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Valga vs Barons Kvartals Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-98
18-21 16-26 31-23 24-28
Position#7
Record8-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#8
Record7-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game84.4
LatviaLBL
Other2015-16
Meetings · Valga v Barons Kvartals
26 Feb 2017
VALG79
BKV98
02 Mar 2016
VALG89
BKV98
12 Dec 2013
VALG66
BKV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barons Kvartals winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H26/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A30/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A03/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#5
W
97-87
97
87
+10
H06/02
LBL
Audentese
#9
W
103-75
103
75
+28
A09/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A12/02
LBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H16/02
LBL
Jelgava
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A20/02
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
A23/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H26/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-13
13-23
28-16
19-26
24-19
23-27
27-27
17-22
14-15
9-28
22-21
17-12
19-25
28-26
33-24
29-19
30-12
25-19
19-25
18-27
20-15
20-19
18-14
10-18
14-22
24-25
16-17
24-24
15-13
14-16
18-16
21-18
13-20
21-27
35-25
19-19
20-19
23-21
28-18
165.3Avg total
83.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.385.4162.7-8.153%
Season at home (8)80.582.0162.5-1.562%
Season away (7)73.689.3162.9-15.743%
Last 10 (10)83.182.2165.3+0.960%
Last 5 (5)79.481.2160.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.390.8170.1-11.519%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.883.2167.0+0.660%
vs Weaker (4)93.573.8167.2+19.8100%
This opponent (Barons Kvartals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Barons KvartalsLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurmala
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H17/01
LBL
Parnu
#17
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A19/01
Baltic League
Jurmala
#6
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A23/01
LBL
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H27/01
Baltic League
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H31/01
LBL
Jelgava
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A03/02
LBL
BK Liepaja
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A06/02
LBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
L
84-110
84
110
-26
A09/02
Baltic League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A21/02
LBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
L
93-93
93
93
+0
H24/02
Baltic League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
20-15
18-25
20-31
25-19
14-19
22-17
12-19
22-14
18-29
25-25
26-30
25-16
27-26
19-18
23-28
28-22
7-20
22-21
6-18
20-17
20-22
18-22
26-18
26-24
19-27
12-29
30-14
21-32
26-26
13-32
24-20
20-16
21-16
18-21
19-14
26-23
27-19
18-24
22-27
169.5Avg total
82.4Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.884.4163.3-5.630%
Season at home (10)79.887.5167.3-7.720%
Season away (13)78.182.1160.2-4.038%
Last 10 (10)82.487.1169.5-4.730%
Last 5 (5)85.288.6173.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.287.1165.4-8.919%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.682.4161.0-3.929%
vs Weaker (7)84.076.0160.0+8.071%
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
ValgaBarons Kvartals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H26/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A30/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H06/02
LBL
Audentese
#9
W
59-31
59
31
+28
A09/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/02
LBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H16/02
LBL
Jelgava
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A20/02
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
75.6Avg total
38.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.882.8-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.743.182.7-3.433%-
Last 30 away (12)43.039.982.9+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.575.6+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.073.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.843.982.7-5.219%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.942.283.1-1.350%-
vs Weaker (4)50.232.282.5+18.0100%-
This opponent (Barons Kvartals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Barons KvartalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurmala
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H17/01
LBL
Parnu
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A19/01
Baltic League
Jurmala
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A23/01
LBL
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H27/01
Baltic League
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H31/01
LBL
Jelgava
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/02
LBL
BK Liepaja
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A06/02
LBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A09/02
Baltic League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A21/02
LBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H24/02
Baltic League
84.9Avg total
43.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.682.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.540.585.1+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)38.440.779.1-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.884.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.489.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.341.782.0-1.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.042.086.0+2.057%-
vs Weaker (7)41.636.778.3+4.986%-
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valga wins
2
Barons Kvartals wins
DateGameScore
15/11/15Barons Kvartals v Valga91-96
12/12/13Valga v Barons Kvartals66-73
20/11/13Barons Kvartals v Valga70-54
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/16HRapla90-77
23/02/16ATal Tech96-103 OT
20/02/16AJelgava71-69
16/02/16HVEF Riga64-82
12/02/16AValmiera/ORDO76-75
09/02/16AAudentese103-75
06/02/16HJekabpils97-87
03/02/16AParnu62-86
30/01/16ARapla93-99
26/01/16HTal Tech79-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/16HPieno Zvaigzdes93-93
21/02/16ALatvijas Universitate78-67
09/02/16APieno Zvaigzdes84-110
06/02/16ABK Liepaja87-94
03/02/16AJelgava84-79
31/01/16HValmiera/ORDO63-81
27/01/16HTallinna Kalev94-88
23/01/16AJurmala91-98
19/01/16AParnu73-74
17/01/16HJurmala77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
LBL 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeLWLWL62%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game77.380.573.6
Allowed / game85.482.089.3
Point differential-8.1-1.5-15.7
Avg total162.7162.5162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barons Kvartals
LBL 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeWLWLL20%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %30%20%38%
Points / game78.879.878.1
Allowed / game84.487.582.1
Point differential-5.6-7.7-4.0
Avg total163.3167.3160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %13%10%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ventspils2420483%87.966.2+21.7
2 VEF Riga1411379%88.872.6+16.2
3 Valmiera/ORDO2620677%82.873.4+9.3
4 BK Liepaja2618869%82.773.8+8.8
5 Jekabpils23131057%78.078.2-0.3
6 Valga158753%77.385.4-8.1
7 Jurmala27141352%79.777.5+2.2
8 Barons Kvartals2371630%78.884.4-5.6
9 Jelgava2571828%69.678.3-8.8
10 BK Ogre2442017%72.390.6-18.3
11 Latvijas Universitate2542116%71.285.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga1816312489
Barons Kvartals2126232898
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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