
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A06/12
Euroleague Women
Landerneau Bretagne W
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/12
LFB W
Fenerbahce W
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/12
Euroleague Women
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/12
LFB W
78.8Avg total
37.8Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.636.773.3-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.736.171.8-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)37.737.475.1+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.078.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.077.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.639.973.5-6.320%-
vs Similar (11)38.034.172.1+3.973%-
vs Weaker (7)41.133.774.9+7.457%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 64.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.017.8
43.4%
46.7%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.2
29.3%
32.1%21.7
🏀 Free throws10.67.4
70.5%
75.3%7.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.3
50.4%
46.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.9
35.1%
32.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws14.110.7
75.9%
75.3%10.7
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia W
WWWLWLWLWL
Lyon W
LWWLWLWWWL
#8
League position
#13
-3.7
Net rating
-4.6
90.5
Offensive rating
98.8
94.2
Defensive rating
103.4
43.6%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
21.4%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.3%
3-point %
35.1%
71.1%
Assist %
72.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 98.8Defence94.2 · 103.4Shooting43.6% · 51.3%3-point %29.3% · 35.1%Ball care18.7% · 21.4%Off. rebounds29.8% · 26.1%Free throws0.16 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Valencia W   ■ Lyon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia W wins
0
Lyon W wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Lyon W v Valencia W61-70
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HAraski W74-35
13/12/23ALublin W87-60
10/12/23ABarcelona CBS W92-42
05/12/23HFenerbahce W64-88
02/12/23HEstudiantes W55-33
29/11/23ASchio W72-77
25/11/23AFerrol W66-55
22/11/23ADVTK W56-67
19/11/23HBembibre W80-43
16/11/23APerfumerias Avenida W56-71
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W65-68
12/12/23HFenerbahce W89-81
09/12/23ALanderneau Bretagne W93-87 OT
06/12/23ADVTK W64-70
02/12/23HUnion Hainaut W80-62
29/11/23ASepsi SIC W85-86
26/11/23AESB Villeneuve W84-82
22/11/23HLublin W73-72
19/11/23HLandes W90-83 OT
31/10/23ASchio W58-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%67%33%
Points / game66.065.366.3
Allowed / game67.863.370.0
Point differential-1.8+2.0-3.7
Avg total133.8128.7136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lyon W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW22%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game67.668.866.0
Allowed / game78.171.486.5
Point differential-10.6-2.6-20.5
Avg total145.7140.2152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce W109190%88.265.3+22.9
2 USK Prague W109190%75.164.3+10.8
3 DVTK W129375%68.662.3+6.2
4 Zaragoza W107370%66.960.8+6.1
5 Polkowice W128467%73.272.6+0.6
6 ESB Villeneuve W106460%73.568.7+4.8
7 Schio W106460%69.865.5+4.3
8 CBK Mersin W106460%69.968.0+1.9
9 Perfumerias Avenida W95456%68.769.2-0.6
10 BA London Lions W21150%60.567.5-7.0
11 Virtus Bologna W94544%74.775.6-0.9
12 Valencia W94544%66.067.8-1.8
13 Sepsi SIC W124833%67.075.4-8.4
14 Lyon W92722%67.678.1-10.6
15 Landes W102820%68.374.3-6.0
16 UNI Gyor W101910%72.181.5-9.4
17 Lublin W101910%56.474.0-17.6
18 TTT Riga W2020%58.061.0-3.0
19 Besiktas W2020%60.568.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia W1713192170
Lyon W2430221591
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