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Valur W vs Athena W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 63-61
26-15 17-20 13-15 7-11
Position#6
Record5-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game74.1
Valur W 🏆
Iceland
vs
Athena W
Iceland
Position#11
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game77.3
IcelandPremier League WRound 15· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Athena W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
51avg 60
H30/10
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
L
64-70
64
70
-6
43avg 60
A17/11
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
66-81
66
81
-15
43avg 60
H20/11
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 60
A26/11
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
82-59
82
59
+23
72avg 60
H04/12
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
74-79
74
79
-5
58avg 60
A10/12
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
61avg 60
H18/12
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
55avg 60
A05/01
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
73-64
73
64
+9
58avg 60
H07/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
66avg 60
A14/01
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
12-26
21-31
20-13
23-20
14-25
12-14
15-11
10-29
34-15
10-19
12-18
17-17
18-20
14-19
18-21
24-19
18-14
19-16
21-10
14-15
13-18
24-20
23-26
22-18
17-20
12-15
18-14
17-32
14-9
18-7
16-31
21-12
16-13
20-28
16-11
13-30
16-23
24-24
20-12
145.1Avg total
70.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.774.1145.8-2.436%
Season at home (7)73.473.0146.4+0.457%
Season away (7)70.075.1145.1-5.114%
Last 10 (10)70.274.9145.1-4.730%
Last 5 (5)70.875.6146.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.282.1152.3-11.823%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.672.6145.2+0.050%
vs Weaker (7)78.061.3139.3+16.771%
This opponent (Athena W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Athena WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
57avg 59
A29/10
Premier League W
Valur W
#6
W
70-64
70
64
+6
56avg 59
H17/11
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
55avg 59
A20/11
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
75-67
75
67
+8
19avg 59
H27/11
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
59-74
59
74
-15
34avg 59
A03/12
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
L
53-58
53
58
-5
44avg 59
A10/12
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
51avg 59
H17/12
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
L
83-100
83
100
-17
71avg 59
A04/01
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
71-79
71
79
-8
59avg 59
A07/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
56avg 59
H14/01
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
14-15
21-21
17-18
20-23
25-14
14-12
11-15
17-16
18-24
18-20
15-22
24-17
16-12
22-9
13-29
17-19
22-20
10-18
10-17
18-17
13-14
13-9
9-18
16-15
12-19
11-19
25-24
25-18
18-32
14-27
26-23
30-20
10-19
18-12
13-28
28-19
11-14
13-15
14-22
141.3Avg total
67.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.477.3148.7-5.921%
Season at home (7)75.375.4150.7-0.143%
Season away (7)67.679.1146.7-11.60%
Last 10 (10)67.274.1141.3-6.920%
Last 5 (5)67.476.8144.2-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.375.9143.1-8.614%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.678.7154.3-3.129%
vs Weaker (9)75.068.7143.7+6.367%
This opponent (Valur W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
Valur WAthena W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H30/10
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A17/11
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/11
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A26/11
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H04/12
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A10/12
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H18/12
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A05/01
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A14/01
Premier League W
73.8Avg total
34.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.274.3-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.238.075.2-0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)35.038.573.5-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.973.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.070.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.943.578.5-8.623%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.335.072.3+2.350%-
vs Weaker (7)36.633.069.6+3.671%-
This opponent (Athena W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Athena WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#3
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A29/10
Premier League W
Valur W
#6
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H17/11
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/11
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/11
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/12
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A10/12
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H17/12
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A04/01
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/01
Premier League W
72.8Avg total
36.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)37.936.974.7+1.052%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.235.876.1+4.475%-
Last 30 away (11)35.338.073.3-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.372.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.473.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.435.770.1-1.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.939.180.0+1.757%-
vs Weaker (9)38.236.074.2+2.267%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.017.3
42.2%
48.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.36.6
24.2%
31.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.915.0
71.8%
74.0%15.0
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Athena Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Athena W: 62.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.613.8
43.7%
48.6%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.27.7
25.5%
31.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.311.4
65.9%
74.0%11.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
LWLWLWLLLL
Athena W
LLLLLLWLWL
#6
League position
#11
-5.0
Net rating
-9.3
88.9
Offensive rating
85.0
93.9
Defensive rating
94.3
39.8%
Effective FG%
41.0%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.2%
Turnover %
24.4%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
24.2%
3-point %
25.5%
59.8%
Assist %
55.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 85.0Defence93.9 · 94.3Shooting39.8% · 41.0%3-point %24.2% · 25.5%Ball care17.2% · 24.4%Off. rebounds28.1% · 32.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Valur W   ■ Athena W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valur W wins
1
Athena W wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Athena W v Valur W70-64
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25AHaukar W73-89
07/01/25HTindastoll W73-64
05/01/25AKeflavik W65-79
18/12/24HGrindavik W69-67
10/12/24AThor AK Akureyri W74-79
04/12/24HHamar W82-59
26/11/24ANjardvik W67-77
20/11/24HStjarnan W66-81
17/11/24AAthena W64-70
30/10/24HHaukar W69-84
Athena Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25HNjardvik W66-70
07/01/25AStjarnan W71-79
04/01/25AHamar W83-100
17/12/24HHaukar W64-77
10/12/24ATindastoll W53-58
03/12/24AKeflavik W59-74
27/11/24HGrindavik W75-67
20/11/24AThor AK Akureyri W68-82
17/11/24HValur W70-64
29/10/24ANjardvik W63-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game71.773.470.0
Allowed / game74.173.075.1
Point differential-2.4+0.4-5.1
Avg total145.8146.4145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Athena W
Premier League W 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%43%0%
Points / game71.475.367.6
Allowed / game77.375.479.1
Point differential-5.9-0.1-11.6
Avg total148.7150.7146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Haukar W1412286%87.974.2+13.6
2 Thor AK Akureyri W1410471%89.182.4+6.8
3 Keflavik W149564%85.981.9+4.1
4 Njardvik W149564%77.974.4+3.5
5 Tindastoll W148657%80.678.4+2.1
6 Stjarnan W146843%76.184.4-8.2
7 Valur W145936%71.774.1-2.4
8 Hamar W145936%79.490.3-10.9
9 Grindavik W1431121%68.671.4-2.8
10 Athena W1431121%71.477.3-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur W261713763
Athena W1520151161
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