PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valga vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2014
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-95
21-34 27-18 24-17 27-26
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game80.5
Valga 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeBaltic League
Other2014
Meetings · Valga v Lietkabelis
29 Oct 2014
VALG99
LIE95
30 Nov 2012
VALG58
LIE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
54-86
54
86
-32
H18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese II
#7
L
95-101
95
101
-6
A30/09
Estonia Cup
Audentese II
#7
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H02/10
Estonia Cup
Rakvere Tarvas
#4
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A05/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#6
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H08/10
Estonia Cup
Tallinna Kalev
#20
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H14/10
Baltic League
Tartu Ulikool
#1
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H17/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#7
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A22/10
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#8
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H25/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
10-31
17-9
12-24
30-31
14-21
19-17
13-25
21-35
20-28
26-17
28-21
28-31
24-23
23-8
26-14
27-25
21-22
18-19
27-29
10-19
25-19
13-16
15-26
26-15
24-27
20-17
16-16
14-19
13-5
16-19
18-22
19-21
20-24
16-17
10-24
13-11
21-10
18-21
21-24
159.1Avg total
76.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.580.5156.0-5.050%
Season at home (1)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)65.086.0151.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)76.782.4159.1-5.730%
Last 5 (5)69.674.4144.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)63.380.7144.0-17.44%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)84.275.5159.7+8.767%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#6
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H30/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
H02/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
102-72
102
72
+30
A05/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H09/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H13/10
LKL
Skycop
#14
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H15/10
Baltic League
Siauliai
#7
W
98-78
98
78
+20
A19/10
LKL
Tallinna Kalev
#20
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A22/10
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#16
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A23/10
Baltic League
Juventus
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H27/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
21-20
11-20
9-23
6-16
20-20
24-23
20-29
22-14
30-25
22-12
28-21
16-18
17-11
21-23
11-26
18-17
19-17
19-15
20-18
20-7
28-20
21-15
20-25
28-15
16-28
29-12
25-23
31-14
15-20
21-15
19-19
12-17
13-18
22-18
30-31
19-22
20-20
16-18
24-24
157.8Avg total
80.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.073.0157.0+11.067%
Season at home (1)89.067.0156.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)81.576.0157.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)80.677.2157.8+3.450%
Last 5 (5)85.876.2162.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.682.3154.9-9.729%
vs Similar (5)76.066.2142.2+9.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.271.1156.4+14.175%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -3.3-3.3
ValgaLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
25-53
25
53
-28
H18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese II
#7
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A30/09
Estonia Cup
Audentese II
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H02/10
Estonia Cup
Rakvere Tarvas
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H08/10
Estonia Cup
Tallinna Kalev
#20
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H14/10
Baltic League
Tartu Ulikool
#1
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H17/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/10
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#8
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H25/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
83.4Avg total
39.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.042.275.2-9.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.139.471.6-7.338%-
Last 30 away (14)34.045.379.3-11.314%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.983.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.071.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.742.172.8-11.421%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)42.342.584.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H30/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H02/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A05/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H09/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/10
LKL
Skycop
#14
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H15/10
Baltic League
Siauliai
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A19/10
LKL
Tallinna Kalev
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A22/10
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#16
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/10
Baltic League
Juventus
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H27/10
LKL
75.6Avg total
39.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.875.7+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.736.574.2+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.377.4-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.275.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.276.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.841.777.5-5.924%-
vs Similar (5)37.229.666.8+7.6100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.934.677.5+8.275%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valga wins
2
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
30/11/12Valga v Lietkabelis58-75
30/10/12Lietkabelis v Valga74-60
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/14HTallinna Kalev73-66
22/10/14AJekabpils65-86
17/10/14HTartu Ulikool61-65
14/10/14HTallinna Kalev86-75
08/10/14HTal Tech63-80
05/10/14ARakvere Tarvas93-95
02/10/14HAudentese II101-76
30/09/14AAudentese II95-101
21/04/14ATartu Ulikool76-94
18/04/14HTartu Ulikool54-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/14HJuventus79-84
23/10/14ATal Tech77-84
22/10/14ATallinna Kalev86-68
19/10/14ASiauliai98-78
15/10/14HSkycop89-67
13/10/14HMazeikiai76-67
09/10/14HNeptunas65-78
05/10/14ANevezis102-72
02/10/14HZalgiris Kaunas70-88
30/09/14HAlytaus Dzukija64-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Baltic League 2014
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.586.065.0
Allowed / game80.575.086.0
Point differential-5.0+11.0-21.0
Avg total156.0161.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
Baltic League 2014
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game84.089.081.5
Allowed / game73.067.076.0
Point differential+11.0+22.0+5.5
Avg total157.0156.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BK Liepaja110100%93.065.0+28.0
2 Juventus220100%88.065.5+22.5
3 BC Kalev/Cramo330100%84.064.0+20.0
4 Valmiera/ORDO330100%74.361.3+13.0
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes220100%90.080.5+9.5
6 Tal Tech110100%84.077.0+7.0
7 Lietkabelis32167%84.073.0+11.0
8 Pyrinto Tampere32167%75.771.7+4.0
9 Rapla32167%77.782.7-5.0
10 Jekabpils21150%70.573.5-3.0
11 Valga21150%75.580.5-5.0
12 Barons Kvartals31233%82.789.7-7.0
13 Rakvere Tarvas1010%90.095.0-5.0
14 Parnu2020%70.077.0-7.0
15 Skycop2020%66.578.5-12.0
16 Tallinna Kalev3030%68.781.7-13.0
17 Nevezis3030%66.384.0-17.7
18 Jurmala3030%65.083.7-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga2127242799
Lietkabelis3418172695
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.